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Stars 16, Braves 6                                          2026-07-10 · #1051
at The Citadel
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Nashville              16      0   16   10    1
Atlanta                 6      -    6   11    0

STARS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Karouani    1b ......    5   2   2   1   1   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.400
Fusano      lf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   1   0   0  0.000
Mendez      c  ......    5   2   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.200
Spence      rf ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Boattin     cf ......    5   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   4   0   0  0.000
Menéndez    ss ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Beers       3b ......    3   3   2   0   1   0   3   1   0   0   0  0.667
Burani      2b ......    4   2   1   0   0   1   3   0   3   0   0  0.250
Trujillo    p  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Cooper  ph ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Giannou     j  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  37  16  10   4   2   1  15   5  12   0   0  0.270
  2B: Karouani (20), Menéndez (5), Giannou (7), Cooper (16).
  3B: Karouani (2), Beers (1).
  HR: Burani (2), off Mickens.
  SB: Beers (1).
  E: Giannou (4).
  a-Batted in the 6th.

BRAVES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Chu         ss ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Alvelo      2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Nilo        cf ......    4   0   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   1   0  0.500
Sauerbrunn  3b ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.250
Lamar       lf ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Homans      p  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.250
Kalogeropou rf ......    2   2   2   2   0   0   3   0   0   0   1  1.000
Bray        c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
Cocotos     1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Allison     cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  a-Spencer ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  31   6  11   5   0   0   6   0   5   1   2  0.355
  2B: Nilo (8), Sauerbrunn (9), Lamar (18), Kalogeropoulos 2 (17).
  SB: Alvelo (10), Kalogeropoulos (7).
  CS: Chu (8), Spencer (13).
  HBP: Kalogeropoulos (3).
  GIDP: Nilo (5).
  Squeeze: Kalogeropoulos (1 RBI).
  a-Batted in the 5th.

STARS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Trujillo (W, 3-8) ...    14   12  44%    4    2    2    0    3    0   46    -
Scotti ..............    13   10  37%    4    3    1    0    1    0   50  2-1
Faríñez (F, 36) .....     5    5  19%    3    1    1    0    1    0   15  1-1

BRAVES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Homans ..............     8    4  15%    1    3    3    3    2    0   28    -
Chourio .............     9    6  22%    3    3    3    0    4    0   26  1-1
Mickens (L, 1-2) ....    11    7  26%    2    5    5    2    3    1   44  1-1
Buford ..............    12    8  30%    4    5    4    0    3    0   41  1-1
Morejón .............     2    2   7%    0    0    0    0    0    0    3    -

STARS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Trujillo (Outs 1-12) → Scotti (Outs 13-22) → Faríñez (Outs 23-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Mendez (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Karouani (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Burani (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Beers (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Menéndez (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Fusano (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Boattin (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Spence (Outs 1-27)

