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Aberdeen Universal Watchmakers 9, Montréal Cannery SARL 0   2046-04-24 · #1060
at Silver Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Aberdeen                9    9   19    1
Montréal                0    0    1    1

ABERDEEN UNIVERSAL WATCHMAKERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Celis       rf ......    2   1   2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Brown   pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Gushiken    3b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Telford pr ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Shurtleff   1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Hughes      2b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Pavlenk pr ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Maharaj-Sal cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Baugh   pr ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Walker      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Moravec ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Carroll     lf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  f-Pešek   pr ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  g-Čermák  ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  h-Ramsey  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  i-Carusa  ph ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  j-Edwards ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  k-Agnew   pr ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  l-Karas   pr ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Williams    j  ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   1   0  0.500
Zelem       j  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Kudryavtsev j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  38   9  19   3   1   0   9   4   2   1   0  0.500
  2B: Čermák (3), Williams (9), Zelem (7).
  3B: Celis (2).
  SB: Ramsey (5), Baugh (3), Pešek (1).
  E: Agnew (2).
  GIDP: Telford (1), Pavlenka (1), Walker (1).
  a-Ran for Celis in the 2nd.
  b-Ran for Gushiken in the 1st.
  c-Ran for Hughes in the 1st.
  d-Ran for Maharaj-Saliba in the 1st.
  e-Batted for Walker in the 4th.
  f-Ran for Carroll in the 2nd.
  g-Doubled in the 1st.
  h-Ran for Čermák in the 1st.
  i-Batted in the 1st.
  j-Grounded out for Ramsey in the 2nd.
  k-Ran for Edwards in the 3rd.
  l-Ran for Carusa in the 4th.

MONTRÉAL CANNERY SARL
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
McLaughlin  ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Zendejas    p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Homans      2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bowen       c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Blanton ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Carter  rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Caldwel 2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Rice    lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
  e-Rees    c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Whiteho ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  g-O'Reill pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  h-Hetmyer ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Hranáč      j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Toney       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  27   0   1   0   0   0   0   1  16   0   0  0.037
  SB: Toney (6), O'Reilly (5).
  E: McLaughlin (1).
  HBP: Zendejas (1).
  GIDP: Hranáč (3).
  a-Struck out for Bowen in the 7th.
  b-Entered at RF in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at 2B in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at LF in the 9th.
  e-Entered at C in the 7th.
  f-Entered at SS in the 9th.
  g-Ran for Rees in the 7th.
  h-Grounded out in the 9th.

ABERDEEN UNIVERSAL WATCHMAKERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Walker (W, 4-0) .....    25   24  89%    1    0    0    1   15    0  105    -
Wattel ..............     3    3  11%    0    0    0    0    1    0   13  2-0

MONTRÉAL CANNERY SARL PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Zendejas (L, 1-1) ...     5    1   4%    4    2    2    0    0    0   20    -
Basham ..............     8    4  15%    6    2    2    1    0    0   23  1-0
Lennon ..............    13    9  33%    4    3    1    1    0    0   40  2-1
Faraimo .............    14   11  41%    4    2    2    2    2    0   55  2-2
Konsa ...............     2    2   7%    1    0    0    0    0    0   12  3-0

