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Rockies 2, Guardians 1                                      2026-07-25 · #1169
at Cleveland Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Colorado                2    2    1    0
Cleveland               1    1    6    0

ROCKIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Martinho    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ruidíaz     2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Henry       p  ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Otamendi    cf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Porteño     c  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Chaves      1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Alderman    rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Diatta      3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                   7   2   1   0   0   1   2   1   2   0   0  0.143
  HR: Henry (1), off Lue.
  SB: Otamendi (7).


GUARDIANS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Lue         p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Villarr pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Granberry   2b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Cabrera     c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Cosper      ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Bronaug pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Enquist     rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Mayotte ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bannatyne   3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
González    1b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  d-Anwunah ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Carmona     lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Brymer      cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Rollins pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  f-Zhu     ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Suggs       j  ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  25   1   6   1   0   0   1   3   8   0   0  0.240
  2B: González (17).
  SB: González (7).
  CS: Bannatyne (2), Rollins (12).
  GIDP: Granberry (4), Cabrera (13), Carmona (1).
  a-Ran for Lue in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Cosper in the 5th.
  c-Batted for Enquist in the 5th.
  d-Grounded out for González in the 7th.
  e-Ran for Brymer in the 3rd.
  f-Struck out for Rollins in the 6th.

ROCKIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Henry (W, 5-1) ......    28   27 100%    6    1    1    3    8    0   95    -

GUARDIANS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Lue (L, 2-3) ........     8    6  22%    1    2    2    1    2    1   31    -

ROCKIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Henry (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Porteño (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Chaves (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Ruidíaz (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Diatta (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Martinho (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | —
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Otamendi (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Alderman (Outs 1-27)

GUARDIANS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-6)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Lue (Outs 1-6)
CATCHER (C)       | Cabrera (Outs 1-6)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | González (Outs 1-6)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Granberry (Outs 1-6)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Bannatyne (Outs 1-6)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Cosper (Outs 1-6)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Carmona (Outs 1-6)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Brymer (Outs 1-6)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Enquist (Outs 1-6)

  Batting order: Guardians (home) batted first; Rockies batted second.
  First pitch 5:45 PM ET. Weather: 98°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Light rain · Humid. seed 42322.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 5 José González Kemari Granberry (2B) 0–1
T 2 Marco Ruidíaz Wesly Otamendi (3B) 1–1
T 6 David Henry David Henry (HR) 2–1
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Cleveland Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 315' · CF 410' · RF 349' · 9' wall). Balanced.
Flag Pole in Play
Rockies — Batted Balls
4 BIP· 0 1B · 0 XBH · 1 HR
315' 410' 349' Wesly Otamendi — fielders_choice · EV 88 mph · LA +9° · 99 ft Marco Ruidíaz — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA -31° · 93 ft John Diatta — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -8° · 77 ft David Henry — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +27° · 456 ft
Guardians — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 5 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
315' 410' 349' Gardnar Lue — line_out · EV 71 mph · LA +22° · 142 ft Kemari Granberry — single · EV 84 mph · LA -3° · 80 ft Sekou Cabrera — ground_out · EV 62 mph · LA +5° · 59 ft José González — double · EV 88 mph · LA +31° · 275 ft Shelton Suggs — single · EV 68 mph · LA -17° · 64 ft Benoit Mayotte — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA +9° · 79 ft Amir Anwunah — ground_out · EV 53 mph · LA +6° · 51 ft Clint Bronaugh — fielders_choice · EV 68 mph · LA +7° · 65 ft Boris Carmona — double_play · EV 78 mph · LA -2° · 75 ft Doug Bannatyne — fielders_choice · EV 77 mph · LA -3° · 74 ft Sekou Cabrera — double_play · EV 81 mph · LA -9° · 77 ft Gardnar Lue — single · EV 95 mph · LA +16° · 191 ft Shelton Suggs — single · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 64 ft Boris Carmona — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +19° · 180 ft Sekou Cabrera — single · EV 98 mph · LA +10° · 132 ft Kemari Granberry — double_play · EV 90 mph · LA +5° · 85 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Rockies
43% deserve-to-win  ·  2.8 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -0.8 vs expected
contact: 4.5 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-0.5 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
David Henry 119 / +27° Pull Home Run 2.9 → 4 +1.06
Wesly Otamendi 88 / +9° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Marco Ruidíaz 98 / -31° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.44
John Diatta 81 / -8° Oppo Out 0.3 → 0 -0.32
Guardians
57% deserve-to-win  ·  3.1 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -2.1 vs expected
contact: 7.0 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0
running: 1 SB · 2 CS (-0.9 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
José González 88 / +31° Pull Double 0.7 → 2 +1.27
Shelton Suggs 68 / -17° Oppo Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Kemari Granberry 84 / -3° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.68
Boris Carmona 86 / +19° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Gardnar Lue 71 / +22° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
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