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Canaries 9, Orioles 8                                       2026-07-20 · #1118
at Rudy Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
New Jersey              9    9   10    0
Baltimore               8    8   10    1

CANARIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kramer      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Brickhandle 1b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Pastore     c  ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
Rushing     ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Levells pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Junior      p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  1.000
Cordero     lf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Hollenb pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Fishbach    rf ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Kerr    ph ......    1   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   0  2.000
Lacava      3b ......    2   0   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Richey  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Navarro     cf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  12   9  10   2   0   1   9   2   1   1   1  0.833
  2B: Brickhandler (22), Lacava (22).
  HR: Pastore (1), off Sugita.
  SB: Richey (1), Brickhandler (20), Navarro (1).
  CS: Cordero (13).
  HBP: Pastore (2), Cordero (7).
  a-Ran for Rushing in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Cordero in the 3rd.
  c-Singled for Fishbach in the 2nd.
  d-Ran for Lacava in the 2nd.

ORIOLES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Abajian     3b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Purchase    rf ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Sugita      p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Samudio     1b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Sigourney   2b ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Melch       cf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Foust       ss ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.333
Kautz       c  ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Maloney     lf ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  1.000
Adams       j  ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Thompson    j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  29   8  10   5   0   0   7   6  10   0   0  0.345
  2B: Abajian (4), Purchase (10), Foust (13), Kautz (21), Adams (5).
  SB: Sigourney (11), Maloney (12), Adams (5).
  CS: Abajian (5).
  E: Abajian (4).
  GIDP: Melch (3).


CANARIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Junior ..............    17    9  33%    8    6    6    3    3    0   61    -
Bauman (W, 1-1) .....    14   13  48%    2    2    2    3    5    0   60  2-1
Ortiz ...............     3    5  19%    0    0    0    0    2    0    9  1-0

ORIOLES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Sugita (L, 7-6) .....     8    4  15%    6    4    3    1    1    1   21    -
Solo ................     7    3  11%    4    3    3    1    0    0   26  1-0
Wayar ...............     1    0   0%    0    2    2    0    0    0    5  3-1

CANARIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Junior (Outs 1-9) → Bauman (Outs 10-22) → Ortiz (Outs 23-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Pastore (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Brickhandler (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Kramer (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Lacava (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Rushing (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Cordero (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Navarro (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Fishbach (Outs 1-27)

ORIOLES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-7)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Sugita (Outs 1-4) → Solo (Outs 5-7)
CATCHER (C)       | Kautz (Outs 1-7)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Samudio (Outs 1-7)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Sigourney (Outs 1-7)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Abajian (Outs 1-7)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Foust (Outs 1-7)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Maloney (Outs 1-7)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Melch (Outs 1-7)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Purchase (Outs 1-7)

  Batting order: Orioles (home) batted first; Canaries batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM ET. Weather: 94°F · Wind cross · Clear · Humid. seed 424566.
  Walk-Back runs: off Sugita 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 0 Dylan Purchase Nate Abajian (2B) 0–1
B 4 Sidney Foust Mackenzie Sigourney (3B) 0–2
B 5 Alan Maloney Sidney Foust (2B) 0–3
B 6 Rill Kautz Alan Maloney (1B) 0–4
B 8 Rónald Samudio Rill Kautz (2B) 0–5
B 9 Destyn Thompson Rónald Samudio (2B) 0–6
B 9 Keisei Sugita Jason Adams (3B) 0–7
B 16 Jason Adams Andre Melch (1B) 0–8
T 1 Renaldo Pastore Jam Brickhandler (3B) 1–8
T 1 Renaldo Pastore Renaldo Pastore (HR) 2–8
T 1 Jayden Rushing Renaldo Pastore (3B) 3–8
T 4 Roberto Lacava Deylin Fishbach (2B) 4–8
T 5 Ramón Navarro Ramón Navarro (2B) 5–8
T 6 Jerome Kerr Welby Richey (3B) 6–8
T 7 Renaldo Pastore Jerome Kerr (3B) 7–8
T 7 Jam Brickhandler Tripp Hollenbeck (3B) 8–8
T 7 Jam Brickhandler Jake Levells (2B) 9–8
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Rudy Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 357' · CF 498' · RF 341' · 10' wall). Cavernous.
The Lima Bean
Canaries — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 7 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
357' 498' 341' Jam Brickhandler — double · EV 104 mph · LA +24° · 314 ft Renaldo Pastore — hr · EV 107 mph · LA +36° · 440 ft Jayden Rushing — single · EV 91 mph · LA +20° · 216 ft Jhornan Junior — single · EV 89 mph · LA +19° · 196 ft Grant Cordero — single · EV 90 mph · LA -5° · 85 ft Roberto Lacava — double · EV 107 mph · LA +12° · 187 ft Ramón Navarro — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft Jerome Kerr — single · EV 64 mph · LA +24° · 123 ft Jerome Kerr — single · EV 110 mph · LA +9° · 152 ft Ramón Navarro — single · EV 76 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft Roberto Lacava — single · EV 87 mph · LA +11° · 114 ft Jam Brickhandler — error · EV 96 mph · LA +23° · 263 ft
Orioles — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 5 1B · 5 XBH · 0 HR
357' 498' 341' Nate Abajian — double · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 122 ft Dylan Purchase — double · EV 90 mph · LA +20° · 205 ft Keisei Sugita — fly_out · EV 91 mph · LA +36° · 319 ft Mackenzie Sigourney — fielders_choice · EV 92 mph · LA +7° · 87 ft Andre Melch — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -12° · 73 ft Sidney Foust — double · EV 100 mph · LA +23° · 291 ft Alan Maloney — single · EV 69 mph · LA +15° · 93 ft Rónald Samudio — single · EV 100 mph · LA -11° · 95 ft Jason Adams — single · EV 82 mph · LA -11° · 78 ft Destyn Thompson — single · EV 80 mph · LA +17° · 143 ft Rill Kautz — double · EV 106 mph · LA +21° · 304 ft Dylan Purchase — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +5° · 80 ft Jason Adams — double · EV 97 mph · LA +43° · 378 ft Nate Abajian — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA -19° · 69 ft Alan Maloney — single · EV 90 mph · LA +18° · 185 ft Rill Kautz — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA -8° · 79 ft Dylan Purchase — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA -7° · 86 ft Andre Melch — double_play · EV 74 mph · LA -12° · 70 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Canaries
54% deserve-to-win  ·  10.3 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  -1.3 vs expected
contact: 12.2 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 15.0 (+2.8 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 1 CS (+0.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jam Brickhandler 96 / +23° Center Reached on Error 1.2 → 0 -1.24
Renaldo Pastore 107 / +36° Oppo Home Run 3.0 → 4 +1.05
Ramón Navarro 76 / -2° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Grant Cordero 90 / -5° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
Jam Brickhandler 104 / +24° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.58
Orioles
46% deserve-to-win  ·  9.5 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  -1.5 vs expected
contact: 12.4 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 15.0 (+2.6 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 1 CS (+0.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Nate Abajian 92 / +10° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.17
Dylan Purchase 90 / +20° Oppo Double 0.9 → 2 +1.10
Keisei Sugita 91 / +36° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.92
Alan Maloney 69 / +15° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Jason Adams 82 / -11° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
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