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Athletics 5, Beavers 4                                      2026-07-08 · #1034
at Abdurakhmanov Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Portland                4    4    7    0
Oakland                 5    5    5    0

BEAVERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Clement     lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   3   0   0  0.000
  a-Maripán pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Turenne     cf ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.250
Hydrick     rf ......    3   1   3   2   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Tessema     2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  b-Okey    pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Aktaş       3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Villarreal  ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Streko  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Holzworth   1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Zamora      c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Vahaly  ph ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Giammalva   p  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Waston  pr ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Vidal   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  g-Schilli pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Velazquez   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Redmayne    j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  27   4   7   5   0   1   4   4  12   0   0  0.259
  2B: Turenne (10), Hydrick 2 (6), Giammalva (3), Waston (1).
  HR: Hydrick (1), off Curran.
  CS: Turenne (4), Waston (3), Okey (4), Vidal (1), Schillig (1).
  a-Ran for Clement in the 9th.
  b-Ran for Tessema in the 5th.
  c-Grounded out for Villarreal in the 7th.
  d-Batted for Zamora in the 3rd.
  e-Ran for Giammalva in the 3rd.
  f-Ran in the 7th.
  g-Ran for Streko in the 8th.

ATHLETICS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Crutchfield 2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Leat    pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Noel        ss ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Curran      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Kade        lf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Sinclai ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Caspersen   c  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Pagán       1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   1   0   0  0.000
DeLong      rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Korda       3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Wiesner pr ......    0   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   1   .000
Saunders    cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Banuelo pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  e-Viscarr ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  f-Zago    ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Ghannam     j  ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Benítez     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Taygan      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  17   5   5   1   0   0   4  10   4   1   1  0.294
  2B: Ghannam (5).
  SB: Noel (3), Wiesner (2).
  CS: Kade (13).
  GIDP: DeLong (1), Sinclair (9).
  a-Ran for Crutchfield in the 5th.
  b-Batted for Kade in the 4th.
  c-Ran for Korda in the 4th.
  d-Ran in the 6th.
  e-Walked in the 4th.
  f-Walked in the 9th.

BEAVERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Giammalva (L, 3-11) .    26   21  78%    4    5    5   10    4    0   83    -

ATHLETICS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Curran (W, 12-2) ....    21   19  70%    6    2    2    1    9    1   73    -
Appiah ..............    10    8  30%    1    2    2    3    3    0   29  1-0

BEAVERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-21)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Giammalva (Outs 1-21)
CATCHER (C)       | Zamora (Outs 1-21)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Holzworth (Outs 1-21)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Tessema (Outs 1-21)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Aktaş (Outs 1-21)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Villarreal (Outs 1-21)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Clement (Outs 1-21)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Turenne (Outs 1-21)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Hydrick (Outs 1-21)

ATHLETICS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Curran (Outs 1-19) → Appiah (Outs 20-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Caspersen (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Pagán (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Crutchfield (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Korda (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Noel (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Kade (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Saunders (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | DeLong (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Athletics (home) batted second; Beavers batted first.
  First pitch 2:10 PM PT. Weather: 69°F · Wind out · Clear. seed 246576.
  Powerplays: Athletics — Viscarra NF (O17)
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.56    Peak faced 1.29
    27 outs left: 0.56
    18 outs left: 0.83
     9 outs left: 1.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 1 Holcombe Hydrick Levar De Turenne (2B) 1–0 —
T 19 Holcombe Hydrick Holcombe Hydrick (HR) 2–0 —
T 25 Agustín Waston Francisco Vahaly (1B) 3–0 —
T 25 Levar De Turenne Agustín Waston (3B) 4–0 —
B 15 Rodrigo Benítez Martin Leat (3B) 4–1 1.00
B 18 Marcos Ghannam Chet Noel (3B) 4–2 1.00
B 21 Modesto Pagán Stefan Banuelos (3B) 4–3 1.00
B 21 Tobias DeLong Marcos Ghannam (3B) 4–4 0.50
B 21 Zane Wiesner Val Caspersen (3B) 4–5 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.56
Peak faced 1.29
27 outs left 0.56
18 outs left 0.83
9 outs left 1.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Abdurakhmanov Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 350' · CF 450' · RF 346' · 13' wall). Cavernous.
Death Valley
Beavers — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 1 1B · 5 XBH · 1 HR
350' 450' 346' Levar De Turenne — double · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 231 ft Holcombe Hydrick — double · EV 100 mph · LA +40° · 393 ft Dawood Aktaş — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +7° · 80 ft Kyron Giammalva — double · EV 94 mph · LA +12° · 148 ft Francisco Vahaly — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +5° · 78 ft Mekhi Streko — fielders_choice · EV 78 mph · LA -18° · 75 ft Agustín Waston — double · EV 110 mph · LA +21° · 324 ft Bonsa Tessema — single · EV 80 mph · LA +14° · 115 ft Holcombe Hydrick — double · EV 100 mph · LA +19° · 242 ft Levar De Turenne — fielders_choice · EV 85 mph · LA -2° · 80 ft Francisco Vahaly — fielders_choice · EV 95 mph · LA -16° · 90 ft Levar De Turenne — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA -16° · 89 ft Holcombe Hydrick — hr · EV 107 mph · LA +38° · 446 ft Levar De Turenne — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +3° · 95 ft
Athletics — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
350' 450' 346' Nick Kade — single · EV 86 mph · LA -13° · 82 ft Emmett Crutchfield — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +35° · 223 ft Val Caspersen — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA +8° · 72 ft Tobias DeLong — double_play · EV 70 mph · LA -2° · 66 ft Chet Noel — fly_out · EV 70 mph · LA +32° · 175 ft Keaton Saunders — line_out · EV 65 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Shane Curran — fly_out · EV 85 mph · LA +28° · 238 ft Marcos Ghannam — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 96 ft Cannon Sinclair — ground_out · EV 102 mph · LA -0° · 97 ft Rodrigo Benítez — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +19° · 156 ft Zane Wiesner — single · EV 88 mph · LA +10° · 109 ft Marcos Ghannam — double · EV 93 mph · LA +18° · 203 ft Cannon Sinclair — double_play · EV 85 mph · LA +2° · 80 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Beavers
19% deserve-to-win  ·  3.8 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +0.2 vs expected
contact: 13.1 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 15.0 (+1.9 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 5 CS (-3.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Kyron Giammalva 94 / +12° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.19
Holcombe Hydrick 107 / +38° Pull Home Run 2.9 → 4 +1.12
Levar De Turenne 100 / +18° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.58
Holcombe Hydrick 100 / +19° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.58
Bonsa Tessema 80 / +14° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Athletics
81% deserve-to-win  ·  7.9 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -2.9 vs expected
contact: 4.9 est bases + 10 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (+0.1 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Marcos Ghannam 93 / +18° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.11
Nick Kade 86 / -13° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Rodrigo Benítez 80 / +19° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Marcos Ghannam 76 / +12° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Val Caspersen 79 / +8° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.47
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