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Brewers 10, Stars 6                                         2026-07-17 · #1087
at Bussaglia Grounds
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
Nashville               6    6    5    0
Milwaukee              10   10    7    0

STARS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Karouani    1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mendez      c  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Cooper      lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Ruiz    pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Fusano      3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Spence      rf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Gamboa  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Cubillán    cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Burani  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Boattin     ss ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Beers       2b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   2   0   1  0.000
Trujillo    p  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Caballe pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  e-Santama ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Giannou     j  ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Morariu     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   6   5   0   0   0   5   6   9   0   1  0.192
  CS: Fusano (6).
  HBP: Boattin (3).
  GIDP: Santamaría (4), Fusano (4), Boattin (2).
  Squeeze: Gamboa.
  a-Ran for Cooper in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Spence in the 7th.
  c-Grounded out for Cubillán in the 6th.
  d-Ran for Trujillo in the 5th.
  e-Batted for Caballero in the 5th.

BREWERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Mesidor     c  ......    1   3   1   0   0   0   2   2   0   0   0  1.000
Flores      1b ......    5   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.200
Williams    ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Edwards     lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Irving  ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Flowers     p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.000
Espinoza    rf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Saravia pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Prather     cf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Kaplan      2b ......    3   5   2   1   0   1   4   1   1   0   0  0.667
Hernandez   3b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Yani        c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Gentry  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  30  10   7   2   0   1  10   6  11   0   1  0.233
  2B: Espinoza (16), Kaplan (5).
  HR: Kaplan (4), off Trujillo.
  HBP: Mesidor (4), Flowers (1), Yani (7).
  GIDP: Edwards (8).
  a-Batted for Edwards in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Espinoza in the 3rd.
  c-Grounded out in the 8th.

STARS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Trujillo (L, 3-9) ...    17   11  41%    5    5    5    1    5    1   48    -
Saritama ............    17   12  44%    2    4    3    4    5    0   64  1-1
Valencia ............     5    4  15%    0    1    1    1    1    0   18  3-1

BREWERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Flowers (W, 19-3) ...    32   27 100%    5    6    6    6    9    0  123    -

STARS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Trujillo (Outs 1-11) → Saritama (Outs 12-23) → Valencia (Outs 24-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Mendez (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Karouani (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Beers (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Fusano (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Boattin (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Cooper (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Cubillán (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Spence (Outs 1-27)

BREWERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Flowers (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Yani (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Flores (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Kaplan (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Hernandez (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Williams (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Edwards (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Prather (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Espinoza (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Brewers (home) batted first; Stars batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM CT. Weather: 83°F · Wind cross · Overcast · Humid. seed 159320.
  Powerplays: Stars — Ruiz NF (O1)
  Walk-Back runs: off Saritama 1.
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 0 Jesse Williams Stan Mesidor (3B) 0–1
B 11 Steven Kaplan Sergio Saravia (3B) 0–2
B 11 Steven Kaplan Stan Mesidor (2B) 0–3
B 11 Steven Kaplan Graydon Yani (1B) 0–4
B 11 Steven Kaplan Steven Kaplan (HR) 0–5
B 12 Cannon Prather German Hernandez (2B) 0–6
B 13 Alphonzo Flowers Steven Kaplan (3B) 0–7
B 18 Stan Mesidor Steven Kaplan (3B) 0–8
B 22 Graydon Yani Stan Mesidor (3B) 0–9
B 23 Stan Mesidor Steven Kaplan (3B) 0–10
T 5 Derlis Trujillo Sean Spence (3B) 1–10
T 5 Derlis Trujillo Pepe Boattin (2B) 2–10
T 5 Sandy Beers Sandy Beers (3B) 3–10
T 6 Pepe Boattin Derlis Trujillo (3B) 4–10
T 15 Facundo Mendez Tony Caballero (3B) 5–10
T 19 Khosilot El Karouani Samuel Giannou (3B) 6–10
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Bussaglia Grounds's actual outfield dimensions (LF 344' · CF 415' · RF 304' · 12' wall). Short Porch (Right).
Stars — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 5 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
344' 415' 304' Sean Spence — single · EV 83 mph · LA +6° · 79 ft Facundo Mendez — fly_out · EV 91 mph · LA +41° · 328 ft Pepe Boattin — single · EV 64 mph · LA +12° · 67 ft Derlis Trujillo — single · EV 88 mph · LA +23° · 222 ft Samuel Giannou — infield_single · EV 72 mph · LA -4° · 68 ft Nestor Santamaría — line_out · EV 58 mph · LA +15° · 67 ft Justo Burani — ground_out · EV 53 mph · LA -2° · 50 ft Tracy Fusano — double_play · EV 65 mph · LA +18° · 98 ft Samuel Giannou — single · EV 85 mph · LA +22° · 198 ft Nestor Santamaría — double_play · EV 79 mph · LA -2° · 75 ft Facundo Mendez — ground_out · EV 54 mph · LA -1° · 51 ft Khosilot El Karouani — fielders_choice · EV 86 mph · LA -3° · 82 ft Pepe Boattin — double_play · EV 68 mph · LA +5° · 64 ft Facundo Mendez — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA -9° · 71 ft
Brewers — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 4 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
344' 415' 304' Rodolfo Flores — single · EV 78 mph · LA +18° · 141 ft Jesse Williams — fly_out · EV 97 mph · LA +27° · 307 ft Daniel Edwards — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Andres Espinoza — double · EV 95 mph · LA +33° · 330 ft Cannon Prather — infield_single · EV 67 mph · LA -10° · 63 ft Clifford Irving — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 182 ft Stan Mesidor — single · EV 87 mph · LA +28° · 254 ft Jesse Williams — single · EV 79 mph · LA +13° · 111 ft Cannon Prather — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +28° · 242 ft Steven Kaplan — hr · EV 93 mph · LA +34° · 316 ft German Hernandez — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +4° · 80 ft Cannon Prather — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -14° · 83 ft Steven Kaplan — double · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 201 ft Clifford Irving — line_out · EV 99 mph · LA +21° · 260 ft Rodolfo Flores — fly_out · EV 68 mph · LA +26° · 147 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Stars
20% deserve-to-win  ·  4.0 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +2.0 vs expected
contact: 5.4 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-0.4 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Facundo Mendez 91 / +41° Center Out 1.1 → 0 -1.12
Samuel Giannou 72 / -4° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.78
Sean Spence 83 / +6° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.69
Pepe Boattin 64 / +12° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.67
Tracy Fusano 65 / +18° Center Double Play 0.4 → 0 -0.43
Brewers
80% deserve-to-win  ·  8.1 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  +1.9 vs expected
contact: 9.7 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (+2.3 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Steven Kaplan 93 / +34° Oppo Home Run 0.9 → 4 +3.08
Clifford Irving 99 / +21° Oppo Out 1.2 → 0 -1.24
Jesse Williams 97 / +27° Center Out 1.1 → 0 -1.07
Cannon Prather 67 / -10° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Clifford Irving 92 / +16° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.89
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