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Braves 6, Giants 4                                          2026-07-24 · #1155
at The Citadel
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                        1    R    H    E
San Francisco           4    4    6    0
Atlanta                 6    6    6    0

GIANTS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Matos       rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Kelley      ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Cardozo     2b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Marte       cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Hoffken     lf ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
Reyes       c  ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Estrada     1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Gallowa ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Arbeloa     3b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Leining ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Gipson      p  ......    4   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  c-Rosado  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Anger   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   4   6   2   0   0   4   2   8   0   0  0.207
  2B: Hoffken (5), Arbeloa (3).
  CS: Arbeloa (1), Rosado (10).
  a-Grounded out for Estrada in the 7th.
  b-Singled for Arbeloa in the 7th.
  c-Ran for Leininger in the 8th.
  d-Grounded out for Galloway in the 8th.

BRAVES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Spencer     1b ......    2   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Ramon-E pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Vargas      rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Chu         ss ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Sauerbrunn  3b ......    2   1   2   0   0   1   5   0   1   1   0  1.000
Lamar       lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Jaimes      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Pfister     2b ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Alvelo      c  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Bray        cf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Weah        j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  10   6   6   1   1   1   6   2   3   1   0  0.600
  2B: Chu (32).
  3B: Spencer (1).
  HR: Sauerbrunn (3), off Guerrant.
  SB: Chu (24).
  HBP: Pfister (1).
  a-Ran for Spencer in the 7th.

GIANTS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Gipson (L) ..........    10    7  26%    5    3    3    1    3    0   34    -
Guerrant ............     2    0   0%    1    3    3    1    0    1    4  1-0

BRAVES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Jaimes ..............    14    9  33%    4    4    4    1    0    0   47    -
Buford (W, 4-1) .....    13   13  48%    1    0    0    1    6    0   51  1-0
Rodriguez ...........     5    5  19%    1    0    0    0    3    0   18  1-0

GIANTS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-7)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Gipson (Outs 1-7)
CATCHER (C)       | Reyes (Outs 1-7)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Estrada (Outs 1-7)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Cardozo (Outs 1-7)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Arbeloa (Outs 1-7)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Kelley (Outs 1-7)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Hoffken (Outs 1-7)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Marte (Outs 1-7)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Matos (Outs 1-7)

BRAVES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Jaimes (Outs 1-9) → Buford (Outs 10-22) → Rodriguez (Outs 23-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Alvelo (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Spencer (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Pfister (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Sauerbrunn (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Chu (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Lamar (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Bray (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Vargas (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Braves (home) batted second; Giants batted first.
  First pitch 7:15 PM CT. Weather: 95°F · Wind out · Overcast. seed 697891.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 5 Cas Arbeloa Maximo Cardozo (2B) 1–0
T 5 Cas Arbeloa Jhonny Reyes (1B) 2–0
T 9 Orien Hoffken Cas Arbeloa (2B) 3–0
T 9 Orien Hoffken Jhonny Reyes (1B) 4–0
B 3 Akili Sauerbrunn Todd Chu (3B) 4–1
B 3 Akili Sauerbrunn James Pfister (2B) 4–2
B 7 Zack Spencer Hugo Bray (1B) 4–3
B 7 Akili Sauerbrunn Sean Ramon-Edwards (3B) 4–4
B 7 Akili Sauerbrunn Cormani Weah (1B) 4–5
B 7 Akili Sauerbrunn Akili Sauerbrunn (HR) 4–6
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Citadel's actual outfield dimensions (LF 368' · CF 355' · RF 345' · 10' wall). The Crescent — Inverted.
Crescent Grandstand
Giants — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 4 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
368' 355' 345' Antolín Matos — line_out · EV 93 mph · LA +10° · 123 ft Alafia Kelley — line_out · EV 72 mph · LA +15° · 103 ft Maximo Cardozo — fielders_choice · EV 83 mph · LA -13° · 78 ft José Marte — fly_out · EV 72 mph · LA +26° · 163 ft Jhonny Reyes — single · EV 82 mph · LA +18° · 157 ft Pramod Estrada — fly_out · EV 66 mph · LA +28° · 144 ft Cas Arbeloa — double · EV 107 mph · LA +24° · 341 ft Kari Gipson — line_out · EV 65 mph · LA +20° · 112 ft Brad Galloway — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +5° · 81 ft Reuben Leininger — single · EV 80 mph · LA +8° · 73 ft Eddie Anger — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA -18° · 63 ft Kari Gipson — single · EV 77 mph · LA +22° · 163 ft Cas Arbeloa — fielders_choice · EV 81 mph · LA -5° · 77 ft Pramod Estrada — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -14° · 95 ft Orien Hoffken — double · EV 106 mph · LA +38° · 439 ft Antolín Matos — ground_out · EV 95 mph · LA +6° · 91 ft Jhonny Reyes — fielders_choice · EV 74 mph · LA -7° · 70 ft José Marte — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +2° · 73 ft Kari Gipson — single · EV 82 mph · LA +7° · 78 ft
Braves — Batted Balls
7 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
368' 355' 345' Mariano Vargas — single · EV 100 mph · LA +7° · 95 ft Dennis Lamar — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +58° · 363 ft Todd Chu — double · EV 119 mph · LA +24° · 426 ft Akili Sauerbrunn — single · EV 96 mph · LA -10° · 92 ft Hugo Bray — single · EV 84 mph · LA -9° · 80 ft Zack Spencer — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 175 ft Akili Sauerbrunn — hr · EV 111 mph · LA +44° · 480 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Giants
32% deserve-to-win  ·  4.2 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -0.2 vs expected
contact: 11.1 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (-3.1 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Orien Hoffken 106 / +38° Pull Double 2.9 → 2 -0.90
Antolín Matos 93 / +10° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Kari Gipson 82 / +7° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.70
Antolín Matos 95 / +6° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.48
Alafia Kelley 72 / +15° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.47
Braves
68% deserve-to-win  ·  6.2 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -0.2 vs expected
contact: 10.0 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (+2.0 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Zack Spencer 100 / +13° Oppo Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.74
Todd Chu 119 / +24° Center Double 2.9 → 2 -0.94
Dennis Lamar 100 / +58° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.89
Hugo Bray 84 / -9° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.68
Akili Sauerbrunn 96 / -10° Pull Stay 0.4 → 1 +0.56
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