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Canaries 7, Marlins 5                                       2026-07-12 · #1073
at Deifel Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
New Jersey              7    7    6    1
Miami                   5    5    8    1

CANARIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kramer      2b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Kerr        rf ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Fishbac ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Brickhandle 1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Conway  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Israel      p  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Levells pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Rushing     c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Ali     ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Cordero     lf ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  e-Campos  ph ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Lacava      3b ......    2   0   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Richey  pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Navarro     cf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.333
Hollenbeck  ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  g-Morriso pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Woodall     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   7   6   2   0   0   6   7   9   0   0  0.214
  2B: Kerr (22), Lacava (21).
  SB: Morrison (3).
  CS: Brickhandler (14), Navarro (2), Hollenbeck (4).
  E: Morrison (2).
  HBP: Kramer (5).
  GIDP: Richey (1).
  a-Batted for Kerr in the 6th.
  b-Batted for Brickhandler in the 6th.
  c-Ran for Israel in the 3rd.
  d-Walked for Rushing in the 3rd.
  e-Batted for Cordero in the 3rd.
  f-Ran for Lacava in the 3rd.
  g-Ran for Ali in the 3rd.

MARLINS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Chieh-yu    lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Suárez  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Enterline   rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Beasley pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Corzo       3b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Narazak pr ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Enquist     cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   1  0.000
Cook        p  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
Mangin      2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
  d-Trevino ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Chappell    1b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Suggs       ss ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Mothudi     c  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Burns       j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Totals                  29   5   8   0   0   0   5   4  12   0   1  0.276
  SB: Chieh-yu (8), Mangin (8).
  CS: Cook (1), Mangin (8), Mothudi (4).
  E: Enterline (1).
  GIDP: Mangin (12).
  a-Struck out for Chieh-yu in the 8th.
  b-Ran for Enterline in the 4th.
  c-Ran for Corzo in the 4th.
  d-Grounded out for Mangin in the 9th.

CANARIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Israel (W, 4-8) .....    23   19  70%    6    5    5    4    7    0   87    -
Ortiz (F, 24) .......     7    8  30%    0    0    0    0    5    0   31  2-0

MARLINS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Cook (L, 1-2) .......    20   13  48%    4    7    7    6    2    0   69    -
Lord ................    13   14  52%    0    0    0    1    7    0   47  1-0

CANARIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Israel (Outs 1-19) → Ortiz (Outs 20-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Rushing (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Brickhandler (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Kramer (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Lacava (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Hollenbeck (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Cordero (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Navarro (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Kerr (Outs 1-27)

MARLINS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Cook (Outs 1-13) → Lord (Outs 14-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Mothudi (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Chappell (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Mangin (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Corzo (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Suggs (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Chieh-yu (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Enquist (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Enterline (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Marlins (home) batted second; Canaries batted first.
  First pitch 5:00 PM ET. Weather: 88°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 427112.
  Powerplays: Marlins — Beasley NF (O11)
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 1 Raziel Israel Jerome Kerr (3B) 1–0
T 3 Roberto Lacava Raziel Israel (2B) 2–0
T 3 Roberto Lacava Grant Cordero (1B) 3–0
T 8 Jam Brickhandler Ramón Navarro (3B) 4–0
T 8 Jam Brickhandler Ulises Morrison (3B) 5–0
T 10 Ramón Navarro Jake Levells (3B) 6–0
T 12 Hugo Campos Andrea Kramer (3B) 7–0
B 5 Wallace Enterline Wilmer Corzo (2B) 7–1
B 5 Jason Enquist Carson Suggs (3B) 7–2
B 10 Devon Mangin Alexander Beasley (3B) 7–3
B 19 Jacobe Mothudi Gilbert Cook (2B) 7–4
B 19 Don Burns Keishiro Narazaki (3B) 7–5
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Deifel Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 276' · CF 455' · RF 303' · 50' wall). Bathtub.
Canaries — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 2 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
276' 455' 303' Wall 50' Andrea Kramer — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +42° · 243 ft Jerome Kerr — double · EV 110 mph · LA +24° · 356 ft Jam Brickhandler — error · EV 80 mph · LA +26° · 204 ft Jayden Rushing — ground_out · EV 95 mph · LA +1° · 90 ft Roberto Lacava — double · EV 99 mph · LA +17° · 223 ft Ramón Navarro — fielders_choice · EV 77 mph · LA -10° · 74 ft Hugo Campos — infield_single · EV 68 mph · LA +23° · 136 ft Welby Richey — double_play · EV 75 mph · LA -14° · 71 ft Ulises Morrison — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA +4° · 71 ft Jam Brickhandler — fly_out · EV 104 mph · LA +39° · 423 ft Ramón Navarro — single · EV 80 mph · LA +12° · 101 ft Hugo Campos — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +30° · 304 ft Ulises Morrison — fly_out · EV 65 mph · LA +34° · 157 ft Jake Levells — error · EV 80 mph · LA +5° · 76 ft Hugo Campos — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +22° · 235 ft
Marlins — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 6 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
276' 455' 303' Wall 50' Gilbert Cook — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -4° · 72 ft Devon Mangin — double_play · EV 93 mph · LA +16° · 187 ft Wilmer Corzo — single · EV 79 mph · LA +16° · 133 ft Carson Suggs — fielders_choice · EV 79 mph · LA +3° · 75 ft Wallace Enterline — single · EV 84 mph · LA +11° · 107 ft Don Burns — single · EV 84 mph · LA +20° · 184 ft Wallace Enterline — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +28° · 279 ft Devon Mangin — single · EV 83 mph · LA +12° · 114 ft Montavious Chieh-yu — fly_out · EV 62 mph · LA +39° · 148 ft Gilbert Cook — single · EV 103 mph · LA +8° · 98 ft Jacobe Mothudi — single · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 64 ft Clifford Chappell — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +24° · 190 ft Clifford Chappell — error · EV 80 mph · LA +1° · 76 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Canaries
87% deserve-to-win  ·  6.2 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +0.8 vs expected
contact: 10.1 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (-4.1 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 3 CS (-1.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jam Brickhandler 104 / +39° Pull Out 2.0 → 0 -1.95
Hugo Campos 92 / +22° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.90
Roberto Lacava 99 / +17° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.76
Hugo Campos 94 / +30° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.74
Hugo Campos 68 / +23° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.57
Marlins
13% deserve-to-win  ·  2.4 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +2.6 vs expected
contact: 5.9 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (+0.1 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 3 CS (-1.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Devon Mangin 93 / +16° Center Double Play 0.9 → 0 -0.90
Wallace Enterline 92 / +28° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.74
Jacobe Mothudi 76 / +8° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.52
Gilbert Cook 103 / +8° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.50
Wilmer Corzo 79 / +16° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.46
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