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Royals 2, Tigers 1                                          2026-07-17 · #1085
at Sokk Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
Detroit                 1    1    6    0
Kansas City             2    2    3    0

TIGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Delatte     ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Peavy       rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Lutmer  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Muriel      p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Mauigoa     lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Grimaldo    2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Cotzumalgua cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kuchiki     1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  b-McMicha pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Day         c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Whorisk ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Zheng       3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  d-Acebo   pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Monroe  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  f-Borden  pr ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Massey      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Soldan      j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Kuhler      j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Totals                  27   1   6   0   0   0   1   4   7   0   0  0.222
  SB: Mauigoa (1).
  CS: Delatte (16), McMichael (7), Muriel (3), Massey (1).
  GIDP: Day (2).
  a-Batted for Peavy in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Kuchiki in the 7th.
  c-Batted for Day in the 3rd.
  d-Ran for Zheng in the 3rd.
  e-Walked for Kuhler in the 5th.
  f-Ran in the 7th.

ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fuenzalida  rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Rosales     3b ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Graham  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Vera        cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Sabella ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Monson      1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Savarino    c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Ekic    ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Hsia        lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Selden      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Farley      ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Li          p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Altamir pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  e-Inglis  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Linneha pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  g-Gregory ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Espinoz pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Coates      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Florenzo    j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Press       j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Totals                  27   2   3   1   0   0   2   4  12   0   0  0.111
  2B: Rosales (5).
  SB: Graham (7), Linnehan (7).
  HBP: Altamirano (1).
  a-Batted for Rosales in the 4th.
  b-Grounded out for Vera in the 4th.
  c-Batted for Savarino in the 5th.
  d-Ran in the 5th.
  e-Batted for Florenzo in the 6th.
  f-Ran in the 8th.
  g-Struck out in the 8th.
  h-Ran for Graham in the 8th.

TIGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Muriel (L, 11-3) ....    31   27 100%    3    2    2    4   12    0  120    -

ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Li (W, 10-6) ........    28   26  96%    5    1    1    3    7    0  103    -
Weil ................     2    1   4%    0    0    0    1    0    0    7  1-0

TIGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Muriel (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Day (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Kuchiki (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Grimaldo (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Zheng (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Delatte (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Mauigoa (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Cotzumalguapa (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Peavy (Outs 1-27)

ROYALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Li (Outs 1-26) → Weil (Outs 27-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Savarino (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Monson (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Selden (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rosales (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Farley (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Hsia (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Vera (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Fuenzalida (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Royals (home) batted first; Tigers batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM CT. Weather: 94°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Humid. seed 543164.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 22 Patrik Florenzo Mario Espinoza (2B) 0–1
B 23 Chico Press Rich Linnehan (3B) 0–2
T 18 Wilmar Muriel Barry McMichael (3B) 1–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Sokk Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 278' · CF 521' · RF 288' · 32' wall). Bathtub.
Wire Basket
Tigers — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 5 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' Jenson Mauigoa — fielders_choice · EV 61 mph · LA -9° · 58 ft Aleksandar Delatte — single · EV 64 mph · LA +23° · 115 ft Yimmi Cotzumalguapa — fielders_choice · EV 73 mph · LA -20° · 69 ft Christian Day — double_play · EV 84 mph · LA -10° · 80 ft Zixuan Zheng — fielders_choice · EV 87 mph · LA -1° · 83 ft Noah Massey — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA +3° · 83 ft Raymond Acebo — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -10° · 74 ft Kenyatta Soldan — single · EV 81 mph · LA +9° · 79 ft Trevor Borden — single · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 104 ft Jenson Mauigoa — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA -3° · 70 ft Wilmar Muriel — single · EV 68 mph · LA +19° · 112 ft Thai-Son Whoriskey — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +34° · 213 ft Noah Massey — fielders_choice · EV 63 mph · LA -17° · 59 ft Kevin Kuhler — infield_single · EV 69 mph · LA +6° · 66 ft Liam Lutmer — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +13° · 134 ft Yimmi Cotzumalguapa — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +30° · 306 ft
Royals — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' Jhonder Fuenzalida — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA -16° · 81 ft Luis Rosales — double · EV 88 mph · LA +34° · 288 ft Kael Monson — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA -4° · 88 ft Devron Savarino — ground_out · EV 67 mph · LA +9° · 60 ft Ricky Li — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA +10° · 112 ft Efraín Sabella — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +49° · 266 ft Patrik Florenzo — line_out · EV 74 mph · LA +17° · 123 ft Jhonder Fuenzalida — ground_out · EV 67 mph · LA -14° · 63 ft Patrik Florenzo — single · EV 96 mph · LA +7° · 91 ft Chico Press — infield_single · EV 66 mph · LA +3° · 63 ft Connor Inglis — fly_out · EV 91 mph · LA +36° · 315 ft Jhonder Fuenzalida — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA -22° · 80 ft Yung-chi Hsia — line_out · EV 66 mph · LA +16° · 92 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Tigers
6% deserve-to-win  ·  1.2 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -0.2 vs expected
contact: 5.6 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-0.6 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 4 CS (-2.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Kevin Kuhler 69 / +6° Pull Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Liam Lutmer 88 / +13° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.84
Yimmi Cotzumalguapa 94 / +30° Oppo Out 0.7 → 0 -0.74
Aleksandar Delatte 64 / +23° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.57
Wilmar Muriel 68 / +19° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.57
Royals
94% deserve-to-win  ·  4.8 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -2.8 vs expected
contact: 5.9 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-1.9 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.9 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Luis Rosales 88 / +34° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.08
Connor Inglis 91 / +36° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.92
Chico Press 66 / +3° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Ricky Li 91 / +10° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.84
Patrik Florenzo 74 / +17° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
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