==============================================================================
Hermosillo BC 13, Bern Baseball Klub 12                     2046-04-24 · #1083
at Hermosillo Yards
==============================================================================

                        1      2    R    H    E
Bern                   12      0   12   11    0
Hermosillo             13      -   13   12    1

BERN BASEBALL KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Minaya      1b ......    3   2   2   2   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.667
Guerrero    c  ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.667
Delane      2b ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.250
DeHeart     ss ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Harden      3b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.250
Baklenko    rf ......    3   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Yun         lf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Paniagua    cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Jansey      p  ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Hosny       j  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Bocanegra   j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Justice     j  ......    3   2   2   2   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.667
Totals                  37  12  11   8   0   0  12   3  10   0   0  0.297
  2B: Minaya 2 (3), Delane (4), Hosny (4), Yun (4), Justice 2 (7), Jansey (4).
  SB: Justice (3).


HERMOSILLO BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kretschman  lf ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.250
Jung        c  ......    4   0   2   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Lannoy      1b ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Lenis       ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Blake   pr ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Norris      cf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
Cota        rf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Pirela      2b ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.667
Gallatin    3b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Clement     p  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  1.000
O'Malley    j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Salinas     j  ......    2   2   2   0   0   0   2   1   0   1   0  1.000
Strachan    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  30  13  12   4   0   0  11   9   6   1   0  0.400
  2B: Kretschman (8), Jung (16), Blake (3), Pirela (1).
  CS: Blake (2).
  E: Blake (2).
  HBP: Lannoy (1), Gallatin (2), O'Malley (1).
  a-Ran for Lenis in the 1st.

BERN BASEBALL KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Jansey (L, 1-4) .....    13    4  15%    7    7    7    2    0    0   50    -
Iniesta .............    16   12  44%    3    4    4    2    4    0   66  2-2
Alo .................    13   11  41%    2    2    2    5    2    0   59  2-2

HERMOSILLO BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Clement (W, 5-0) ....    27   17  63%    9    7    7    1    7    0  106    -
Ivan (F, 10) ........    14   10  37%    2    5    5    2    4    0   38  1-1

