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Expos 9, Stars 4                                            2026-07-27 · #1189
at Neviaser Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
Montreal                9    9    6    1
Nashville               4    4    3    0

EXPOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Grizzlies   ss ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.667
Goodson     2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Huitema pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Creek       lf ......    4   4   2   0   0   2   6   0   0   0   0  0.500
Geffrard    cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Solórza ph ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Hiebert     3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Fieldin pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Mondeville  rf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Pérez       1b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Spence      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Moran       p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  0.000
Warner      3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Gibson      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   9   6   1   0   2   9   4   7   0   1  0.207
  2B: Solórzano (19).
  HR: Creek 2 (6), off Zahary, Singletary.
  SB: Grizzlies (12).
  CS: Grizzlies (6), Solórzano (7).
  E: Fielding (7).
  GIDP: Hiebert (2).
  a-Ran for Goodson in the 4th.
  b-Batted for Geffrard in the 4th.
  c-Ran for Hiebert in the 5th.

STARS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cooper      lf ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Spence      rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Gayton      cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Sappington  3b ......    3   2   1   0   0   1   3   1   0   0   0  0.333
Fusano      2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Boattin     ss ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
  a-Beers   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Mendez      1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  0.000
Cubillán    c  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Karouan ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Aupiu       p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Santama ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Caballe pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  e-Burani  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Giannou     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  25   4   3   0   0   1   4   5   7   0   1  0.120
  HR: Sappington (5), off Bourne.
  SB: Fusano (9).
  CS: Beers (2).
  GIDP: Sappington (4), Fusano (5).
  a-Ran for Boattin in the 6th.
  b-Walked for Cubillán in the 5th.
  c-Batted in the 5th.
  d-Ran for Karouani in the 5th.
  e-Struck out for Caballero in the 7th.

EXPOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Moran (W, 2-2) ......    16   14  52%    1    1    1    3    5    0   59    -
Bourne (F, 36) ......    13   13  48%    2    3    3    2    2    1   34  2-1

STARS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Aupiu ...............    16   15  56%    1    0    0    2    4    0   56    -
Zahary (L, 0-1) .....     4    2   7%    2    4    4    1    0    1    9  2-2
Singletary ..........    12   10  37%    3    5    4    1    3    1   43  2-1

EXPOS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Moran (Outs 1-14) → Bourne (Outs 15-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Spence (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Pérez (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Goodson (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Warner (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Grizzlies (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Creek (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Geffrard (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Mondeville (Outs 1-27)

STARS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Aupiu (Outs 1-15) → Zahary (Outs 16-17) → Singletary (Outs 18-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Cubillán (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Mendez (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Fusano (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Sappington (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Boattin (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Cooper (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Gayton (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Spence (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Stars (home) batted second; Expos batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM CT. Weather: 76°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Light rain. seed 687607.
  Powerplays: Stars — Beers NF (O14)
  Walk-Back runs: off Singletary 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 17 Fran Creek Jenson Huitema (3B) 1–0
T 17 Fran Creek Omni Fielding (2B) 2–0
T 17 Fran Creek Maciek Grizzlies (1B) 3–0
T 17 Fran Creek Fran Creek (HR) 4–0
T 19 Jordi Pérez Fran Creek (3B) 5–0
T 22 Maciek Grizzlies Carson Warner (2B) 6–0
T 24 Fran Creek Jordi Pérez (3B) 7–0
T 24 Fran Creek Fran Creek (HR) 8–0
T 24 Rónald Solórzano Fran Creek (3B) 9–0
B 13 Nestor Santamaría Wallace Sappington (2B) 9–1
B 16 Wallace Sappington Tony Caballero (2B) 9–2
B 16 Wallace Sappington Bruno Cooper (1B) 9–3
B 16 Wallace Sappington Wallace Sappington (HR) 9–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Neviaser Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 279' · CF 373' · RF 278' · 12' wall). The Bandbox.
Expos — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 2 HR
279' 373' 278' Maciek Grizzlies — single · EV 88 mph · LA -19° · 83 ft Marquis Goodson — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -4° · 72 ft Titus Hiebert — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 73 ft Scott Moran — line_out · EV 86 mph · LA +11° · 114 ft Rónald Solórzano — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA +9° · 112 ft Jenson Huitema — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 117 ft Curt Gibson — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Carson Warner — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +30° · 209 ft Maciek Grizzlies — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +33° · 310 ft Fran Creek — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +30° · 201 ft Roscoe Spence — fly_out · EV 57 mph · LA +40° · 126 ft Rónald Solórzano — single · EV 92 mph · LA +2° · 87 ft Scott Moran — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 142 ft Fran Creek — hr · EV 92 mph · LA +42° · 337 ft Franklin Mondeville — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +34° · 215 ft Jordi Pérez — fielders_choice · EV 92 mph · LA +5° · 87 ft Maciek Grizzlies — single · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 72 ft Rónald Solórzano — double · EV 88 mph · LA +29° · 263 ft Fran Creek — hr · EV 92 mph · LA +35° · 319 ft
Stars — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 1 HR
279' 373' 278' Bruno Cooper — fielders_choice · EV 71 mph · LA -13° · 67 ft Wallace Sappington — double_play · EV 77 mph · LA +18° · 138 ft Sean Spence — ground_out · EV 54 mph · LA -4° · 51 ft Facundo Mendez — error · EV 76 mph · LA -16° · 72 ft Haxzel Cubillán — single · EV 92 mph · LA +9° · 105 ft Tracy Fusano — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +30° · 296 ft Nestor Santamaría — ground_out · EV 67 mph · LA -3° · 64 ft Samuel Giannou — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +34° · 322 ft Wallace Sappington — fielders_choice · EV 73 mph · LA -10° · 69 ft Facundo Mendez — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 163 ft Tracy Fusano — double_play · EV 64 mph · LA -2° · 61 ft Bruno Cooper — fielders_choice · EV 84 mph · LA -11° · 79 ft Wallace Sappington — hr · EV 92 mph · LA +36° · 321 ft Pepe Boattin — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 96 ft Bruno Cooper — fielders_choice · EV 78 mph · LA -4° · 74 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Expos
52% deserve-to-win  ·  4.6 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +4.4 vs expected
contact: 9.4 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (+3.6 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 2 CS (-0.9 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Fran Creek 92 / +35° Pull Home Run 0.9 → 4 +3.08
Fran Creek 92 / +42° Pull Home Run 1.1 → 4 +2.88
Rónald Solórzano 88 / +29° Oppo Double 0.7 → 2 +1.26
Maciek Grizzlies 92 / +33° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.92
Rónald Solórzano 93 / +9° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.84
Stars
48% deserve-to-win  ·  4.4 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -0.4 vs expected
contact: 6.6 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (-0.6 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Wallace Sappington 92 / +36° Oppo Home Run 0.9 → 4 +3.08
Samuel Giannou 93 / +34° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.92
Tracy Fusano 92 / +30° Pull Out 0.7 → 0 -0.74
Wallace Sappington 77 / +18° Oppo Double Play 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Facundo Mendez 76 / +22° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
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