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Dodgers 9, Nationals 9  (4 SI)                              2026-07-10 · #1050
at Wold Ground
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                        1      S    R    H    E
Washington              8      1    9   16    0
Los Angeles             8      1    9   11    0

NATIONALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Pastore     2b ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
  a-Foster  ph ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Burrows     c  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Ferrie  pr ......    4   3   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.250
Giroud      ss ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Fabra   pr ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.500
Devezin     rf ......    5   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.200
Thompkins   lf ......    5   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Cheng       1b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
  d-Houston pr ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Morel       cf ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
  e-Jones-W pr ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Alvarado    3b ......    6   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.167
Folds       p  ......    4   0   2   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.500
  f-Menz    pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  g-DeMelo  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mayer       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  49   9  16   4   0   0   7   6  15   0   0  0.327
  2B: Pastore (9), Giroud (2), Morel (5), Folds (1).
  HBP: Devezin (3).
  GIDP: Pastore (2), Alvarado (6), Houston (1).
  a-Batted for Pastore in the 10th.
  b-Ran for Burrows in the 4th.
  c-Ran for Giroud in the 5th.
  d-Ran for Cheng in the 7th.
  e-Ran for Morel in the 8th.
  f-Ran for Folds in the 7th.
  g-Ran in the 11th.

DODGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Tejeda      lf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   2   2   0   0  0.333
Ochoa       ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Gilbert pr ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   3   0   0  0.000
Byrd        p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Mokiao-Atim 1b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   2   3   0   0  0.250
Bertrams    rf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.250
Gerardy     3b ......    6   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.167
Manaia      c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Boyajya ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Swanson     cf ......    5   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Glatch      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Gleason ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Roby    pr ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.333
  e-Saffold pr ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.500
  f-Querrey pr ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Monroe      j  ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Abbott      j  ......    2   2   2   1   0   1   5   0   0   0   0  1.000
Kromah      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  43   9  11   4   0   1   8  12  16   0   0  0.256
  2B: Tejeda (1), Abbott (2), Roby (9), Saffold (9).
  HR: Abbott (3), off Folds.
  SB: Bertrams (6).
  CS: Bertrams (5).
  a-Ran for Ochoa in the 6th.
  b-Grounded out for Manaia in the 5th.
  c-Walked for Glatch in the 7th.
  d-Ran in the 4th.
  e-Ran in the 6th.
  f-Ran for Gleason in the 6th.

NATIONALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Folds ...............    53   38 141%   10    9    2   11   17    1  185    -
McMurray ............     3    1   4%    1    0    0    1    0    0   10    -

DODGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Byrd ................    32   20  74%   12    2    2    4    7    0  115    -
Goss ................    14   11  41%    2    2    2    1    5    0   48  2-0
Fitzgibbon ..........     9    7  26%    2    4    4    1    2    0   33  3-2
Fariña ..............     1    1   4%    0    1    1    0    1    0    5  1-1

NATIONALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-39)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Folds (Outs 1-38) → McMurray (Outs 39-39)
CATCHER (C)       | Burrows (Outs 1-39)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Cheng (Outs 1-39)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Pastore (Outs 1-39)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Alvarado (Outs 1-39)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Giroud (Outs 1-39)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Thompkins (Outs 1-39)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Morel (Outs 1-39)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Devezin (Outs 1-39)

DODGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-39)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Byrd (Outs 1-20) → Goss (Outs 21-31) → Fitzgibbon (Outs 32-38) → Fariña (Outs 39-39)
CATCHER (C)       | Manaia (Outs 1-39)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Mokiao-Atimalala (Outs 1-39)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Glatch (Outs 1-39)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Gerardy (Outs 1-39)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Ochoa (Outs 1-39)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Tejeda (Outs 1-39)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Swanson (Outs 1-39)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Bertrams (Outs 1-39)

  Batting order: Dodgers (home) batted second; Nationals batted first.
  Super-innings: 4.
  First pitch 2:10 PM PT. Weather: 88°F · Wind cross · Overcast · Humid. seed 341875.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 1.11    Peak faced 7.50
    27 outs left: 1.11
    18 outs left: 1.33
     9 outs left: 2.67
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 1 Damion Thompkins Óscar Giroud (2B) 1–0 —
T 10 Damion Thompkins Diehl Ferrie (3B) 2–0 —
T 19 Cheng-wei Cheng Oscar Fabra (3B) 3–0 —
T 19 Yoel Morel Diehl Ferrie (3B) 4–0 —
T 19 Yoel Morel Oscar Fabra (2B) 5–0 —
T 20 Gerry Folds Sammy Houston (3B) 6–0 —
T 24 Sammy Houston Carl Jones-Wesley (3B) 7–0 —
T 26 Carl Jones-Wesley Diehl Ferrie (3B) 8–0 —
B 8 Todd Byrd Dean Gilbert (2B) 8–1 1.42
B 19 Wallace Monroe Leonardo Tejeda (2B) 8–2 3.00
B 21 Berkeley Abbott Wallace Monroe (1B) 8–3 3.50
B 24 Daylan Querrey Berkeley Abbott (3B) 8–4 6.00
B 26 Berkeley Abbott Daylan Querrey (3B) 8–5 15.00
B 26 Berkeley Abbott Eugene Roby (2B) 8–6 12.00
B 26 Berkeley Abbott Wallace Monroe (1B) 8–7 9.00
B 26 Berkeley Abbott Berkeley Abbott (HR) 8–8 6.00
ST 29 Diehl Ferrie Raz Menz (2B) 9–8 —
SB 29 Eugene Roby Jerome Saffold (3B) 9–9 —
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 1.11
Peak faced 7.50
27 outs left 1.11
18 outs left 1.33
9 outs left 2.67
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Wold Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 338' · CF 395' · RF 346' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Knothole Gates
Nationals — Batted Balls
31 BIP· 12 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
338' 395' 346' Marcos Pastore — double · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 164 ft Basil Burrows — single · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 155 ft Rill Devezin — single · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Damion Thompkins — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +8° · 87 ft Cheng-wei Cheng — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 103 ft Yoel Morel — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +32° · 302 ft Júnior Alvarado — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -12° · 49 ft Óscar Giroud — double · EV 96 mph · LA +35° · 348 ft Diehl Ferrie — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -4° · 72 ft Sammy Houston — double_play · EV 53 mph · LA -22° · 51 ft Rayce Foster — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA +21° · 224 ft Raz Menz — single · EV 52 mph · LA -8° · 49 ft Júnior Alvarado — single · EV 52 mph · LA +12° · 60 ft Marcos Pastore — line_out · EV 60 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Diehl Ferrie — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +30° · 198 ft Oscar Fabra — single · EV 98 mph · LA -7° · 93 ft Sammy Houston — single · EV 76 mph · LA -3° · 72 ft Rayce Foster — single · EV 94 mph · LA -8° · 89 ft Carl Jones-Wesley — single · EV 99 mph · LA +8° · 94 ft Cheng-wei Cheng — single · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 144 ft Yoel Morel — double · EV 92 mph · LA +39° · 331 ft Júnior Alvarado — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 72 ft Gerry Folds — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 113 ft Diehl Ferrie — single · EV 103 mph · LA +9° · 131 ft Sammy Houston — single · EV 119 mph · LA +14° · 271 ft Marcos Pastore — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -18° · 49 ft Júnior Alvarado — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA +9° · 118 ft Gerry Folds — double · EV 110 mph · LA +12° · 198 ft Rill Devezin — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +0° · 49 ft Damion Thompkins — error · EV 76 mph · LA +25° · 177 ft Júnior Alvarado — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA -1° · 90 ft
Dodgers — Batted Balls
22 BIP· 6 1B · 4 XBH · 1 HR
338' 395' 346' Todd Byrd — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +15° · 122 ft Tanner Gerardy — single · EV 104 mph · LA +8° · 126 ft Bautista Ochoa — fielders_choice · EV 93 mph · LA -16° · 88 ft Colton Swanson — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA -4° · 87 ft Jed Boyajyan — error · EV 75 mph · LA +8° · 63 ft Eugene Roby — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +5° · 84 ft Wallace Monroe — single · EV 119 mph · LA -14° · 113 ft Berkeley Abbott — double · EV 110 mph · LA +17° · 270 ft Tomm Kromah — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA -11° · 81 ft Daylan Querrey — fielders_choice · EV 74 mph · LA -14° · 70 ft Jerome Saffold — double · EV 99 mph · LA +45° · 394 ft Todd Byrd — single · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 160 ft Dylan Bertrams — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +31° · 263 ft Berkeley Abbott — hr · EV 113 mph · LA +32° · 455 ft Daylan Querrey — single · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft Eugene Roby — double · EV 100 mph · LA +42° · 398 ft Tanner Gerardy — fly_out · EV 91 mph · LA +26° · 264 ft Ben Mokiao-Atimalala — single · EV 85 mph · LA -2° · 81 ft Dylan Bertrams — single · EV 87 mph · LA -15° · 82 ft Eugene Roby — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +31° · 262 ft Leonardo Tejeda — double · EV 99 mph · LA +14° · 189 ft Tanner Gerardy — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA -14° · 71 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Nationals
42% deserve-to-win  ·  11.2 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  -2.2 vs expected
contact: 16.8 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 20.0 (+3.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Marcos Pastore 92 / +14° Oppo Double 0.8 → 2 +1.19
Júnior Alvarado 98 / +9° Center Out 1.1 → 0 -1.10
Yoel Morel 92 / +39° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.06
Rayce Foster 91 / +21° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.89
Raz Menz 52 / -8° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Dodgers
58% deserve-to-win  ·  13.1 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  -4.1 vs expected
contact: 18.5 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 18.0 (-0.5 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Berkeley Abbott 113 / +32° Pull Home Run 2.9 → 4 +1.07
Leonardo Tejeda 99 / +14° Pull Double 1.1 → 2 +0.90
Daylan Querrey 76 / +4° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.75
Tanner Gerardy 91 / +26° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.73
Ben Mokiao-Atimalala 85 / -2° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.68
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