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Canaries 7, Tigers 5                                        2026-07-25 · #1171
at New Jersey Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Detroit                 5    5    2    0
New Jersey              7    7    8    0

TIGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Amigo       cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mauigoa     lf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.500
Delatte     ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Sears   pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Peavy       rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Whorisk ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Zheng       2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Monroe      3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Day         c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Marion      1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Okonkwo     p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Acebo   pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  d-McMicha pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Takuma  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Lutmer  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Massey      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Soldan      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Kuhler      j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  27   5   2   0   0   0   2   6  11   0   0  0.074
  HBP: Amigo (1).
  GIDP: Amigo (1), Massey (2).
  a-Ran for Delatte in the 3rd.
  b-Batted for Peavy in the 3rd.
  c-Ran for Okonkwo in the 3rd.
  d-Ran in the 3rd.
  e-Ran in the 6th.
  f-Struck out for McMichael in the 8th.

CANARIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cordero     lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Brickhandle 1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Lacava      3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  a-Conway  ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Fishbach    2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Kerr        rf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Richey  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Pastore     c  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Kramer  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Crader      p  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Rushing     ss ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Navarro     cf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  d-Barron  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Woodall     j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  17   7   8   3   0   0   6   3   6   0   0  0.471
  2B: Kerr (25), Pastore (3), Crader (3).
  a-Singled for Lacava in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Kerr in the 2nd.
  c-Grounded out for Pastore in the 2nd.
  d-Ran in the 5th.

TIGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Okonkwo (L, 10-5) ...    15   10  37%    7    4    4    2    4    0   62    -
McDuffie ............     6    3  11%    1    3    3    1    3    0   23  1-0

CANARIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Crader (W, 10-3) ....    32   27 100%    1    5    5    6   11    0  122    -

TIGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-13)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Okonkwo (Outs 1-10) → McDuffie (Outs 11-13)
CATCHER (C)       | Day (Outs 1-13)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Marion (Outs 1-13)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Zheng (Outs 1-13)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Monroe (Outs 1-13)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Delatte (Outs 1-13)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Mauigoa (Outs 1-13)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Amigo (Outs 1-13)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Peavy (Outs 1-13)

CANARIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Crader (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Pastore (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Brickhandler (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Fishbach (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Lacava (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Rushing (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Cordero (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Navarro (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Kerr (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Canaries (home) batted second; Tigers batted first.
  First pitch 7:15 PM ET. Weather: 78°F · Wind out · Clear · Humid. seed 409085.
  Powerplays: Canaries — Kramer NF (O8)
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 8 Aleksandar Delatte Barry McMichael (3B) 1–0
T 9 Zixuan Zheng Raymond Acebo (3B) 2–0
T 9 Cooper Monroe Jenson Mauigoa (3B) 3–0
T 10 Christian Day Ricki Sears (3B) 4–0
T 20 Kentaro Takuma Kentaro Takuma (3B) 5–0
B 1 Renaldo Pastore Jerome Kerr (3B) 5–1
B 1 Vincent Crader Renaldo Pastore (2B) 5–2
B 3 Deylin Fishbach Jayden Rushing (2B) 5–3
B 9 Grant Cordero Welby Richey (2B) 5–4
B 13 Leo Conway Brandon Barron (3B) 5–5
B 13 Leo Conway Ramón Navarro (3B) 5–6
B 13 Leo Conway Jesse Woodall (2B) 5–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to New Jersey Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 341' · CF 403' · RF 324' · 40' wall). Balanced.
Tigers — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 1 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
341' 403' 324' Wall 40' Karl Marion — fielders_choice · EV 54 mph · LA -13° · 51 ft Noah Massey — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 196 ft Kentaro Takuma — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 138 ft Christian Day — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -15° · 49 ft Eloy Amigo — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +31° · 202 ft Noah Massey — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -10° · 49 ft Jenson Mauigoa — single · EV 53 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Ricki Sears — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 111 ft Cooper Monroe — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA -3° · 72 ft Eloy Amigo — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft
Canaries — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 5 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
341' 403' 324' Wall 40' Jerome Kerr — double · EV 100 mph · LA +17° · 226 ft Renaldo Pastore — double · EV 119 mph · LA +21° · 380 ft Vincent Crader — double · EV 100 mph · LA +23° · 288 ft Jayden Rushing — single · EV 88 mph · LA +3° · 84 ft Deylin Fishbach — single · EV 119 mph · LA +23° · 409 ft Ramón Navarro — single · EV 88 mph · LA -5° · 84 ft Leo Conway — single · EV 88 mph · LA -14° · 84 ft Vincent Crader — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 190 ft Grant Cordero — single · EV 80 mph · LA -2° · 76 ft Ramón Navarro — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -8° · 95 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Tigers
22% deserve-to-win  ·  3.2 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +1.8 vs expected
contact: 3.5 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 1.0 (-2.5 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Noah Massey 92 / +18° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.90
Ricki Sears 92 / +10° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.83
Jenson Mauigoa 53 / +10° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Kentaro Takuma 76 / +18° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Cooper Monroe 76 / -3° Center Out 0.2 → 0 -0.23
Canaries
78% deserve-to-win  ·  6.0 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +1.0 vs expected
contact: 9.5 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (+1.5 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Vincent Crader 100 / +14° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.25
Deylin Fishbach 119 / +23° Center Single 1.7 → 1 -0.71
Grant Cordero 80 / -2° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Ramón Navarro 88 / -5° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
Leo Conway 88 / -14° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
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