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Padres 6, Beavers 2                                         2026-07-19 · #1111
at The Oval
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                        1    R    H    E
San Diego               6    6    5    0
Portland                2    2    2    0

PADRES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fehr        cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Najar       rf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Atehortua   1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Schwinger   lf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Alemu       3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Gleeson     ss ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   3   0   0  0.250
Andrade     c  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   2   0   0  0.000
MacCracken  2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Clarke  pr ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Arozarena   p  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
Pearman     j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Cleveland   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   6   5   1   0   0   5   8  13   0   0  0.179
  2B: Clarke (3).
  SB: Najar 2 (5), MacCracken (1), Clarke (9).
  CS: Fehr (3).
  a-Ran for MacCracken in the 6th.

BEAVERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Vahaly      ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Clement     3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Fuenzalida  lf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Rabess  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Briaud      cf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Tessema     2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Maripán pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Turenne     rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Hydrick     c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Holzworth   1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Tapia       p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Schilli ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Zamora  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Pawsat  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Vidal   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Velazquez   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Redmayne    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  25   2   2   0   0   0   2   2   8   0   0  0.080
  SB: Vidal (5).
  HBP: Rabess (1), Tessema (6).
  a-Was hit by a pitch for Fuenzalida in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Tessema in the 7th.
  c-Batted for Tapia in the 8th.
  d-Ran in the 6th.
  e-Struck out in the 7th.
  f-Ran for Zamora in the 7th.

PADRES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Arozarena (W, 5-1) ..    30   27 100%    2    2    2    2    9    0  112    -

BEAVERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Tapia (L, 3-10) .....    31   23  85%    4    5    5    7   11    0  112    -
Kamiwazumi ..........     5    4  15%    1    1    1    1    2    0   11  2-1

PADRES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Arozarena (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Andrade (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Atehortua (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | MacCracken (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Alemu (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Gleeson (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Schwinger (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Fehr (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Najar (Outs 1-27)

BEAVERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Tapia (Outs 1-23) → Kamiwazumi (Outs 24-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Hydrick (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Holzworth (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Tessema (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Clement (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Vahaly (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Fuenzalida (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Briaud (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Turenne (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Beavers (home) batted second; Padres batted first.
  First pitch 1:35 PM PT. Weather: 65°F · Wind out · Overcast. seed 429261.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 11 Mark Pearman Cary Schwinger (3B) 1–0
T 17 Keshav Atehortua Lucas Clarke (3B) 2–0
T 19 Etienne Gleeson Yoshimar Najar (3B) 3–0
T 20 Lucas Clarke Etienne Gleeson (3B) 4–0
T 22 Lucas Clarke Haxzel Andrade (2B) 5–0
T 24 Etienne Gleeson Lucas Clarke (3B) 6–0
B 20 Levar De Turenne Álvaro Vidal (3B) 6–1
B 24 Ludlow Schillig Karl-Anthony Maripán (2B) 6–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Oval's actual outfield dimensions (LF 326' · CF 455' · RF 395' · 14' wall). Cavernous.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Padres — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 4 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
326' 455' 395' Wall 14' Hal Fehr — fielders_choice · EV 61 mph · LA +7° · 58 ft Cary Schwinger — single · EV 89 mph · LA +10° · 106 ft Yimmi Arozarena — infield_single · EV 65 mph · LA +4° · 62 ft Mark Pearman — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA -0° · 63 ft Lucas Clarke — fly_out · EV 58 mph · LA +41° · 134 ft Teferi Alemu — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA +3° · 90 ft Lucas Clarke — double · EV 94 mph · LA +21° · 238 ft Mark Pearman — single · EV 76 mph · LA +25° · 176 ft Hal Fehr — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +30° · 198 ft Keshav Atehortua — fly_out · EV 90 mph · LA +38° · 317 ft Etienne Gleeson — single · EV 85 mph · LA +16° · 155 ft Cary Schwinger — fielders_choice · EV 59 mph · LA -20° · 56 ft
Beavers — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
326' 455' 395' Wall 14' Jaime Fuenzalida — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 119 ft Travis Briaud — single · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 153 ft Donis Zamora — ground_out · EV 71 mph · LA -5° · 68 ft Wilmer Velazquez — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 90 ft Ludlow Schillig — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -18° · 72 ft Sydney Redmayne — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +0° · 74 ft Holcombe Hydrick — fly_out · EV 58 mph · LA +28° · 113 ft Bonsa Tessema — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 153 ft Francisco Vahaly — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +49° · 229 ft Travis Briaud — fielders_choice · EV 53 mph · LA -11° · 50 ft Levar De Turenne — error · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 165 ft Francisco Vahaly — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA -18° · 66 ft Holcombe Hydrick — line_out · EV 61 mph · LA +14° · 71 ft Aaron Holzworth — line_out · EV 77 mph · LA +19° · 147 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Padres
69% deserve-to-win  ·  5.3 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +0.7 vs expected
contact: 4.5 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (+1.5 on contact)
running: 4 SB · 1 CS (+1.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Lucas Clarke 94 / +21° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.10
Keshav Atehortua 90 / +38° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.92
Yimmi Arozarena 65 / +4° Oppo Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Mark Pearman 76 / +25° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.84
Teferi Alemu 94 / +3° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.42
Beavers
31% deserve-to-win  ·  3.6 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -1.6 vs expected
contact: 4.6 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-2.6 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Bonsa Tessema 76 / +21° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Levar De Turenne 76 / +23° Center Reached on Error 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Aaron Holzworth 77 / +19° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Jaime Fuenzalida 76 / +16° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.52
Wilmer Velazquez 76 / +12° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.48
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