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Expos 11, Guardians 9                                       2026-07-20 · #1119
at Cleveland Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Montreal               11   11    9    0
Cleveland               9    9    8    1

EXPOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fielding    ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Goodson     2b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Quinter pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Moreira     lf ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Solórzano   3b ......    3   2   3   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
Bourne      p  ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Huitema pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Grizzlies   c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Mondeville  rf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Hutnick     cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Deener  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Spence      1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   1   2   1   1   0   0  0.333
  d-Pérez   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  e-Bennett ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Gibson      j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Morales     j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Currier     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28  11   9   4   0   1  11   4   9   0   0  0.321
  2B: Goodson (31), Solórzano (17), Bourne (7), Mondeville (8).
  HR: Spence (1), off Browder.
  SB: Moreira (15), Solórzano 2 (6), Mondeville (8), Huitema (5), Quinteros (5).
  CS: Solórzano (6).
  HBP: Gibson (3).
  a-Ran for Goodson in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Bourne in the 5th.
  c-Grounded out for Hutnick in the 6th.
  d-Ran for Spence in the 7th.
  e-Struck out in the 7th.

GUARDIANS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Granberry   2b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Brymer      cf ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.667
Cabrera     c  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Zhu         3b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   3   0   0  0.000
Villarreal  ss ......    4   2   2   2   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.500
Hutson      rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Rollins pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Bannatyne   1b ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
González    lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Bronaug ph ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Lue         p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Mayotte pr ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  d-Anwunah ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Nieto       j  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  33   9   8   4   0   0   8   4  16   0   0  0.242
  2B: Brymer (6), Villarreal 2 (2), Nieto (3).
  SB: Hutson (12).
  E: Villarreal (2).
  GIDP: Villarreal (1).
  a-Ran for Hutson in the 4th.
  b-Batted for González in the 6th.
  c-Ran for Lue in the 6th.
  d-Batted for Rollins in the 6th.

EXPOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bourne (W, 7-4) .....    20   15  56%    3    2    2    3    9    0   76    -
Galaz ...............     7    4  15%    3    4    4    1    1    0   17  2-1
Bork ................    10    8  30%    2    3    3    0    6    0   38  2-2

GUARDIANS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Lue (L, 2-2) ........    18   13  48%    7    6    6    1    4    0   60    -
Browder .............    12    7  26%    1    5    3    3    5    1   48  1-1

EXPOS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Bourne (Outs 1-15) → Galaz (Outs 16-19) → Bork (Outs 20-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Grizzlies (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Spence (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Goodson (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Solórzano (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Fielding (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Moreira (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Hutnick (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Mondeville (Outs 1-27)

GUARDIANS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-20)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Lue (Outs 1-13) → Browder (Outs 14-20)
CATCHER (C)       | Cabrera (Outs 1-20)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Bannatyne (Outs 1-20)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Granberry (Outs 1-20)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Zhu (Outs 1-20)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Villarreal (Outs 1-20)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | González (Outs 1-20)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Brymer (Outs 1-20)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Hutson (Outs 1-20)

