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Astros 7, Brewers 6                                         2026-07-08 · #1033
at Meadow Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Milwaukee               6    6    7    0
Houston                 7    7    9    0

BREWERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Williams    ss ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.667
Espinoza    3b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Prather     rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Kaplan      1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Gentry      lf ......    3   2   2   1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Yani        c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Trejo       2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Irving  ph ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Saravia     cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Ebun        p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Bangour pr ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Nava        j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Ayers       j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Eggleston   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   6   7   3   0   1   5   2   9   0   0  0.250
  2B: Williams (23), Gentry (7), Irving (43).
  HR: Gentry (6), off Abrams.
  SB: Ayers (3).
  HBP: Nava (2).
  GIDP: Saravia (4), Bangoura (4).
  a-Batted for Trejo in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Ebun in the 3rd.

ASTROS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Thom        c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Moros       cf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Abrams      p  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Pitchford   2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Patridge    rf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Rivas   ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Morales     1b ......    3   1   2   2   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
Maier       lf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Gómez       ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Neely       3b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  1.000
  b-Prince  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Kingsbu ph ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  d-Konig   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  e-Daniels ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Henríqu pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Oliveira    j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Valencia    j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Trejo       j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  19   7   9   3   0   0   7   5   4   0   1  0.474
  2B: Morales 2 (11), Kingsbury (5).
  SB: Gómez (3), Valencia (6).
  CS: Prince (1).
  a-Walked for Patridge in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Rivas in the 3rd.
  c-Batted in the 4th.
  d-Ran in the 4th.
  e-Struck out for Konig in the 5th.
  f-Ran in the 5th.

BREWERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ebun (L, 15-1) ......    24   17  63%    9    7    7    5    4    0   91    -

ASTROS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Abrams ..............    10    7  26%    3    3    2    0    4    1   35    -
Faber ...............     9    7  26%    2    3    3    1    4    0   32  2-1
Benguché (W, 6-2) ...    12   13  48%    2    0    0    1    2    0   50  1-0

BREWERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-17)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Ebun (Outs 1-17)
CATCHER (C)       | Yani (Outs 1-17)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Kaplan (Outs 1-17)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Trejo (Outs 1-17)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Espinoza (Outs 1-17)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Williams (Outs 1-17)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Gentry (Outs 1-17)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Saravia (Outs 1-17)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Prather (Outs 1-17)

ASTROS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Abrams (Outs 1-7) → Faber (Outs 8-14) → Benguché (Outs 15-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Thom (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Morales (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Pitchford (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Neely (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Gómez (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Maier (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Moros (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Patridge (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Astros (home) batted second; Brewers batted first.
  First pitch 7:10 PM CT. Weather: 90°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 101712.
  Walk-Back runs: off Abrams 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 4 Noel Gentry Noel Gentry (HR) 1–0
T 7 Jesse Williams Noel Gentry (3B) 2–0
T 7 Jesse Williams Johan Bangoura (2B) 3–0
T 12 Clifford Irving Jesse Williams (2B) 4–0
T 12 Terry Ayers Andres Espinoza (3B) 5–0
T 13 Johan Bangoura Clifford Irving (3B) 6–0
B 12 Mirko Moros Cedrick Konig (3B) 6–1
B 14 Van Neely Angel Henríquez (2B) 6–2
B 15 Khalil Abrams Van Neely (2B) 6–3
B 15 Jeff Prince Maxi Valencia (3B) 6–4
B 16 Jeyland Morales Khalil Abrams (1B) 6–5
B 16 Marcos Kingsbury Jeyland Morales (2B) 6–6
B 17 Benicio Trejo Marcos Kingsbury (2B) 6–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Meadow Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 374' · CF 430' · RF 367' · 8' wall). The Hourglass.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard Ivy Wall
Brewers — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 3 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
374' 430' 367' Andres Espinoza — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 212 ft Noel Gentry — hr · EV 97 mph · LA +41° · 372 ft Francis Trejo — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +1° · 72 ft Frank Ebun — single · EV 92 mph · LA +7° · 87 ft Clifford Irving — double · EV 92 mph · LA +44° · 338 ft Terry Ayers — single · EV 76 mph · LA +25° · 179 ft Donni Eggleston — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 117 ft Jesse Williams — double · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 167 ft Andres Espinoza — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 72 ft Noel Gentry — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +18° · 65 ft Graydon Yani — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +28° · 279 ft Sergio Saravia — double_play · EV 92 mph · LA -0° · 87 ft Jesse Williams — single · EV 76 mph · LA -8° · 72 ft Andres Espinoza — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -28° · 72 ft Steven Kaplan — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 129 ft Noel Gentry — double · EV 92 mph · LA +36° · 323 ft Johan Bangoura — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -18° · 72 ft
Astros — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 6 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
374' 430' 367' Jeyland Morales — double · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 234 ft Raz Pitchford — ground_out · EV 96 mph · LA -16° · 91 ft Mirko Moros — single · EV 100 mph · LA -8° · 95 ft Iapani Thom — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +9° · 124 ft Mayer Gómez — fielders_choice · EV 88 mph · LA -7° · 84 ft Marcelo Oliveira — single · EV 95 mph · LA +26° · 287 ft Van Neely — single · EV 89 mph · LA +14° · 143 ft Maxi Valencia — single · EV 82 mph · LA +21° · 181 ft Jeff Prince — fly_out · EV 71 mph · LA +33° · 185 ft Benicio Trejo — single · EV 80 mph · LA +13° · 117 ft Mirko Moros — ground_out · EV 73 mph · LA -7° · 69 ft Khalil Abrams — single · EV 82 mph · LA +16° · 140 ft Marcos Kingsbury — double · EV 86 mph · LA +15° · 148 ft Jeyland Morales — double · EV 119 mph · LA +19° · 350 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Brewers
33% deserve-to-win  ·  6.1 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -0.1 vs expected
contact: 10.5 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (+2.5 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Noel Gentry 97 / +41° Pull Home Run 2.0 → 4 +2.02
Jesse Williams 92 / +15° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.17
Noel Gentry 92 / +36° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.08
Andres Espinoza 92 / +19° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.90
Clifford Irving 92 / +44° Center Double 1.1 → 2 +0.88
Astros
67% deserve-to-win  ·  8.6 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  -1.6 vs expected
contact: 10.3 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (+1.7 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (+0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Marcos Kingsbury 86 / +15° Pull Double 0.6 → 2 +1.41
Iapani Thom 100 / +9° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.25
Jeyland Morales 100 / +18° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.58
Mirko Moros 100 / -8° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.57
Raz Pitchford 96 / -16° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.45
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