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Rockies 33, Expos 7                                         2026-07-29 · #1216
at Kuvvatov Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Montreal                7    7    5    0
Colorado               33   33   24    0

EXPOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Goodson     2b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Hutnick     cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
López       p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
Grizzlies   ss ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Creek       lf ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Mondeville  rf ......    4   2   2   0   0   1   4   0   1   0   0  0.500
Hiebert     3b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Deener      1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Spence      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Solórza ph ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  25   7   5   2   0   1   6   5   7   0   1  0.200
  2B: Grizzlies (25), Creek (15).
  HR: Mondeville (4), off Schramm.
  CS: Grizzlies (7).
  HBP: Goodson (5), Grizzlies (6).
  GIDP: Goodson (2), Spence (4).
  a-Walked in the 6th.

ROCKIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Martinho    ss ......    2   3   2   1   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Poling      2b ......    6   4   3   2   0   0   4   1   0   0   0  0.500
Henry       p  ......    4   4   2   0   0   0   1   2   2   0   0  0.500
Diatta      rf ......    4   6   3   0   0   1   5   2   0   0   0  0.750
Ibarra      3b ......    5   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   3   0   0  0.000
Chaves      1b ......    5   2   3   2   0   0   6   0   2   0   0  0.600
Porteño     c  ......    6   2   2   0   0   1   4   0   2   0   0  0.333
Otamendi    cf ......    6   5   4   0   0   1   4   0   1   0   0  0.667
Goss        lf ......    4   3   2   1   0   1   4   2   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Kaiuway ph ......    5   3   3   0   1   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.600
Totals                  47  33  24   6   1   5  32   8  10   0   0  0.511
  2B: Martinho (50), Poling 2 (11), Chaves 2 (23), Goss (34).
  3B: Kaiuway (2).
  HR: Martinho (23), off Rezac; Diatta (17), off Chará; Porteño (6), off Juarez; Otamendi (7), off López; Goss (14), off Rezac.
  SB: Poling (3).
  HBP: Chaves (6).
  a-Batted in the 4th.

EXPOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
López ...............     8    4  15%    3    4    4    1    3    1   33    -
Rezac ...............     5    0   0%    3    6    3    2    0    2   18  1-1
Chará (L, 3-0) ......    11    6  22%    4    7    6    2    1    1   40  2-2
Moran ...............     9    3  11%    5    6    6    2    1    0   35  1-0
Juarez ..............    11    7  26%    5    5    5    1    2    1   45  1-1
Matthews ............    12    7  26%    4    5    5    0    3    0   43  1-1

ROCKIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Henry (W, 6-1) ......    11   12  44%    1    0    0    3    2    0   48    -
Schramm .............    15   10  37%    4    5    4    2    2    1   50  1-0
Malin (F, 17) .......     4    5  19%    0    2    2    0    3    0   21  3-2

EXPOS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | López (Outs 1-4) → Chará (Outs 5-10) → Moran (Outs 11-13) → Juarez (Outs 14-20) → Matthews (Outs 21-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Spence (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Deener (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Goodson (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Hiebert (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Grizzlies (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Creek (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Hutnick (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Mondeville (Outs 1-27)

ROCKIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Henry (Outs 1-12) → Schramm (Outs 13-22) → Malin (Outs 23-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Porteño (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Chaves (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Poling (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Ibarra (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Martinho (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Goss (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Otamendi (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Diatta (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Rockies (home) batted first; Expos batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM MT. Weather: 85°F · Wind cross · Clear · Dry. seed 444897.
  Walk-Back runs: off Rezac 3, off Chará 1, off Schramm 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 0 Reed Poling Markeylin Martinho (2B) 0–1
B 4 Wesly Otamendi Reed Poling (3B) 0–2
B 4 Wesly Otamendi John Diatta (1B) 0–3
B 4 Wesly Otamendi Wesly Otamendi (HR) 0–4
B 4 Ahkhari Goss Wesly Otamendi (3B) 0–5
B 4 Ahkhari Goss Ahkhari Goss (HR) 0–6
B 4 Markeylin Martinho Ahkhari Goss (3B) 0–7
B 4 Markeylin Martinho Markeylin Martinho (HR) 0–8
B 4 John Diatta Markeylin Martinho (3B) 0–9
B 4 John Diatta Reed Poling (2B) 0–10
B 5 Jeyland Chaves David Henry (3B) 0–11
B 5 Mario Porteño John Diatta (3B) 0–12
B 10 John Diatta Justin Kaiuway (2B) 0–13
B 10 John Diatta David Henry (1B) 0–14
B 10 John Diatta John Diatta (HR) 0–15
B 10 Jeyland Chaves John Diatta (3B) 0–16
B 10 Jeyland Chaves Dixon Ibarra (1B) 0–17
B 12 Justin Kaiuway Wesly Otamendi (2B) 0–18
B 12 Reed Poling Ahkhari Goss (2B) 0–19
B 12 David Henry Justin Kaiuway (2B) 0–20
B 13 Jeyland Chaves Reed Poling (3B) 0–21
B 13 Jeyland Chaves David Henry (2B) 0–22
B 13 Jeyland Chaves John Diatta (1B) 0–23
B 13 Mario Porteño Jeyland Chaves (2B) 0–24
B 16 Mario Porteño Wesly Otamendi (2B) 0–25
B 16 Mario Porteño Mario Porteño (3B) 0–26
B 16 Mario Porteño Mario Porteño (—) 0–27
B 20 Reed Poling David Henry (1B) 0–28
B 21 Justin Kaiuway Reed Poling (2B) 0–29
B 21 Reed Poling Justin Kaiuway (3B) 0–30
B 25 Wesly Otamendi John Diatta (2B) 0–31
B 25 Ahkhari Goss Jeyland Chaves (2B) 0–32
B 25 Ahkhari Goss Wesly Otamendi (1B) 0–33
T 19 Franklin Mondeville Maciek Grizzlies (3B) 1–33
T 19 Franklin Mondeville Rónald Solórzano (2B) 2–33
T 19 Franklin Mondeville Titus Hiebert (1B) 3–33
T 19 Franklin Mondeville Franklin Mondeville (HR) 4–33
T 19 Fran Creek Franklin Mondeville (3B) 5–33
T 22 Marquis Goodson Fran Creek (3B) 6–33
T 22 Marquis Goodson Marquis Goodson (3B) 7–33
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kuvvatov Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 341' · CF 409' · RF 308' · 12' wall). Center-Field Triangle.
Expos — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 2 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
341' 409' 308' Devron López — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -21° · 95 ft Maciek Grizzlies — single · EV 87 mph · LA +11° · 116 ft Marquis Goodson — double_play · EV 65 mph · LA -28° · 62 ft Fran Creek — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +9° · 74 ft Roscoe Spence — double_play · EV 55 mph · LA -2° · 52 ft Gabe Deener — fly_out · EV 64 mph · LA +35° · 156 ft Franklin Mondeville — single · EV 84 mph · LA -6° · 79 ft Marquis Goodson — ground_out · EV 113 mph · LA +5° · 108 ft Maciek Grizzlies — double · EV 92 mph · LA +39° · 332 ft Devron López — line_out · EV 77 mph · LA +11° · 87 ft Roscoe Spence — fielders_choice · EV 82 mph · LA +1° · 78 ft Franklin Mondeville — hr · EV 96 mph · LA +41° · 367 ft Fran Creek — double · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 209 ft Maciek Grizzlies — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +32° · 207 ft Marquis Goodson — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 270 ft
Rockies — Batted Balls
34 BIP· 12 1B · 7 XBH · 5 HR
341' 409' 308' Markeylin Martinho — double · EV 100 mph · LA +23° · 287 ft Reed Poling — double · EV 99 mph · LA +17° · 218 ft Wesly Otamendi — hr · EV 114 mph · LA +26° · 408 ft Ahkhari Goss — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +37° · 383 ft John Diatta — single · EV 117 mph · LA +4° · 111 ft Justin Kaiuway — single · EV 90 mph · LA -6° · 85 ft Markeylin Martinho — hr · EV 104 mph · LA +30° · 381 ft Dixon Ibarra — ground_out · EV 103 mph · LA -22° · 98 ft Jeyland Chaves — single · EV 91 mph · LA +19° · 200 ft Mario Porteño — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -6° · 95 ft Reed Poling — line_out · EV 96 mph · LA +20° · 235 ft John Diatta — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +28° · 330 ft Justin Kaiuway — single · EV 94 mph · LA +4° · 89 ft David Henry — single · EV 99 mph · LA +22° · 275 ft Jeyland Chaves — double · EV 107 mph · LA +18° · 263 ft Mario Porteño — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +9° · 107 ft Wesly Otamendi — single · EV 100 mph · LA +25° · 307 ft Reed Poling — single · EV 106 mph · LA +7° · 101 ft Ahkhari Goss — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA +7° · 86 ft John Diatta — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +19° · 172 ft David Henry — single · EV 87 mph · LA +0° · 83 ft Jeyland Chaves — double · EV 90 mph · LA +33° · 295 ft Mario Porteño — single · EV 97 mph · LA +14° · 172 ft Wesly Otamendi — single · EV 93 mph · LA +16° · 189 ft Reed Poling — double · EV 111 mph · LA +12° · 207 ft Justin Kaiuway — triple · EV 98 mph · LA +16° · 211 ft John Diatta — single · EV 100 mph · LA +9° · 121 ft Ahkhari Goss — double · EV 112 mph · LA +18° · 289 ft Wesly Otamendi — line_out · EV 97 mph · LA +14° · 181 ft Mario Porteño — hr · EV 92 mph · LA +44° · 335 ft Reed Poling — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 183 ft Justin Kaiuway — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA +0° · 62 ft Wesly Otamendi — single · EV 100 mph · LA +1° · 95 ft Reed Poling — line_out · EV 99 mph · LA +20° · 255 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Expos
7% deserve-to-win  ·  6.2 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +0.8 vs expected
contact: 8.3 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (+1.7 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Franklin Mondeville 96 / +41° Pull Home Run 2.0 → 4 +1.99
Fran Creek 92 / +19° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.11
Maciek Grizzlies 92 / +39° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.06
Marquis Goodson 92 / +26° Pull Out 0.7 → 0 -0.73
Marquis Goodson 113 / +5° Pull Out 0.7 → 0 -0.71
Rockies
93% deserve-to-win  ·  23.2 expected runs
actual 33 runs  ·  +9.8 vs expected
contact: 35.6 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 47.0 (+11.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Mario Porteño 92 / +44° Pull Home Run 1.2 → 4 +2.84
John Diatta 100 / +28° Oppo Home Run 1.3 → 4 +2.66
Ahkhari Goss 100 / +37° Pull Home Run 1.5 → 4 +2.54
Markeylin Martinho 104 / +30° Pull Home Run 2.0 → 4 +1.98
Justin Kaiuway 98 / +16° Oppo Triple 1.2 → 3 +1.78
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