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Orcas 1, Cubs 0                                             2026-07-29 · #1212
at Abdurakhmanov Park
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                        1    R    H    E
Chicago                 0    0    4    0
Vancouver               1    1    2    0

CUBS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Shurtleff   lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Solis       ss ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Santana     2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Heinze      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
May         3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Mueller pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Myers       cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Kurth   ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Casey       1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Sarkissian  rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-McCullo ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Wimer       p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Lamas   pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   0   4   0   0   0   0   1  12   0   0  0.154
  CS: Solis (1), Lamas (10).
  a-Ran for May in the 8th.
  b-Singled for Myers in the 8th.
  c-Batted for Sarkissian in the 6th.
  d-Ran for Wimer in the 3rd.

ORCAS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Noonan      c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Edmonson    3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Irvin       2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mendez      1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Peavy       cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Valdivia    ss ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Millar      rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Quintero    lf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                   8   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   6   0   0  0.250
  2B: Quintero (5).
  SB: Valdivia (6).


CUBS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Wimer (L, 2-16) .....     8    6  22%    2    1    1    0    6    0   35    -

ORCAS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Martínez (W, 5-3) ...    26   27 100%    3    0    0    1   12    0  117    -

CUBS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-6)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Wimer (Outs 1-6)
CATCHER (C)       | Heinze (Outs 1-6)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Casey (Outs 1-6)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Santana (Outs 1-6)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | May (Outs 1-6)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Solis (Outs 1-6)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Shurtleff (Outs 1-6)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Myers (Outs 1-6)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Sarkissian (Outs 1-6)

ORCAS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Martínez (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Noonan (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Mendez (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Irvin (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Edmonson (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Valdivia (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Quintero (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Peavy (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Millar (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Orcas (home) batted second; Cubs batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM PT. Weather: 83°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 472480.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 6 Jonás Quintero Moisés Valdivia (2B) 0–1
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Abdurakhmanov Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 282' · CF 485' · RF 283' · 12' wall). Bathtub.
Tal's Hill
Cubs — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
282' 485' 283' Eddie Solis — single · EV 80 mph · LA +24° · 191 ft Brad Wimer — single · EV 82 mph · LA +11° · 98 ft Josh McCullough — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA +1° · 53 ft Davion Kurth — single · EV 98 mph · LA -9° · 94 ft Tomas Heinze — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -0° · 75 ft Víctor Lamas — ground_out · EV 63 mph · LA -1° · 60 ft Eddie Solis — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +32° · 251 ft Jaume Santana — ground_out · EV 60 mph · LA -22° · 57 ft
Orcas — Batted Balls
2 BIP· 1 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
282' 485' 283' Moisés Valdivia — single · EV 91 mph · LA +5° · 86 ft Jonás Quintero — double · EV 100 mph · LA +30° · 343 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Cubs
0% deserve-to-win  ·  -0.6 expected runs
actual 0 runs  ·  +0.6 vs expected
contact: 2.6 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (+0.4 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Davion Kurth 98 / -9° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.50
Brad Wimer 82 / +11° Oppo Single 0.6 → 1 +0.42
Eddie Solis 80 / +24° Oppo Single 0.6 → 1 +0.39
Eddie Solis 84 / +32° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.38
Tomas Heinze 78 / +0° Center Out 0.2 → 0 -0.23
Orcas
100% deserve-to-win  ·  0.8 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  +0.2 vs expected
contact: 1.8 est bases + 0 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (+1.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jonás Quintero 100 / +30° Oppo Double 1.3 → 2 +0.66
Moisés Valdivia 91 / +5° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.59
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