  Batting order: Hermosillo BC (home) batted first; Bern Baseball Klub batted second.
  Seconds: BB2 o26 (12-13).
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 76°F · Wind out · Clear. seed 517361.
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 2 Stefan Cota Fernando de Lannoy (3B) 0–1
B 2 Rafael Pirela Don Blake (3B) 0–2
B 2 Troy Gallatin Juan Norris (3B) 0–3
B 2 Mitchell O'Malley Stefan Cota (3B) 0–4
B 2 Warren Salinas Rafael Pirela (3B) 0–5
B 3 Warren Salinas Troy Gallatin (3B) 0–6
B 4 Logan Kretschman Warren Salinas (2B) 0–7
B 4 Dong-hyun Jung Rudy Clement (3B) 0–8
B 4 Fernando de Lannoy Logan Kretschman (3B) 0–9
B 15 Don Blake Mitchell O'Malley (3B) 0–10
B 15 Don Blake Warren Salinas (2B) 0–11
B 17 Rafael Pirela Fernando de Lannoy (3B) 0–12
B 17 Rafael Pirela Don Blake (3B) 0–13
T 7 Shaq Justice Traylon Baklenko (2B) 1–13
T 9 Dominic Delane Shaq Justice (3B) 2–13
T 9 Dominic Delane Jimmy Jansey (2B) 3–13
T 13 Alexis Minaya Orlando DeHeart (2B) 4–13
T 15 Shaq Justice Alexis Minaya (2B) 5–13
T 15 Song-il Yun Shaq Justice (2B) 6–13
T 16 Jimmy Jansey Song-il Yun (2B) 7–13
T 17 Lawrence Harden Jimmy Jansey (3B) 8–13
T 17 Lawrence Harden Bartolo Guerrero (2B) 9–13
T 18 Alexis Minaya Dominic Delane (2B) 10–13
T 18 Alexis Minaya Traylon Baklenko (1B) 11–13
T 18 Sherif Hosny Alexis Minaya (2B) 12–13
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Hermosillo Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 365' · CF 486' · RF 378' · 20' wall). Cavernous.
Wire Basket
Bern Baseball Klub — Batted Balls
24 BIP· 3 1B · 8 XBH · 0 HR
365' 486' 378' Wall 20' Bartolo Guerrero — single · EV 73 mph · LA +24° · 161 ft Traylon Baklenko — fielders_choice · EV 97 mph · LA +9° · 112 ft Herb Bocanegra — ground_out · EV 96 mph · LA +1° · 92 ft Shaq Justice — double · EV 106 mph · LA +10° · 158 ft Song-il Yun — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +24° · 208 ft Geraldo Paniagua — line_out · EV 89 mph · LA +11° · 118 ft Jimmy Jansey — double · EV 102 mph · LA +21° · 283 ft Bartolo Guerrero — single · EV 102 mph · LA +41° · 411 ft Dominic Delane — double · EV 93 mph · LA +18° · 207 ft Orlando DeHeart — fielders_choice · EV 67 mph · LA +2° · 64 ft Lawrence Harden — ground_out · EV 102 mph · LA -1° · 97 ft Alexis Minaya — double · EV 109 mph · LA +17° · 269 ft Herb Bocanegra — line_out · EV 103 mph · LA +10° · 148 ft Shaq Justice — double · EV 102 mph · LA +15° · 208 ft Song-il Yun — double · EV 102 mph · LA +14° · 197 ft Jimmy Jansey — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +3° · 82 ft Dominic Delane — error · EV 80 mph · LA +12° · 108 ft Lawrence Harden — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA -3° · 68 ft Alexis Minaya — double · EV 92 mph · LA +37° · 326 ft Sherif Hosny — double · EV 94 mph · LA +10° · 121 ft Herb Bocanegra — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA +7° · 79 ft Geraldo Paniagua — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -0° · 84 ft Dominic Delane — fly_out · EV 103 mph · LA +26° · 336 ft Lawrence Harden — single · EV 92 mph · LA -16° · 87 ft
Hermosillo BC — Batted Balls
21 BIP· 8 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
365' 486' 378' Wall 20' Logan Kretschman — fly_out · EV 114 mph · LA +59° · 460 ft Dong-hyun Jung — fly_out · EV 103 mph · LA +27° · 345 ft Juan Norris — single · EV 72 mph · LA +6° · 69 ft Stefan Cota — single · EV 92 mph · LA -4° · 88 ft Rafael Pirela — single · EV 87 mph · LA +3° · 83 ft Mitchell O'Malley — single · EV 99 mph · LA +16° · 214 ft Warren Salinas — single · EV 86 mph · LA +17° · 168 ft Soane Strachan — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +33° · 212 ft Don Blake — fly_out · EV 97 mph · LA +32° · 343 ft Rudy Clement — single · EV 81 mph · LA +21° · 173 ft Warren Salinas — single · EV 77 mph · LA +19° · 146 ft Logan Kretschman — double · EV 112 mph · LA +23° · 367 ft Dong-hyun Jung — single · EV 56 mph · LA +13° · 60 ft Juan Norris — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA -10° · 82 ft Don Blake — double · EV 95 mph · LA +39° · 355 ft Warren Salinas — fielders_choice · EV 82 mph · LA +9° · 83 ft Logan Kretschman — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +31° · 297 ft Juan Norris — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +39° · 230 ft Rafael Pirela — double · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 217 ft Logan Kretschman — fly_out · EV 101 mph · LA +46° · 407 ft Dong-hyun Jung — double · EV 93 mph · LA +38° · 337 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Bern Baseball Klub
33% deserve-to-win  ·  11.2 expected runs
actual 12 runs  ·  +0.8 vs expected
contact: 21.6 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 19.0 (-2.6 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Bartolo Guerrero 102 / +41° Center Single 2.5 → 1 -1.52
Dominic Delane 103 / +26° Oppo Out 1.4 → 0 -1.44
Herb Bocanegra 103 / +10° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.28
Traylon Baklenko 97 / +9° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Sherif Hosny 94 / +10° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Hermosillo BC
67% deserve-to-win  ·  15.9 expected runs
actual 13 runs  ·  -2.9 vs expected
contact: 19.3 est bases + 12 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 16.0 (-3.3 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Logan Kretschman 101 / +46° Center Out 2.5 → 0 -2.52
Don Blake 97 / +32° Center Out 1.6 → 0 -1.60
Logan Kretschman 114 / +59° Center Out 1.6 → 0 -1.56
Dong-hyun Jung 103 / +27° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.44
Rafael Pirela 92 / +20° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →