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Bern Baseball Klub 6, Hermosillo BC 5                       2046-04-23 · #1043
at Hermosillo Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Bern                    6    6    5    0
Hermosillo              5    5    7    1

BERN BASEBALL KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Harden      lf ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Markovic    rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Delane      1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
DeHeart     2b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Labbe       3b ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Morris      ss ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Barham      cf ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Vonk        p  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Conde   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Minaya  cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Hosny       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Justice     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bocanegra   j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  24   6   5   4   0   0   6   3   8   0   0  0.208
  2B: Harden (1), DeHeart (3), Barham (1), Vonk (1).
  SB: Justice (2).
  GIDP: Delane (3).
  a-Struck out for Vonk in the 6th.
  b-Entered at CF in the 8th.

HERMOSILLO BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kretschman  lf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Jung        c  ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.250
Lannoy      1b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Lenis       ss ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Norris      cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Cota        rf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
  a-Gallati pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Probst      3b ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Pirela      2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Palfrey     p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Blake   pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Ashe    ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
O'Malley    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Salinas     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Strachan    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  31   5   7   3   0   0   5   3   6   0   0  0.226
  2B: Jung (15), Lenis (11), Probst (1).
  CS: Lannoy (3).
  E: Salinas (2).
  a-Ran for Cota in the 8th.
  b-Ran for Palfrey in the 5th.
  c-Grounded out for Blake in the 8th.

BERN BASEBALL KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Vonk (W, 2-3) .......    34   27 100%    7    5    4    3    6    0  128    -

HERMOSILLO BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Palfrey (L, 4-2) ....    28   21  78%    5    6    4    3    8    0   95    -

  Batting order: Hermosillo BC (home) batted first; Bern Baseball Klub batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 58°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain. seed 585552.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 2 Mateo Lenis Logan Kretschman (1B) 0–1
B 4 Quincy Probst Stefan Cota (1B) 0–2
B 14 Rafael Pirela Quincy Probst (3B) 0–3
B 17 Dong-hyun Jung Don Blake (1B) 0–4
B 24 Dong-hyun Jung Troy Gallatin (3B) 0–5
T 9 Mirko Barham Tre Labbe (1B) 1–5
T 9 Landon Vonk Mirko Barham (2B) 2–5
T 11 Dominic Delane Landon Vonk (3B) 3–5
T 16 Lawrence Harden Tre Labbe (1B) 4–5
T 18 Alexis Minaya Lawrence Harden (2B) 5–5
T 21 Herb Bocanegra Marcel Morris (3B) 6–5
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Hermosillo Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 365' · CF 486' · RF 378' · 20' wall). Cavernous.
Wire Basket
Bern Baseball Klub — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 1 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
365' 486' 378' Wall 20' Sherif Hosny — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +4° · 95 ft Herb Bocanegra — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -22° · 95 ft Orlando DeHeart — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA -6° · 94 ft Mirko Barham — double · EV 116 mph · LA +12° · 211 ft Landon Vonk — double · EV 105 mph · LA +16° · 234 ft Tre Labbe — fielders_choice · EV 94 mph · LA +7° · 89 ft Alexis Minaya — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA -29° · 88 ft Dominic Delane — double_play · EV 108 mph · LA +10° · 157 ft Orlando DeHeart — double · EV 118 mph · LA +17° · 319 ft Lawrence Harden — double · EV 97 mph · LA +31° · 328 ft Shaq Justice — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +0° · 95 ft Alexis Minaya — error · EV 100 mph · LA -11° · 95 ft Sherif Hosny — line_out · EV 99 mph · LA +17° · 215 ft Herb Bocanegra — single · EV 100 mph · LA -1° · 95 ft
Hermosillo BC — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 4 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
365' 486' 378' Wall 20' Fernando de Lannoy — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +40° · 261 ft Mateo Lenis — double · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 187 ft Juan Norris — fly_out · EV 98 mph · LA +37° · 367 ft Stefan Cota — single · EV 82 mph · LA -3° · 78 ft Quincy Probst — double · EV 104 mph · LA +28° · 357 ft Rafael Pirela — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +8° · 71 ft Mitchell O'Malley — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +29° · 240 ft Don Blake — single · EV 89 mph · LA +14° · 150 ft Guillermo Ashe — line_out · EV 85 mph · LA +12° · 114 ft Soane Strachan — line_out · EV 102 mph · LA +20° · 265 ft Fernando de Lannoy — line_out · EV 94 mph · LA +14° · 170 ft Juan Norris — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +0° · 78 ft Rafael Pirela — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA +3° · 88 ft Quincy Probst — single · EV 92 mph · LA +4° · 88 ft Dong-hyun Jung — double · EV 100 mph · LA +22° · 280 ft Fernando de Lannoy — single · EV 79 mph · LA +18° · 150 ft Juan Norris — fly_out · EV 107 mph · LA +29° · 393 ft Stefan Cota — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA -4° · 50 ft Logan Kretschman — error · EV 97 mph · LA +8° · 108 ft Dong-hyun Jung — fly_out · EV 96 mph · LA +48° · 368 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Bern Baseball Klub
45% deserve-to-win  ·  7.7 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -1.7 vs expected
contact: 12.6 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (-3.6 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Dominic Delane 108 / +10° Oppo Double Play 1.4 → 0 -1.38
Sherif Hosny 99 / +17° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Lawrence Harden 97 / +31° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.84
Landon Vonk 105 / +16° Pull Double 1.4 → 2 +0.64
Sherif Hosny 100 / +4° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.56
Hermosillo BC
55% deserve-to-win  ·  8.6 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -3.6 vs expected
contact: 17.4 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (-7.4 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Juan Norris 107 / +29° Center Out 2.1 → 0 -2.07
Juan Norris 98 / +37° Center Out 1.6 → 0 -1.60
Soane Strachan 102 / +20° Oppo Out 1.5 → 0 -1.53
Logan Kretschman 97 / +8° Center Reached on Error 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Fernando de Lannoy 94 / +14° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
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