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Diamondbacks 2, Orcas 1                                     2026-07-17 · #1084
at Abdurakhmanov Park
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                        1    R    H    E
Arizona                 2    2    7    0
Vancouver               1    1    0    0

DIAMONDBACKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Gibson      ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Gronowski   2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
McNutt      lf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Linton      rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Bektas      1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Alderman    3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Baxter      c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Monds       cf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Deck        p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Tanabe  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Pope    ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Foyth   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  d-Kruger  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Randall pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Manasse     j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Galekovic   j  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Schwartz    j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  16   2   7   2   0   0   2   2   3   0   0  0.438
  2B: Pope (2), Galekovic (3).
  SB: Randall (3).
  CS: McNutt (6).
  a-Walked for Deck in the 9th.
  b-Doubled in the 6th.
  c-Ran in the 9th.
  d-Grounded out in the 7th.
  e-Ran for Tanabe in the 4th.

ORCAS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Badger      3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Mendez      lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Peavy       cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Quinter ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Beigel      1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Alonso-Corc ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Balotelli   2b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Valdivia    rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Granber ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Noonan      c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Edmonso pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Martínez    p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Garcés      cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Millar  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Cuéllar     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Roker       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Turrentine  j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  24   1   0   0   0   0   1   5   7   0   0  0.000
  GIDP: Granberry (1).
  a-Batted for Peavy in the 5th.
  b-Batted for Valdivia in the 4th.
  c-Ran for Noonan in the 4th.
  d-Grounded out in the 8th.

DIAMONDBACKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Deck (W, 9-10) ......    29   27 100%    0    1    1    5    7    0   93    -

ORCAS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Martínez (L, 3-2) ...    18   15  56%    7    2    2    2    3    0   55    -

DIAMONDBACKS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Deck (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Baxter (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Bektas (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Gronowski (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Alderman (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Gibson (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | McNutt (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Monds (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Linton (Outs 1-27)

ORCAS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-15)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Martínez (Outs 1-15)
CATCHER (C)       | Noonan (Outs 1-15)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Beigel (Outs 1-15)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Balotelli (Outs 1-15)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Badger (Outs 1-15)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Alonso-Corcelles (Outs 1-15)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Mendez (Outs 1-15)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Garcés (Outs 1-15)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Valdivia (Outs 1-15)

  Batting order: Orcas (home) batted first; Diamondbacks batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM PT. Weather: 64°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 34489.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.22    Peak faced 0.43
    27 outs left: 0.22
    18 outs left: 0.33
     9 outs left: 0.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 26 Norris Mendez Karim Balotelli (2B) 0–1 —
T 13 Ivan Pope Omillio Schwartz (1B) 1–1 0.21
T 15 Bryce Alderman Joao Foyth (2B) 2–1 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.22
Peak faced 0.43
27 outs left 0.22
18 outs left 0.33
9 outs left 0.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Abdurakhmanov Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 282' · CF 485' · RF 283' · 12' wall). Bathtub.
Tal's Hill
Diamondbacks — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 5 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
282' 485' 283' Miguel McNutt — single · EV 86 mph · LA +18° · 178 ft Miguel Linton — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA +22° · 213 ft Ron Gronowski — line_out · EV 72 mph · LA +20° · 134 ft Isadore Gibson — single · EV 97 mph · LA +5° · 92 ft Shyheim Baxter — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA +24° · 164 ft Owen Monds — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +28° · 331 ft Will Galekovic — double · EV 98 mph · LA +48° · 382 ft Omillio Schwartz — single · EV 87 mph · LA +10° · 108 ft Ivan Pope — double · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 211 ft Owen Monds — single · EV 95 mph · LA +5° · 90 ft Bryce Alderman — single · EV 71 mph · LA +12° · 83 ft
Orcas — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 0 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
282' 485' 283' Andrea Peavy — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA -13° · 83 ft Karim Balotelli — ground_out · EV 71 mph · LA -1° · 67 ft Herb Noonan — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA -12° · 71 ft Sandy Martínez — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA -8° · 89 ft Prakash Granberry — double_play · EV 74 mph · LA -13° · 70 ft Jonás Quintero — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -19° · 75 ft Yerry Cuéllar — fly_out · EV 83 mph · LA +33° · 250 ft John Millar — ground_out · EV 57 mph · LA +1° · 54 ft Tony Garcés — ground_out · EV 68 mph · LA -5° · 64 ft Sandy Martínez — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA -2° · 76 ft Kreigh Alonso-Corcelles — fielders_choice · EV 71 mph · LA +9° · 64 ft Louis Badger — fielders_choice · EV 73 mph · LA -8° · 69 ft Prakash Granberry — fly_out · EV 71 mph · LA +30° · 175 ft Sandy Martínez — line_out · EV 84 mph · LA +17° · 157 ft Norris Mendez — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -11° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Diamondbacks
67% deserve-to-win  ·  4.6 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -2.6 vs expected
contact: 7.5 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (+1.5 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Will Galekovic 98 / +48° Center Double 0.6 → 2 +1.38
Owen Monds 100 / +28° Oppo Out 1.3 → 0 -1.33
Ivan Pope 100 / +16° Center Double 1.3 → 2 +0.75
Miguel Linton 87 / +22° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Owen Monds 95 / +5° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.59
Orcas
33% deserve-to-win  ·  3.2 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -2.2 vs expected
contact: 4.3 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 0.0 (-4.3 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Sandy Martínez 84 / +17° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Kreigh Alonso-Corcelles 71 / +9° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.47
Yerry Cuéllar 83 / +33° Oppo Out 0.4 → 0 -0.44
Sandy Martínez 94 / -8° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.39
Andrea Peavy 87 / -13° Center Out 0.3 → 0 -0.34
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