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Beavers 3, Athletics 2                                      2026-07-25 · #1168
at The Oval
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                        1    R    H    E
Oakland                 2    2    3    0
Portland                3    3    3    0

ATHLETICS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fehr        cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Caspersen   c  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Pagán       rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Crutchfield 2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Leat        3b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Sutton      ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Kade    ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Rodrigues   1b ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Sawchuk     lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Sinclai ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Curran      p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-DeLong  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Korda   pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Diémé   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Zago    ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
  g-Noel    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  h-Saunder pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ghannam     j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  23   2   3   1   0   0   2   5   6   0   0  0.130
  2B: Rodrigues (2).
  SB: Noel (4).
  CS: Caspersen (8).
  HBP: Caspersen (2), Diémé (2), Noel (3).
  GIDP: Crutchfield (1).
  a-Pinch-hit for Sutton in the 3rd.
  b-Batted for Sawchuk in the 3rd.
  c-Walked for Curran in the 3rd.
  d-Ran for DeLong in the 3rd.
  e-Batted in the 3rd.
  f-Walked for Kade in the 3rd.
  g-Ran for Zago in the 3rd.
  h-Ran in the 7th.

BEAVERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Guerra      cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Hydrick     c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Tessema     2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Aktaş       3b ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Lindsay     p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Okey    pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Fuenzalida  lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Clement     ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Turenne     1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Vahaly  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Maripán     rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Smith   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  d-Briaud  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  e-Vidal   ph ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  f-Holzwor ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Velazquez   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Redmayne    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  16   3   3   0   0   0   3   5   6   0   0  0.188
  CS: Fuenzalida (1).
  a-Ran for Lindsay in the 4th.
  b-Walked for Turenne in the 4th.
  c-Ran in the 7th.
  d-Ran for Vahaly in the 4th.
  e-Walked in the 5th.
  f-Struck out in the 5th.

ATHLETICS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Curran (L, 12-6) ....    15   12  44%    2    2    2    4    4    0   62    -
Beach ...............     5    5  19%    1    1    1    1    2    0   17  2-0

BEAVERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Lindsay (W, 6-16) ...    32   27 100%    3    2    2    5    7    0  116    -

ATHLETICS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-17)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Curran (Outs 1-12) → Beach (Outs 13-17)
CATCHER (C)       | Caspersen (Outs 1-17)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Rodrigues (Outs 1-17)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Crutchfield (Outs 1-17)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Leat (Outs 1-17)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Sutton (Outs 1-17)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Sawchuk (Outs 1-17)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Fehr (Outs 1-17)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Pagán (Outs 1-17)

BEAVERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Lindsay (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Hydrick (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Turenne (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Tessema (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Aktaş (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Clement (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Fuenzalida (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Guerra (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Maripán (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Beavers (home) batted second; Athletics batted first.
  First pitch 2:00 PM PT. Weather: 66°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 651047.
  Powerplays: Beavers — Holzworth NF
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 5 Mauricio Rodrigues Martin Leat (1B) 1–0
T 8 Alex Zago Chet Noel (3B) 2–0
B 11 Holcombe Hydrick Rhyne Okey (3B) 2–1
B 11 Wilmer Velazquez Travis Briaud (2B) 2–2
B 16 Rhyne Okey Álvaro Vidal (2B) 2–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Oval's actual outfield dimensions (LF 326' · CF 455' · RF 395' · 14' wall). Cavernous.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Athletics — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
326' 455' 395' Wall 14' Hal Fehr — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +35° · 291 ft Val Caspersen — single · EV 83 mph · LA +25° · 212 ft Emmett Crutchfield — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA -7° · 66 ft Mauricio Rodrigues — double · EV 97 mph · LA +12° · 159 ft Martin Leat — line_out · EV 86 mph · LA +17° · 168 ft Marcos Ghannam — single · EV 63 mph · LA +12° · 66 ft Keaton Saunders — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +20° · 181 ft Emmett Crutchfield — fly_out · EV 79 mph · LA +48° · 246 ft Hal Fehr — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -18° · 72 ft Cannon Sinclair — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA -3° · 69 ft Mathis Diémé — ground_out · EV 67 mph · LA -30° · 63 ft Martin Leat — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -29° · 73 ft Randy Korda — line_out · EV 83 mph · LA +10° · 95 ft Emmett Crutchfield — double_play · EV 80 mph · LA -1° · 76 ft Modesto Pagán — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA +6° · 54 ft Cannon Sinclair — ground_out · EV 57 mph · LA -3° · 54 ft
Beavers — Batted Balls
9 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
326' 455' 395' Wall 14' Armel Lindsay — single · EV 78 mph · LA +20° · 157 ft Levar De Turenne — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA +7° · 55 ft Bonsa Tessema — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +9° · 82 ft Yadier Guerra — line_out · EV 89 mph · LA +13° · 139 ft Dawood Aktaş — single · EV 76 mph · LA -12° · 72 ft Jaime Fuenzalida — line_out · EV 65 mph · LA +11° · 61 ft Wilmer Velazquez — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -17° · 73 ft Rhyne Okey — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA -5° · 53 ft Dawood Aktaş — single · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Athletics
82% deserve-to-win  ·  6.0 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -4.0 vs expected
contact: 6.1 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-2.1 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Hal Fehr 88 / +35° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.94
Mauricio Rodrigues 97 / +12° Center Double 1.1 → 2 +0.91
Marcos Ghannam 63 / +12° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.67
Val Caspersen 83 / +25° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.62
Martin Leat 86 / +17° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Beavers
18% deserve-to-win  ·  2.8 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +0.2 vs expected
contact: 3.4 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-0.4 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Yadier Guerra 89 / +13° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Dawood Aktaş 76 / -12° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Bonsa Tessema 82 / +9° Oppo Out 0.6 → 0 -0.58
Dawood Aktaş 76 / +9° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Armel Lindsay 78 / +20° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.46
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