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Orioles 8, Rockies 6                                        2026-07-10 · #1056
at Kuvvatov Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Baltimore               8    8    5    1
Colorado                6    6    9    1

ORIOLES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Abajian     3b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Shaffer     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Kautz       c  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Foust   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ison        ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Flowers     cf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Sigourney   2b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Alison      1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  b-Barba   pr ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Purchase    rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Spoelst ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
Maloney     lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Stokke  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.000
  e-López   pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Mateer  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Schloss pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  h-Heath   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  i-Maciejc ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  j-Melch   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Adams       j  ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Thompson    j  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  27   8   5   2   0   0   8   8   5   0   0  0.185
  2B: Kautz (19), Thompson (2).
  CS: Sigourney (8), Adams (2).
  E: Abajian (3).
  HBP: Alison (1).
  GIDP: Flowers (7), Purchase (1), Mateer (1), Maciejczak (3), Melch (2).
  a-Batted for Kautz in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Alison in the 3rd.
  c-Walked for Purchase in the 6th.
  d-Ran for Maloney in the 3rd.
  e-Ran in the 5th.
  f-Ran in the 6th.
  g-Ran for Spoelstra in the 6th.
  h-Ran for Schloss in the 8th.
  i-Grounded out for Thompson in the 8th.
  j-Grounded out for López in the 9th.

ROCKIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Ruidíaz     ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Chaves      1b ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Goss        lf ......    5   0   2   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.400
Porteño     c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Jimenez     cf ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.667
Conover     3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.333
  a-Herr    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Alderman    rf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.250
Holzworth   p  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Kaiuway pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Diatta      2b ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.250
  c-Farquha ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  30   6   9   1   0   0   6   7   6   0   0  0.300
  2B: Diatta (29).
  E: Herr (4).
  GIDP: Ruidíaz (2), Diatta 2 (8).
  a-Ran for Conover in the 9th.
  b-Ran for Holzworth in the 9th.
  c-Walked in the 9th.

ORIOLES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Shaffer (W, 6-2) ....    28   23  85%    7    3    1    4    4    0  107    -
Heslip ..............     8    3  11%    2    3    3    3    1    0   20  1-1
Roy .................     1    1   4%    0    0    0    0    1    0    3  3-0

ROCKIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Holzworth (L, 10-1) .    31   23  85%    3    5    3    8    5    0  104    -
Endo ................     5    4  15%    2    3    3    0    0    0   11  3-3

ORIOLES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Shaffer (Outs 1-23) → Heslip (Outs 24-26) → Roy (Outs 27-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Kautz (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Alison (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Sigourney (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Abajian (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Ison (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Maloney (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Flowers (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Purchase (Outs 1-27)

ROCKIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Holzworth (Outs 1-23) → Endo (Outs 24-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Porteño (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Chaves (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Diatta (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Conover (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Ruidíaz (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Goss (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Jimenez (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Alderman (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Rockies (home) batted second; Orioles batted first.
  First pitch 8:10 PM MT. Weather: 81°F · Wind in · Clear. seed 382269.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 15 Maciek Stokke Ulises Barba (3B) 1–0
T 15 Lawrence Spoelstra Edson López (3B) 2–0
T 15 Jason Adams Kreigh Mateer (3B) 3–0
T 22 Maciek Stokke Mackenzie Sigourney (2B) 4–0
T 23 Ulises Barba Maciek Stokke (3B) 5–0
T 23 Destyn Thompson Nate Abajian (3B) 6–0
T 23 Destyn Thompson Ahmad Heath (2B) 7–0
T 23 Jason Adams Ulises Barba (3B) 8–0
B 4 Allen Alderman Jeyland Chaves (2B) 8–1
B 13 Ahkhari Goss Corey Holzworth (3B) 8–2
B 19 Allen Alderman Sebastián Jimenez (2B) 8–3
B 24 Garrett Conover John Diatta (3B) 8–4
B 25 Mario Porteño Ronald Herr (2B) 8–5
B 26 Ahkhari Goss Justin Kaiuway (3B) 8–6
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kuvvatov Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 341' · CF 409' · RF 308' · 12' wall). Center-Field Triangle.
Orioles — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
341' 409' 308' Cole Shaffer — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 64 ft Rill Kautz — double · EV 76 mph · LA +34° · 214 ft Korey Flowers — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft Mackenzie Sigourney — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -8° · 72 ft Alan Maloney — fly_out · EV 52 mph · LA +30° · 94 ft Ulises Barba — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Jason Adams — single · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 174 ft Edson López — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 184 ft Kreigh Mateer — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -15° · 49 ft Maciek Stokke — ground_out · EV 54 mph · LA -14° · 52 ft Destyn Thompson — double · EV 80 mph · LA +47° · 256 ft Shawqi Maciejczak — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -19° · 49 ft Andre Melch — double_play · EV 65 mph · LA -6° · 62 ft Dylan Purchase — double_play · EV 66 mph · LA -18° · 63 ft Sidney Foust — error · EV 52 mph · LA +2° · 49 ft Jason Adams — single · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Korey Flowers — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 129 ft Ulises Barba — single · EV 61 mph · LA +12° · 63 ft Korey Flowers — error · EV 52 mph · LA +0° · 50 ft
Rockies — Batted Balls
24 BIP· 8 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
341' 409' 308' Ahkhari Goss — infield_single · EV 70 mph · LA +1° · 66 ft Jeyland Chaves — single · EV 95 mph · LA +20° · 228 ft Mario Porteño — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +38° · 235 ft Sebastián Jimenez — single · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Allen Alderman — single · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 100 ft Corey Holzworth — fielders_choice · EV 65 mph · LA +4° · 62 ft John Diatta — double_play · EV 77 mph · LA -1° · 73 ft John Diatta — fly_out · EV 72 mph · LA +36° · 199 ft Garrett Conover — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 121 ft Marco Ruidíaz — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Mario Porteño — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +23° · 173 ft Jeyland Chaves — single · EV 91 mph · LA +23° · 237 ft Ahkhari Goss — error · EV 99 mph · LA +19° · 246 ft Sebastián Jimenez — single · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 70 ft Corey Holzworth — fly_out · EV 60 mph · LA +32° · 129 ft Ahkhari Goss — fly_out · EV 66 mph · LA +29° · 150 ft Jeyland Chaves — fly_out · EV 89 mph · LA +33° · 290 ft Allen Alderman — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA -7° · 61 ft John Diatta — double_play · EV 72 mph · LA +17° · 115 ft Garrett Conover — single · EV 76 mph · LA +25° · 179 ft Mario Porteño — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +2° · 73 ft John Diatta — double · EV 99 mph · LA +26° · 306 ft Allen Alderman — fly_out · EV 74 mph · LA +49° · 220 ft Ahkhari Goss — single · EV 87 mph · LA +20° · 195 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Orioles
19% deserve-to-win  ·  3.9 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +4.1 vs expected
contact: 5.0 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (+2.0 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Rill Kautz 76 / +34° Oppo Double 0.1 → 2 +1.93
Destyn Thompson 80 / +47° Pull Double 0.7 → 2 +1.32
Jason Adams 76 / +2° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
Ulises Barba 61 / +12° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Korey Flowers 76 / +17° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Rockies
81% deserve-to-win  ·  8.0 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -2.0 vs expected
contact: 10.2 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (-0.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ahkhari Goss 99 / +19° Center Reached on Error 1.2 → 0 -1.24
Jeyland Chaves 89 / +33° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.92
John Diatta 99 / +26° Center Double 1.1 → 2 +0.92
Ahkhari Goss 70 / +1° Pull Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Garrett Conover 76 / +25° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.84
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