BRAVES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Homans (Outs 1-4) → Chourio (Outs 5-10) → Mickens (Outs 11-17) → Buford (Outs 18-25) → Morejón (Outs 26-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Bray (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Cocotos (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Alvelo (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Sauerbrunn (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Chu (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Lamar (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Allison (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Kalogeropoulos (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Braves (home) batted second; Stars batted first.
  Seconds: NSH o26 (16-0).
  First pitch 5:45 PM CT. Weather: 77°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 355452.
  Walk-Back runs: off Buford 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 3 Sandy Beers Facundo Mendez (3B) 1–0
T 3 Sandy Beers Sean Spence (2B) 2–0
T 3 Sandy Beers Jewison Menéndez (1B) 3–0
T 4 Derlis Trujillo Sandy Beers (3B) 4–0
T 6 Facundo Mendez Derlis Trujillo (2B) 5–0
T 9 Samuel Giannou Facundo Mendez (1B) 6–0
T 12 Khosilot El Karouani Samuel Giannou (2B) 7–0
T 15 Jewison Menéndez Khosilot El Karouani (3B) 8–0
T 16 Justo Burani Tracy Fusano (3B) 9–0
T 16 Justo Burani Sandy Beers (2B) 10–0
T 16 Justo Burani Justo Burani (HR) 11–0
T 19 Facundo Mendez Justo Burani (3B) 12–0
T 23 Bruno Cooper Jewison Menéndez (3B) 13–0
T 23 Bruno Cooper Sandy Beers (1B) 14–0
T 23 Khosilot El Karouani Bruno Cooper (2B) 15–0
T 23 Tracy Fusano Khosilot El Karouani (3B) 16–0
B 2 Ned Homans Dennis Lamar (3B) 16–1
B 8 Kreigh Kalogeropoulos Kreigh Kalogeropoulos (3B) 16–2
B 16 Kreigh Kalogeropoulos Cameron Allison (3B) 16–3
B 19 Oscar Nilo Akili Sauerbrunn (3B) 16–4
B 20 Dennis Lamar Ned Homans (3B) 16–5
B 22 Kreigh Kalogeropoulos Todd Chu (3B) 16–6
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Citadel's actual outfield dimensions (LF 368' · CF 355' · RF 345' · 10' wall). The Crescent — Inverted.
Crescent Grandstand
Stars — Batted Balls
24 BIP· 3 1B · 6 XBH · 1 HR
368' 355' 345' Facundo Mendez — fielders_choice · EV 90 mph · LA -16° · 86 ft Sandy Beers — triple · EV 97 mph · LA +13° · 168 ft Derlis Trujillo — single · EV 90 mph · LA +15° · 163 ft Jewison Menéndez — line_out · EV 74 mph · LA +13° · 94 ft Samuel Giannou — double · EV 99 mph · LA +10° · 138 ft Khosilot El Karouani — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +6° · 95 ft Facundo Mendez — single · EV 79 mph · LA +18° · 144 ft Derlis Trujillo — fly_out · EV 83 mph · LA +35° · 257 ft Sean Spence — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +17° · 228 ft Tracy Fusano — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +33° · 315 ft Bruno Cooper — double · EV 106 mph · LA +29° · 384 ft Khosilot El Karouani — double · EV 106 mph · LA +22° · 314 ft Facundo Mendez — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +31° · 248 ft Justo Burani — hr · EV 104 mph · LA +39° · 420 ft Sean Spence — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -24° · 88 ft Jewison Menéndez — double · EV 90 mph · LA +48° · 323 ft Sandy Beers — single · EV 99 mph · LA +8° · 113 ft Tracy Fusano — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +1° · 95 ft Khosilot El Karouani — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +5° · 80 ft Facundo Mendez — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -38° · 84 ft Sean Spence — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA +9° · 65 ft Khosilot El Karouani — triple · EV 97 mph · LA +18° · 221 ft Facundo Mendez — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA -20° · 82 ft Pepe Boattin — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -2° · 87 ft
Braves — Batted Balls
23 BIP· 5 1B · 5 XBH · 0 HR
368' 355' 345' Dennis Lamar — double · EV 92 mph · LA +21° · 227 ft Todd Chu — single · EV 81 mph · LA +25° · 202 ft Oscar Nilo — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Ned Homans — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +27° · 185 ft Akili Sauerbrunn — line_out · EV 101 mph · LA +15° · 207 ft Zack Spencer — ground_out · EV 61 mph · LA -3° · 58 ft Kreigh Kalogeropoulos — double · EV 92 mph · LA +32° · 304 ft Bruce Cocotos — single · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft Mirko Alvelo — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +1° · 72 ft Akili Sauerbrunn — double · EV 92 mph · LA +24° · 253 ft Ned Homans — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +43° · 337 ft Oscar Nilo — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +36° · 321 ft Todd Chu — fly_out · EV 79 mph · LA +34° · 232 ft Zack Spencer — single · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 176 ft Kreigh Kalogeropoulos — double · EV 92 mph · LA +11° · 122 ft Akili Sauerbrunn — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 88 ft Ned Homans — error · EV 62 mph · LA -18° · 59 ft Oscar Nilo — double · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 156 ft Todd Chu — error · EV 85 mph · LA +7° · 81 ft Dennis Lamar — infield_single · EV 62 mph · LA +16° · 83 ft Ned Homans — single · EV 94 mph · LA +28° · 298 ft Oscar Nilo — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -11° · 72 ft Oscar Nilo — double_play · EV 55 mph · LA +17° · 66 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Stars
85% deserve-to-win  ·  12.4 expected runs
actual 16 runs  ·  +3.6 vs expected
contact: 20.0 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 21.0 (+1.0 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Justo Burani 104 / +39° Center Home Run 2.0 → 4 +2.05
Sandy Beers 97 / +13° Pull Triple 1.1 → 3 +1.89
Khosilot El Karouani 97 / +18° Oppo Triple 1.2 → 3 +1.76
Sean Spence 100 / +17° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.42
Tracy Fusano 92 / +33° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.92
Braves
15% deserve-to-win  ·  5.1 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +0.9 vs expected
contact: 12.6 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 16.0 (+3.4 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 2 CS (-0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Akili Sauerbrunn 92 / +24° Center Double 0.7 → 2 +1.26
Akili Sauerbrunn 101 / +15° Oppo Out 1.2 → 0 -1.25
Oscar Nilo 92 / +14° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.17
Kreigh Kalogeropoulos 92 / +11° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.17
Ned Homans 92 / +43° Oppo Out 1.1 → 0 -1.12
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