Box Score — MBC @ AT — Super Innings

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Auckland Tailors 3, Melbourne Baseball Club 1               2046-04-23 · #1042
at Sabra Grounds
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                        1    R    H    E
Melbourne               1    1    5    0
Auckland                3    3    4    0

MELBOURNE BASEBALL CLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Baccus      cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Stott   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Reed        1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Buchanon    lf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Sainsbu pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Milligan    c  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Lopez       rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Frank       2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Irvine      3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Nwachuk ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Mulliga ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Bogaert pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Longley ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
King        j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Gurriel     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Talbot      j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Totals                  26   1   5   0   0   0   1   2  11   0   0  0.192
  SB: Milligan (2).
  CS: Stott (2), Sainsbury (2), Bogaerts (1).
  GIDP: Reed (1), Gurriel (2).
  a-Ran for Baccus in the 1st.
  b-Ran for Buchanon in the 2nd.
  c-Singled in the 4th.
  d-Batted in the 4th.
  e-Ran for Nwachukwu in the 4th.
  f-Batted in the 5th.

AUCKLAND TAILORS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Rangi       cf ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Petratos    1b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Young       lf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Rauf        2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Brock       c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
White       3b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Yengi       p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Brockie c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Quiñone c  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                   7   3   4   1   0   0   3   2   2   0   0  0.571
  2B: Young (5).
  Squeeze: White (1 RBI).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.
  b-Entered at C in the 9th.

MELBOURNE BASEBALL CLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Head (L, 0-2) .......     8    5  19%    3    3    3    2    2    0   29    -

AUCKLAND TAILORS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Yengi (W, 1-0) ......    24   23  85%    4    1    1    2   10    0  100    -
Cooks ...............     4    4  15%    1    0    0    0    1    0   11    -

  Batting order: Auckland Tailors (home) batted second; Melbourne Baseball Club batted first.
  First pitch 7:15 PM PETT. Weather: 65°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 997569.
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Scoring Events

Half	Outs	Batter	Runner (from)	Score
T	19	Brad Irvine	Dean Milligan (2B)	1–0
B	4	Martin White	Colin Rangi (3B)	1–1
B	4	Todd Yengi	Alex Young (3B)	1–2
B	4	Todd Yengi	Gerardo Quiñones (2B)	1–3

Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.

Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error

Charts drawn to Sabra Grounds's actual outfield dimensions (LF 341' · CF 462' · RF 357' · 11' wall). Cavernous.

Melbourne Baseball Club — Batted Balls

14 BIP· 5 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR

Auckland Tailors — Batted Balls

4 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR

Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.

Melbourne Baseball Club

4% deserve-to-win · 0.8 expected runs

actual 1 run · +0.2 vs expected

contact: 5.9 est bases + 2 walks/HBP · actual batted 5.0 (-0.9 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 3 CS (-1.8 runs)

Player	EV/LA	Spray	Result	Est→Act	Luck
Kingi Frank	94 / +18°	Pull	Out	1.0 → 0	-1.01
Pat King	76 / -10°	Center	Single	0.3 → 1	+0.71
Mustafa Longley	76 / +19°	Pull	Out	0.6 → 0	-0.60
Hilton Talbot	55 / +14°	Pull	Single	0.4 → 1	+0.59
Francois Buchanon	92 / -13°	Center	Single	0.4 → 1	+0.56

Auckland Tailors

96% deserve-to-win · 4.0 expected runs

actual 3 runs · -1.0 vs expected

contact: 6.2 est bases + 2 walks/HBP · actual batted 4.0 (-2.2 on contact)

Player	EV/LA	Spray	Result	Est→Act	Luck
Adeel Rauf	119 / +16°	Center	Out	1.7 → 0	-1.74
Alex Young	100 / +42°	Center	Double	2.5 → 2	-0.52
Todd Yengi	100 / -8°	Pull	Single	0.6 → 1	+0.43
Brendon Petratos	107 / +10°	Pull	Single	1.4 → 1	-0.36