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Orioles 5, Marlins 3                                        2026-07-08 · #1036
at Deifel Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
Baltimore               5    5    5    1
Miami                   3    3    4    0

ORIOLES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Foust       ss ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Purchase    cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Spoelst ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Ison        2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Maloney     lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Alison      1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-López   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Samudio     rf ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   2   0   0   1   0  1.000
Kautz       c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  0.000
Abajian     3b ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Barba   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Dennis      p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Schloss ph ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Sigourn pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  f-Visser  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Lichnov pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  h-Maciejc ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  i-Melch   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Adams       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Thompson    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  22   5   5   0   0   1   5   4   1   1   1  0.227
  HR: Schloss (2), off Barcello.
  CS: Lichnovsky (1).
  E: Foust (6).
  HBP: Ison (4).
  GIDP: Ison (3).
  a-Walked for Purchase in the 6th.
  b-Batted for Alison in the 5th.
  c-Ran for Abajian in the 4th.
  d-Homered in the 9th.
  e-Ran in the 7th.
  f-Struck out for Thompson in the 7th.
  g-Ran in the 6th.
  h-Grounded out for Adams in the 7th.
  i-Grounded out in the 8th.

MARLINS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Chieh-yu    lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Enquist ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Enterline   rf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Suárez      2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Corzo       3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Todd-Willia 1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Groves      cf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  b-Beasley pr ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Suggs       ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Blackman    c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  0.000
Eakin       p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  1.000
  c-Narazak pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Burns       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  23   3   4   0   0   0   2   7   9   0   1  0.174
  SB: Enterline (1), Beasley 2 (4).
  CS: Chieh-yu (14).
  GITP: Suggs (1).
  a-Struck out for Chieh-yu in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Groves in the 5th.
  c-Ran for Eakin in the 6th.

ORIOLES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Dennis (W, 11-2) ....    29   24  89%    4    3    3    7    9    0   96    -
Luqueño .............     1    3  11%    0    0    0    0    0    0    5  2-0

MARLINS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Eakin ...............    18   16  59%    4    2    2    2    1    0   75    -
Barcello (L, 0-3) ...    10    8  30%    1    3    3    2    1    1   38  1-0

ORIOLES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Dennis (Outs 1-24) → Luqueño (Outs 25-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Kautz (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Alison (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Ison (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Abajian (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Foust (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Maloney (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Purchase (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Samudio (Outs 1-27)

MARLINS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-24)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Eakin (Outs 1-16) → Barcello (Outs 17-24)
CATCHER (C)       | Blackman (Outs 1-24)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Todd-Williams (Outs 1-24)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Suárez (Outs 1-24)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Corzo (Outs 1-24)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Suggs (Outs 1-24)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Chieh-yu (Outs 1-24)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Groves (Outs 1-24)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Enterline (Outs 1-24)

  Batting order: Marlins (home) batted first; Orioles batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM ET. Weather: 97°F · Wind calm · Clear · Heavy rain · Humid. seed 494768.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 18 Wallace Enterline Alexander Beasley (3B) 0–1
B 23 Keishiro Narazaki Wallace Enterline (3B) 0–2
B 24 Ramon Blackman Alexander Beasley (3B) 0–3
T 10 Rónald Samudio Nate Abajian (3B) 1–3
T 10 Rónald Samudio Ulises Barba (3B) 2–3
T 24 Zaimir Schloss Mackenzie Sigourney (2B) 3–3
T 24 Zaimir Schloss Sidney Foust (1B) 4–3
T 24 Zaimir Schloss Zaimir Schloss (HR) 5–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Deifel Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 276' · CF 455' · RF 303' · 50' wall). Bathtub.
Orioles — Batted Balls
22 BIP· 4 1B · 0 XBH · 1 HR
276' 455' 303' Wall 50' Alan Maloney — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +34° · 235 ft Dylan Purchase — line_out · EV 89 mph · LA +14° · 148 ft Kristian Alison — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +8° · 85 ft Rónald Samudio — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +32° · 216 ft Nate Abajian — single · EV 76 mph · LA -26° · 72 ft Brett Dennis — ground_out · EV 101 mph · LA +3° · 96 ft Rill Kautz — ground_out · EV 65 mph · LA +2° · 62 ft Dyllan Ison — double_play · EV 89 mph · LA -2° · 85 ft Edson López — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA -9° · 71 ft Sidney Foust — ground_out · EV 71 mph · LA -2° · 67 ft Destyn Thompson — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA +6° · 93 ft Jason Adams — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +30° · 294 ft Shawqi Maciejczak — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA -24° · 76 ft Andre Melch — line_out · EV 97 mph · LA +24° · 277 ft Zaimir Schloss — hr · EV 113 mph · LA +26° · 409 ft Brett Dennis — line_out · EV 98 mph · LA +14° · 182 ft Nate Abajian — single · EV 88 mph · LA +14° · 147 ft Rónald Samudio — single · EV 78 mph · LA +22° · 164 ft Alan Maloney — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +16° · 132 ft Dyllan Ison — fly_out · EV 96 mph · LA +27° · 303 ft Rónald Samudio — single · EV 88 mph · LA +11° · 121 ft Brett Dennis — line_out · EV 96 mph · LA +19° · 229 ft
Marlins — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 4 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
276' 455' 303' Wall 50' Ramon Blackman — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 148 ft Wallace Enterline — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft Mitch Eakin — single · EV 53 mph · LA +18° · 65 ft Alexander Beasley — single · EV 83 mph · LA +9° · 86 ft Keishiro Narazaki — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 116 ft Montavious Chieh-yu — fielders_choice · EV 59 mph · LA -18° · 56 ft Wilmer Corzo — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 127 ft Tennys Groves — single · EV 85 mph · LA +17° · 159 ft Ramon Blackman — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA -2° · 62 ft Wallace Enterline — error · EV 52 mph · LA +20° · 69 ft Carson Suggs — line_out · EV 65 mph · LA +16° · 86 ft Kendall Suárez — single · EV 76 mph · LA -10° · 72 ft Wilmer Corzo — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA -1° · 66 ft Carson Suggs — triple_play · EV 52 mph · LA -7° · 49 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Orioles
77% deserve-to-win  ·  10.6 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -5.6 vs expected
contact: 15.2 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (-7.2 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Brett Dennis 96 / +19° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.24
Andre Melch 97 / +24° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.24
Brett Dennis 98 / +14° Oppo Out 1.1 → 0 -1.11
Dyllan Ison 96 / +27° Pull Out 1.1 → 0 -1.08
Zaimir Schloss 113 / +26° Pull Home Run 3.0 → 4 +1.04
Marlins
23% deserve-to-win  ·  5.8 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -2.8 vs expected
contact: 4.9 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-0.9 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 1 CS (+0.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Kendall Suárez 76 / -10° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Mitch Eakin 53 / +18° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.57
Ramon Blackman 76 / +20° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Wilmer Corzo 76 / +17° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Keishiro Narazaki 76 / +15° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.48
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