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Braves 8, Giants 7                                          2026-07-23 · #1147
at The Citadel
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                        1    R    H    E
San Francisco           7    7    4    0
Atlanta                 8    8    8    2

GIANTS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Matos       rf ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Cardozo     ss ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Galloway    2b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   3   0   0  0.000
Marte       cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.000
Hoffken     3b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Reyes       c  ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.333
Estrada     1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Kraszewski  lf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
Warburg     p  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Rosado  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Capdevila   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   7   4   3   0   0   6   4  12   0   1  0.138
  2B: Matos (26), Kraszewski (4), Warburg (4).
  GIDP: Marte (1), Hoffken (1).
  a-Ran for Warburg in the 2nd.

BRAVES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Alvelo      c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Nilo        cf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Pfister     2b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Vargas      rf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Sauerbr pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Chu         ss ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Mickens     p  ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Ramon-E pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Kalogeropou 1b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  1.000
  c-Justini pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Spencer     lf ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.500
Allison     3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  13   8   8   3   0   0   8   3   2   0   1  0.615
  2B: Pfister (4), Mickens (2), Spencer (16).
  SB: Sauerbrunn (17), Chu (23).
  E: Alvelo 2 (10).
  a-Ran for Vargas in the 2nd.
  b-Ran for Mickens in the 7th.
  c-Ran for Kalogeropoulos in the 3rd.

GIANTS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Warburg (L, 7-10) ...    10    3  11%    5    4    4    3    0    0   29    -
Moore ...............     6    4  15%    3    4    4    0    2    0   21  3-2

BRAVES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Mickens .............    10    5  19%    2    4    4    3    2    0   39    -
Chourio .............     5    4  15%    1    3    1    0    1    0   14  2-2
Kyle (W, 3-1) .......    15   14  52%    1    0    0    1    8    0   68    -
Voorhees ............     3    4  15%    0    0    0    0    1    0   12  1-0

GIANTS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-7)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Warburg (Outs 1-3) → Moore (Outs 4-7)
CATCHER (C)       | Reyes (Outs 1-7)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Estrada (Outs 1-7)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Galloway (Outs 1-7)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Hoffken (Outs 1-7)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Cardozo (Outs 1-7)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Kraszewski (Outs 1-7)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Marte (Outs 1-7)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Matos (Outs 1-7)

BRAVES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Mickens (Outs 1-5) → Chourio (Outs 6-9) → Kyle (Outs 10-23) → Voorhees (Outs 24-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Alvelo (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Kalogeropoulos (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Pfister (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Allison (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Chu (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Spencer (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Nilo (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Vargas (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Braves (home) batted second; Giants batted first.
  First pitch 6:30 PM CT. Weather: 84°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 602675.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 5 Diego Warburg Maximo Cardozo (3B) 1–0
T 5 Diego Warburg Brad Galloway (2B) 2–0
T 5 Matt Kraszewski Jhonny Reyes (3B) 3–0
T 5 Matt Kraszewski Diego Warburg (2B) 4–0
T 6 Jhonny Reyes Ignacio Rosado (3B) 5–0
T 6 José Marte Matt Kraszewski (3B) 6–0
T 8 Brad Galloway Jhonny Reyes (3B) 7–0
B 0 James Pfister Mariano Vargas (2B) 7–1
B 0 Parmly Mickens James Pfister (3B) 7–2
B 0 Parmly Mickens Oscar Nilo (1B) 7–3
B 3 Todd Chu Parmly Mickens (3B) 7–4
B 6 Parmly Mickens Akili Sauerbrunn (3B) 7–5
B 7 Zack Spencer Todd Chu (3B) 7–6
B 7 Zack Spencer Sean Ramon-Edwards (2B) 7–7
B 7 Zack Spencer Maximo Justiniano (1B) 7–8
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Citadel's actual outfield dimensions (LF 368' · CF 355' · RF 345' · 10' wall). The Crescent — Inverted.
Crescent Grandstand
Giants — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 1 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
368' 355' 345' Antolín Matos — error · EV 52 mph · LA +15° · 60 ft Maximo Cardozo — fielders_choice · EV 82 mph · LA -17° · 77 ft Diego Warburg — double · EV 92 mph · LA +31° · 297 ft Jhonny Reyes — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 108 ft José Marte — double_play · EV 77 mph · LA +0° · 73 ft Hervé Capdevila — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +7° · 87 ft Matt Kraszewski — double · EV 92 mph · LA +22° · 235 ft Pramod Estrada — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 268 ft Orien Hoffken — error · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Antolín Matos — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +51° · 332 ft Orien Hoffken — ground_out · EV 97 mph · LA -4° · 92 ft Matt Kraszewski — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +40° · 229 ft Maximo Cardozo — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA -8° · 49 ft José Marte — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +45° · 231 ft Antolín Matos — double · EV 92 mph · LA +32° · 306 ft Orien Hoffken — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -9° · 49 ft
Braves — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 5 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
368' 355' 345' Mariano Vargas — single · EV 81 mph · LA -11° · 77 ft Todd Chu — infield_single · EV 74 mph · LA -10° · 71 ft James Pfister — double · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 232 ft Oscar Nilo — single · EV 80 mph · LA -7° · 76 ft Parmly Mickens — double · EV 98 mph · LA +41° · 383 ft Zack Spencer — line_out · EV 83 mph · LA +12° · 113 ft Cameron Allison — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +25° · 187 ft Kreigh Kalogeropoulos — single · EV 79 mph · LA +21° · 169 ft James Pfister — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +41° · 303 ft Parmly Mickens — single · EV 81 mph · LA -7° · 77 ft Zack Spencer — double · EV 117 mph · LA +10° · 189 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Giants
25% deserve-to-win  ·  3.8 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +3.2 vs expected
contact: 6.9 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (+0.1 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Diego Warburg 92 / +31° Center Double 0.7 → 2 +1.27
Matt Kraszewski 92 / +22° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.11
Antolín Matos 92 / +32° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.06
Pramod Estrada 92 / +26° Pull Out 0.7 → 0 -0.73
Jhonny Reyes 76 / +14° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Braves
75% deserve-to-win  ·  6.6 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +1.4 vs expected
contact: 8.0 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (+3.0 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Oscar Nilo 80 / -7° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Todd Chu 74 / -10° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
James Pfister 88 / +41° Pull Out 0.7 → 0 -0.68
Parmly Mickens 81 / -7° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.68
Mariano Vargas 81 / -11° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
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