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Royals 5, Padres 4                                          2026-07-27 · #1188
at Saitch Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Kansas City             5    5    5    0
San Diego               4    4    5    1

ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Ekic        cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Vera    ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Sabella     ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Graham      lf ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.333
Rosales     3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Hsia        1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Tanguil ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Gregory     c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Savarino    rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Altamir pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Inglis      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Devens  pr ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Simon       p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Selden  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Farley  ph ......    1   2   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  g-Linneha pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  h-Espinoz pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  25   5   5   2   0   0   5   2  10   0   0  0.200
  2B: Graham (9), Farley (2).
  a-Batted for Ekic in the 4th.
  b-Grounded out for Hsia in the 4th.
  c-Ran for Savarino in the 6th.
  d-Ran for Inglis in the 7th.
  e-Grounded out for Altamirano in the 6th.
  f-Batted in the 5th.
  g-Ran in the 5th.
  h-Ran for Selden in the 6th.

PADRES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Spoelstra   p  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   2  0.000
Lettiere    c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Najar       rf ......    4   0   2   0   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.500
Atehortua   1b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Lavelle     ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Andrade     cf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
MacCracken  2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Banuelos    3b ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Fernández   lf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Cleveland   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   4   5   1   0   0   4   2  14   0   2  0.179
  2B: Banuelos (3).
  SB: Spoelstra (1).
  CS: Najar 2 (8), Atehortua (7).
  E: MacCracken (6).


ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Simon (W, 7-5) ......    23   20  74%    4    3    3    1   10    0   86    -
Weil ................     6    7  26%    0    1    1    1    4    0   20  2-1

PADRES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Spoelstra (L, 12-11)     26   21  78%    5    5    5    2   10    0   84    -

ROYALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Simon (Outs 1-20) → Weil (Outs 21-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Gregory (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Hsia (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Inglis (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rosales (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Sabella (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Graham (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Ekic (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Savarino (Outs 1-27)

PADRES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-21)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Spoelstra (Outs 1-21)
CATCHER (C)       | Lettiere (Outs 1-21)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Atehortua (Outs 1-21)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | MacCracken (Outs 1-21)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Banuelos (Outs 1-21)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Lavelle (Outs 1-21)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Fernández (Outs 1-21)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Andrade (Outs 1-21)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Najar (Outs 1-21)

  Batting order: Padres (home) batted first; Royals batted second.
  First pitch 7:10 PM PT. Weather: 98°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 539530.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 1 Yoshimar Najar Roberto Spoelstra (2B) 0–1
B 9 Yoshimar Najar Israel Fernández (2B) 0–2
B 16 Haxzel Andrade Keshav Atehortua (3B) 0–3
B 21 Roberto Spoelstra Haxzel Andrade (3B) 0–4
T 11 Landon Tanguilig Ramon Altamirano (2B) 1–4
T 13 Randy Farley Beau Devens (2B) 2–4
T 16 Beau Devens Randy Farley (2B) 3–4
T 21 George Graham Rich Linnehan (2B) 4–4
T 21 George Graham Randy Farley (1B) 5–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Saitch Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 386' · CF 403' · RF 371' · 6' wall). Oval — Cricket-Ground Revival.
Royals — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
386' 403' 371' Efraín Sabella — ground_out · EV 95 mph · LA +18° · 210 ft Luis Rosales — ground_out · EV 97 mph · LA -14° · 92 ft Devron Savarino — single · EV 88 mph · LA +12° · 126 ft Connor Inglis — fielders_choice · EV 77 mph · LA -11° · 73 ft Landon Tanguilig — error · EV 100 mph · LA +22° · 277 ft Randy Farley — double · EV 94 mph · LA +27° · 287 ft Rich Linnehan — single · EV 93 mph · LA -4° · 88 ft Mark Simon — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA +12° · 162 ft Efraín Sabella — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +35° · 230 ft Beau Devens — single · EV 81 mph · LA +14° · 123 ft Eugenio Vera — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA +8° · 79 ft George Graham — double · EV 93 mph · LA +17° · 194 ft
Padres — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
386' 403' 371' Roberto Spoelstra — fielders_choice · EV 86 mph · LA +7° · 82 ft Yoshimar Najar — single · EV 89 mph · LA +17° · 173 ft Haxzel Andrade — single · EV 65 mph · LA +24° · 123 ft Israel Fernández — fielders_choice · EV 79 mph · LA -11° · 75 ft Yoshimar Najar — single · EV 99 mph · LA +10° · 127 ft Haxzel Andrade — line_out · EV 97 mph · LA +17° · 209 ft Israel Fernández — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA -12° · 63 ft Roberto Spoelstra — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -17° · 75 ft Stefan Banuelos — double · EV 105 mph · LA +11° · 162 ft Haxzel Andrade — fielders_choice · EV 72 mph · LA +8° · 61 ft Keshav Atehortua — fielders_choice · EV 71 mph · LA -9° · 67 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Royals
91% deserve-to-win  ·  3.7 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +1.3 vs expected
contact: 7.7 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-0.7 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Randy Farley 94 / +27° Center Double 0.7 → 2 +1.27
Landon Tanguilig 100 / +22° Pull Reached on Error 1.2 → 0 -1.22
George Graham 93 / +17° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.11
Mark Simon 99 / +12° Center Out 1.1 → 0 -1.09
Efraín Sabella 95 / +18° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.89
Padres
9% deserve-to-win  ·  1.2 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +2.8 vs expected
contact: 6.6 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-1.6 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 3 CS (-1.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Haxzel Andrade 97 / +17° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Stefan Banuelos 105 / +11° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.61
Haxzel Andrade 65 / +24° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Haxzel Andrade 72 / +8° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.47
Roberto Spoelstra 86 / +7° Center Out 0.3 → 0 -0.30
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