  Batting order: Guardians (home) batted first; Expos batted second.
  First pitch 1:10 PM ET. Weather: 83°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain · Humid. seed 449616.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 0 Sekou Cabrera Kemari Granberry (2B) 0–1
B 10 Corey Zhu Hal Rollins (3B) 0–2
B 18 Beals Villarreal Clint Bronaugh (3B) 0–3
B 18 Beals Villarreal Doug Bannatyne (2B) 0–4
B 18 Stan Nieto Beals Villarreal (2B) 0–5
B 19 Anthony Brymer Stan Nieto (2B) 0–6
B 19 Kemari Granberry Corey Zhu (2B) 0–7
B 24 Beals Villarreal Anthony Brymer (2B) 0–8
B 26 Anthony Brymer Beals Villarreal (2B) 0–9
T 1 Marquis Goodson Rónald Solórzano (3B) 1–9
T 1 Marquis Goodson Dylan Bourne (1B) 2–9
T 12 Dylan Bourne Franklin Mondeville (3B) 3–9
T 12 Rónald Solórzano Jenson Huitema (3B) 4–9
T 13 Rónald Solórzano Ozziel Moreira (3B) 5–9
T 13 Rónald Solórzano Ozziel Moreira (3B) 6–9
T 16 Gabe Deener Rónald Solórzano (3B) 7–9
T 17 Roscoe Spence Augusto Quinteros (2B) 8–9
T 17 Roscoe Spence Roscoe Spence (HR) 9–9
T 20 Elliott Currier Curt Gibson (3B) 10–9
T 20 Elliott Currier Jordi Pérez (2B) 11–9
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Cleveland Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 315' · CF 410' · RF 349' · 9' wall). Balanced.
Flag Pole in Play
Expos — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 3 1B · 4 XBH · 1 HR
315' 410' 349' Rónald Solórzano — single · EV 98 mph · LA +19° · 232 ft Marquis Goodson — double · EV 99 mph · LA +15° · 202 ft Mark Hutnick — ground_out · EV 114 mph · LA -9° · 108 ft Omni Fielding — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +5° · 76 ft Gabe Deener — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +32° · 363 ft Elliott Currier — error · EV 83 mph · LA -6° · 79 ft Roscoe Spence — ground_out · EV 71 mph · LA -20° · 68 ft Mark Hutnick — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +12° · 104 ft Franklin Mondeville — double · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 238 ft Maciek Grizzlies — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +34° · 312 ft Dylan Bourne — double · EV 98 mph · LA +23° · 275 ft Rónald Solórzano — single · EV 88 mph · LA +14° · 143 ft Ozziel Moreira — single · EV 86 mph · LA +23° · 215 ft Rónald Solórzano — double · EV 92 mph · LA +29° · 290 ft Roscoe Spence — hr · EV 99 mph · LA +38° · 379 ft
Guardians — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 4 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
315' 410' 349' Kemari Granberry — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 111 ft Sekou Cabrera — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -8° · 75 ft Beals Villarreal — double_play · EV 79 mph · LA -2° · 75 ft Oren Hutson — single · EV 88 mph · LA +8° · 84 ft Gardnar Lue — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 138 ft Hal Rollins — line_out · EV 69 mph · LA +14° · 93 ft Benoit Mayotte — single · EV 82 mph · LA +19° · 168 ft Stan Nieto — double · EV 92 mph · LA +30° · 292 ft Gardnar Lue — fielders_choice · EV 91 mph · LA +7° · 86 ft Anthony Brymer — single · EV 98 mph · LA +23° · 276 ft Doug Bannatyne — fielders_choice · EV 86 mph · LA -3° · 82 ft Beals Villarreal — double · EV 96 mph · LA +29° · 312 ft Sekou Cabrera — fly_out · EV 105 mph · LA +53° · 419 ft Kemari Granberry — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA -3° · 80 ft Anthony Brymer — double · EV 84 mph · LA +37° · 271 ft Beals Villarreal — double · EV 87 mph · LA +22° · 211 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Expos
79% deserve-to-win  ·  10.2 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  +0.8 vs expected
contact: 13.6 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 15.0 (+1.4 on contact)
running: 6 SB · 1 CS (+1.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Roscoe Spence 99 / +38° Pull Home Run 1.5 → 4 +2.54
Gabe Deener 100 / +32° Pull Out 1.9 → 0 -1.94
Rónald Solórzano 92 / +29° Oppo Double 0.7 → 2 +1.27
Maciek Grizzlies 92 / +34° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.94
Marquis Goodson 99 / +15° Pull Double 1.1 → 2 +0.91
Guardians
21% deserve-to-win  ·  5.2 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +3.8 vs expected
contact: 9.0 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (+3.0 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Anthony Brymer 84 / +37° Oppo Double 0.4 → 2 +1.57
Beals Villarreal 87 / +22° Center Double 0.6 → 2 +1.39
Stan Nieto 92 / +30° Center Double 0.7 → 2 +1.27
Sekou Cabrera 105 / +53° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.00
Beals Villarreal 96 / +29° Center Double 1.1 → 2 +0.93
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