  Batting order: Montréal Cannery SARL (home) batted second; Aberdeen Universal Watchmakers batted first.
  First pitch 7:10 PM. Weather: 60°F · Wind calm · Clear · Heavy rain · Humid. seed 449884.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 0 Patrik Čermák Papu Celis (3B) 1–0
T 1 Padraig Carusa Jordan Ramsey (3B) 2–0
T 5 Ramon Williams Dalibor Pavlenka (3B) 3–0
T 5 Igor Kudryavtseva Ramon Williams (3B) 4–0
T 8 Padraig Carusa Igor Kudryavtseva (3B) 5–0
T 9 František Moravec Maddux Agnew (3B) 6–0
T 11 Maddux Agnew Radek Karas (3B) 7–0
T 14 Radek Karas Bohumil Pešek (3B) 8–0
T 19 Bohumil Pešek Ramon Williams (3B) 9–0
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Silver Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 353' · CF 398' · RF 353' · 11' wall). Balanced.
Aberdeen Universal Watchmakers — Batted Balls
34 BIP· 16 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
353' 398' 353' Papu Celis — triple · EV 99 mph · LA +17° · 220 ft Patrik Čermák — double · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 170 ft King Gushiken — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 107 ft Ben Shurtleff — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +53° · 234 ft Padraig Carusa — infield_single · EV 74 mph · LA +5° · 70 ft Eoghan Hughes — single · EV 81 mph · LA +11° · 99 ft Mohamed Maharaj-Saliba — single · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 146 ft Tyrone Walker — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -11° · 49 ft Ramon Williams — single · EV 58 mph · LA +12° · 60 ft Jarrod Zelem — double · EV 98 mph · LA +33° · 350 ft Igor Kudryavtseva — single · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 174 ft Matt Edwards — fielders_choice · EV 56 mph · LA -2° · 53 ft Fabian Telford — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 101 ft Dalibor Pavlenka — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +37° · 222 ft Zaire Baugh — error · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 73 ft František Moravec — infield_single · EV 65 mph · LA +12° · 65 ft Bohumil Pešek — single · EV 96 mph · LA +5° · 91 ft Donal Brown — line_out · EV 64 mph · LA +18° · 94 ft Maddux Agnew — single · EV 55 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Radek Karas — single · EV 57 mph · LA +20° · 84 ft Ramon Williams — double · EV 92 mph · LA +46° · 338 ft Papu Celis — single · EV 92 mph · LA +11° · 131 ft Padraig Carusa — single · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Fabian Telford — double_play · EV 57 mph · LA -4° · 54 ft Igor Kudryavtseva — fly_out · EV 55 mph · LA +31° · 106 ft Dalibor Pavlenka — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 64 ft Zaire Baugh — single · EV 75 mph · LA +17° · 124 ft Bohumil Pešek — single · EV 64 mph · LA +12° · 66 ft Donal Brown — ground_out · EV 54 mph · LA -2° · 51 ft Maddux Agnew — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +32° · 206 ft Radek Karas — line_out · EV 66 mph · LA +12° · 70 ft Fabian Telford — single · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 211 ft Igor Kudryavtseva — fly_out · EV 97 mph · LA +39° · 369 ft Dalibor Pavlenka — single · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 156 ft
Montréal Cannery SARL — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 1 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
353' 398' 353' Aleš Hranáč — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 74 ft Eoin Caldwell — line_out · EV 66 mph · LA +12° · 71 ft George Rice — single · EV 76 mph · LA -0° · 72 ft Donal O'Reilly — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +2° · 87 ft Aleš Hranáč — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +1° · 72 ft Dai Rees — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA -19° · 49 ft Emile Homans — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +11° · 128 ft Callum Toney — error · EV 76 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Aberdeen Universal Watchmakers
99% deserve-to-win  ·  12.3 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  -3.3 vs expected
contact: 18.4 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 24.0 (+5.6 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 0 CS (+0.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Papu Celis 99 / +17° Pull Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.68
Igor Kudryavtseva 97 / +39° Pull Out 1.6 → 0 -1.57
Patrik Čermák 92 / +15° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Igor Kudryavtseva 76 / +24° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.79
Ramon Williams 92 / +46° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.78
Montréal Cannery SARL
1% deserve-to-win  ·  1.4 expected runs
actual 0 runs  ·  -1.4 vs expected
contact: 3.2 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 1.0 (-2.2 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Emile Homans 92 / +11° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
George Rice 76 / +0° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Aleš Hranáč 76 / +9° Center Double Play 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Eoin Caldwell 66 / +12° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.42
Donal O'Reilly 92 / +2° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.42
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