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Expos 8, Phillies 6                                         2026-07-21 · #1132
at Huerta Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Philadelphia            6    6    6    1
Montreal                8    8    6    1

PHILLIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Logar       1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Vásquez pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mattke      2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Grizzlies   cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Awoniyi     lf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Santos      ss ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Moor        rf ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Tabaracci   c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Israilo pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Martín      3b ......    3   1   2   1   1   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.667
  c-Borges  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bowen       p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Craft   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Ka'apan pr ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Anthony     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Cubas       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   6   6   2   1   0   6   5   9   0   0  0.214
  2B: Moor (24), Martín (1).
  3B: Martín (1).
  SB: Santos (11).
  E: Borges (1).
  HBP: Awoniyi (7).
  GIDP: Cubas (1).
  a-Ran for Logar in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Tabaracci in the 7th.
  c-Ran for Martín in the 7th.
  d-Batted for Bowen in the 3rd.
  e-Ran for Craft in the 7th.

EXPOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Solórzano   lf ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   2   2   1   0   0  0.500
López       p  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   3   0   1   0   1  0.333
Goodson     2b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Grizzlies   c  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Geffrard    cf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Hiebert     ss ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Mondeville  rf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   3   0   0  0.250
Pérez       1b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Deener      3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Huitema pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Fieldin ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Gibson      j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Morales     j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  29   8   6   1   0   0   7   4  17   0   1  0.207
  2B: López (11).
  SB: Huitema (6).
  E: López (2).
  HBP: Geffrard (6), Pérez (6).
  a-Ran for Deener in the 2nd.
  b-Struck out for Huitema in the 8th.

PHILLIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bowen ...............    10    5  19%    1    2    2    2    3    0   32    -
Chavez ..............     7    8  30%    1    2    2    0    4    0   24  3-1
Marte (L, 1-2) ......    13    9  33%    3    3    3    2    6    0   52  1-0
Izoje ...............     5    5  19%    1    1    1    0    4    0   19  2-1

EXPOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
López ...............    15   10  37%    4    4    1    1    4    0   60    -
Mokoena (W, 2-0) ....    16   15  56%    2    2    2    3    5    0   50  1-0
Brown ...............     3    2   7%    0    0    0    1    0    0   16    -

PHILLIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Bowen (Outs 1-5) → Chavez (Outs 6-13) → Marte (Outs 14-22) → Izoje (Outs 23-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Tabaracci (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Logar (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Mattke (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Martín (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Santos (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Awoniyi (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Grizzlies (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Moor (Outs 1-27)

EXPOS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | López (Outs 1-10) → Mokoena (Outs 11-25) → Brown (Outs 26-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Grizzlies (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Pérez (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Goodson (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Deener (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Hiebert (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Solórzano (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Geffrard (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Mondeville (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Expos (home) batted first; Phillies batted second.
  First pitch 7:15 PM ET. Weather: 65°F · Wind out · Overcast · Light rain. seed 462907.
  Powerplays: Phillies — Ka'apana NF (O13)
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 1.00    Peak faced 9.00
    27 outs left: 1.00
    18 outs left: 1.33
     9 outs left: 1.67
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 5 Gabe Deener Marquis Goodson (3B) 0–1 —
B 5 Rónald Solórzano Titus Hiebert (3B) 0–2 —
B 5 Devron López Jordi Pérez (3B) 0–3 —
B 12 Jordi Pérez Quincy Geffrard (3B) 0–4 —
B 22 Rónald Solórzano Jenson Huitema (3B) 0–5 —
B 22 Devron López Rónald Solórzano (3B) 0–6 —
B 22 Devron López Pedro Morales (2B) 0–7 —
B 26 Franklin Mondeville Rónald Solórzano (3B) 0–8 —
T 7 James Bowen Jahiem Moor (2B) 1–8 1.20
T 10 Sandy Santos Alberto Vásquez (3B) 2–8 1.24
T 10 Marco Logar Nicolas Martín (3B) 3–8 1.06
T 10 Marco Logar Sandy Santos (2B) 4–8 0.88
T 19 Nicolas Martín Bright Awoniyi (2B) 5–8 1.50
T 19 Nicolas Martín Daniel Israilov (1B) 6–8 1.12
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 1.00
Peak faced 9.00
27 outs left 1.00
18 outs left 1.33
9 outs left 1.67
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Huerta Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 288' · CF 412' · RF 348' · 50' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Phillies — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 3 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
288' 412' 348' Wall 50' Zach Grizzlies — fly_out · EV 106 mph · LA +59° · 399 ft Bright Awoniyi — fly_out · EV 98 mph · LA +36° · 367 ft Jahiem Moor — double · EV 89 mph · LA +11° · 118 ft Adhithya Tabaracci — fielders_choice · EV 63 mph · LA -4° · 60 ft Nicolas Martín — fly_out · EV 70 mph · LA +27° · 162 ft James Bowen — single · EV 66 mph · LA +25° · 133 ft Sandy Santos — error · EV 94 mph · LA +4° · 89 ft Vitas Anthony — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +30° · 211 ft Jerome Ka'apana — single · EV 84 mph · LA -18° · 80 ft Sergio Cubas — double_play · EV 72 mph · LA -15° · 68 ft Nicolas Martín — double · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 234 ft Marco Logar — single · EV 89 mph · LA +16° · 170 ft Anthony Mattke — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +7° · 78 ft Zach Grizzlies — fly_out · EV 79 mph · LA +29° · 210 ft Anthony Mattke — fielders_choice · EV 82 mph · LA +9° · 80 ft Nicolas Martín — triple · EV 97 mph · LA +12° · 155 ft Jahiem Moor — fielders_choice · EV 67 mph · LA -1° · 64 ft
Expos — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 5 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
288' 412' 348' Wall 50' Devron López — line_out · EV 83 mph · LA +12° · 116 ft Marquis Goodson — single · EV 92 mph · LA +23° · 243 ft Maciek Grizzlies — ground_out · EV 54 mph · LA -2° · 51 ft Titus Hiebert — error · EV 52 mph · LA -4° · 49 ft Curt Gibson — single · EV 79 mph · LA +2° · 75 ft Pedro Morales — single · EV 82 mph · LA +8° · 78 ft Marquis Goodson — fly_out · EV 85 mph · LA +36° · 276 ft Rónald Solórzano — single · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 264 ft Titus Hiebert — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +44° · 231 ft Devron López — double · EV 99 mph · LA +11° · 146 ft Franklin Mondeville — single · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 173 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Phillies
77% deserve-to-win  ·  6.8 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -0.8 vs expected
contact: 9.3 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (+0.7 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Nicolas Martín 97 / +12° Oppo Triple 1.1 → 3 +1.90
Bright Awoniyi 98 / +36° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.45
Jahiem Moor 89 / +11° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.19
Zach Grizzlies 106 / +59° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.00
James Bowen 66 / +25° Pull Single 0.1 → 1 +0.87
Expos
23% deserve-to-win  ·  3.6 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +4.4 vs expected
contact: 4.8 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (+2.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Devron López 99 / +11° Center Double 1.1 → 2 +0.90
Franklin Mondeville 76 / +24° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.85
Curt Gibson 79 / +2° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.75
Pedro Morales 82 / +8° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.70
Devron López 83 / +12° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.58
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