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Tigers 2, Beavers 1                                         2026-07-05 · #1005
at Kuvvatov Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
Portland                1    1    6    0
Detroit                 2    2    3    0

BEAVERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Harper      cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Turenne     2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Streko  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Vahaly      ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Clement     lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Hydrick     c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Waston  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Maripán     rf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Aktaş       3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Holzworth   1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Schilli ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Lindsay     p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  0.000
Vidal       lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Smith   pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Velazquez   j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  26   1   6   0   0   0   1   3   7   0   1  0.231
  CS: Waston (2).
  a-Walked for Turenne in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Hydrick in the 7th.
  c-Batted for Holzworth in the 7th.
  d-Ran in the 8th.

TIGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Muriel      p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Delatte     ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Peavy       lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Whoriskey   2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Zheng       cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ndiaye      1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Monroe      3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  a-Acebo   pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Sears       rf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Cotzuma pr ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Lutmer      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Takuma  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Soldan      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Kuhler      j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  25   2   3   1   0   0   1   4   9   0   0  0.120
  2B: Sears (8).
  CS: Kuhler (3).
  HBP: Monroe (4).
  GIDP: Ndiaye (2).
  a-Ran for Monroe in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Sears in the 3rd.
  c-Struck out in the 9th.

BEAVERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Lindsay (L, 4-15) ...    28   27 100%    3    2    2    4    9    0  100    -

TIGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Muriel (W, 10-2) ....    30   27 100%    6    1    1    3    8    0  111    -

BEAVERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Lindsay (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Hydrick (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Holzworth (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Turenne (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Aktaş (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Vahaly (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Vidal (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Harper (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Maripán (Outs 1-27)

TIGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Muriel (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Lutmer (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Ndiaye (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Whoriskey (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Monroe (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Delatte (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Peavy (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Zheng (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Sears (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Tigers (home) batted first; Beavers batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM CT. Weather: 84°F · Wind out · Clear · Humid. seed 255816.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 9 Liam Lutmer Raymond Acebo (3B) 0–1
B 19 Raymond Acebo Yimmi Cotzumalguapa (2B) 0–2
T 25 Armel Lindsay Ricki Smith (2B) 1–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kuvvatov Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 307' · CF 431' · RF 353' · 43' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Beavers — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 6 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
307' 431' 353' Wall 43' Levar De Turenne — ground_out · EV 62 mph · LA +8° · 59 ft Karl-Anthony Maripán — fly_out · EV 61 mph · LA +28° · 124 ft Gabriel Harper — single · EV 61 mph · LA +16° · 82 ft Aaron Holzworth — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 96 ft Armel Lindsay — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 68 ft Álvaro Vidal — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +33° · 210 ft Ricki Smith — single · EV 80 mph · LA +19° · 156 ft Wilmer Velazquez — single · EV 56 mph · LA +4° · 53 ft Karl-Anthony Maripán — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA -2° · 60 ft Francisco Vahaly — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +25° · 195 ft Armel Lindsay — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -13° · 74 ft Álvaro Vidal — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +35° · 269 ft Karl-Anthony Maripán — single · EV 69 mph · LA +20° · 123 ft Val Clement — fly_out · EV 52 mph · LA +33° · 98 ft Armel Lindsay — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -5° · 72 ft Dawood Aktaş — single · EV 62 mph · LA -5° · 59 ft
Tigers — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
307' 431' 353' Wall 43' Wilmar Muriel — line_out · EV 81 mph · LA +18° · 154 ft Aleksandar Delatte — fly_out · EV 95 mph · LA +34° · 331 ft Thai-Son Whoriskey — fly_out · EV 85 mph · LA +26° · 226 ft Ricki Sears — double · EV 92 mph · LA +25° · 258 ft Kevin Kuhler — single · EV 86 mph · LA +16° · 158 ft Raymond Acebo — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA -20° · 81 ft Liam Lutmer — line_out · EV 85 mph · LA +16° · 156 ft Gardnar Ndiaye — double_play · EV 71 mph · LA +4° · 68 ft Ed Peavy — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +16° · 138 ft Yimmi Cotzumalguapa — single · EV 88 mph · LA -19° · 84 ft Aleksandar Delatte — ground_out · EV 67 mph · LA +4° · 64 ft Zixuan Zheng — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -6° · 78 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Beavers
16% deserve-to-win  ·  1.6 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -0.6 vs expected
contact: 4.3 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (+1.7 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Wilmer Velazquez 56 / +4° Pull Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Dawood Aktaş 62 / -5° Oppo Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Gabriel Harper 61 / +16° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.57
Karl-Anthony Maripán 69 / +20° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.57
Aaron Holzworth 76 / +12° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.52
Tigers
84% deserve-to-win  ·  3.6 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -1.6 vs expected
contact: 5.9 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-1.9 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ricki Sears 92 / +25° Center Double 0.7 → 2 +1.26
Aleksandar Delatte 95 / +34° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.92
Wilmar Muriel 81 / +18° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.63
Liam Lutmer 85 / +16° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.63
Yimmi Cotzumalguapa 88 / -19° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
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