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Padres 13, Athletics 4                                      2026-07-30 · #1219
at Abdurakhmanov Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
San Diego              13   13    9    0
Oakland                 4    4    5    0

PADRES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Arozarena   p  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
MacCracken  2b ......    4   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   2   0   0  0.250
Andrade     cf ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   4   0   0   0   0  0.333
Lavelle     rf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.250
Corona      3b ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.333
Deery       ss ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Gleeson     c  ......    2   3   1   1   0   0   2   2   1   0   0  0.500
Atehortua   1b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   1  0.250
Najar       lf ......    4   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.250
  a-Lettier ph ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Cleveland   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  32  13   9   4   0   1  13   5  11   0   1  0.281
  2B: Andrade (7), Corona (2), Deery (7), Gleeson (3).
  HR: MacCracken (2), off Sun.
  a-Walked in the 8th.

ATHLETICS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Sinclair    1b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Gerlach     2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Caspersen   c  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Pagán       ss ......    4   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
DeLong      lf ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Wiesner pr ......    2   3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Crutchfield 3b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Korda       rf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Sawchuk     cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Kitler      p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Kade    pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Sutton  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  30   4   5   1   0   0   1   1  13   0   0  0.167
  2B: DeLong (4).
  SB: Korda 2 (19).
  HBP: Kitler (1).
  GIDP: Sinclair (10).
  a-Ran for DeLong in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Kitler in the 3rd.
  c-Batted in the 7th.

PADRES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Arozarena (W, 7-1) ..    14   12  44%    2    0    0    1    5    0   49    -
Salaun ..............    14   12  44%    3    4    4    0    7    0   49  2-1
Mori ................     3    3  11%    0    0    0    0    1    0   15  1-0

ATHLETICS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kitler ..............    13   11  41%    1    2    2    2    6    0   51    -
Sun (L, 5-4) ........     6    3  11%    3    4    4    0    1    1   18  1-1
Woodard .............    14    8  30%    4    4    3    3    3    0   62  1-1
Benning .............     5    5  19%    1    3    3    0    2    0   19  3-3

PADRES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Arozarena (Outs 1-12) → Salaun (Outs 13-24) → Mori (Outs 25-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Gleeson (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Atehortua (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | MacCracken (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Corona (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Deery (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Najar (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Andrade (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Lavelle (Outs 1-27)

ATHLETICS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Kitler (Outs 1-11) → Sun (Outs 12-14) → Woodard (Outs 15-22) → Benning (Outs 23-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Caspersen (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Sinclair (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Gerlach (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Crutchfield (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Pagán (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | DeLong (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Sawchuk (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Korda (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Athletics (home) batted second; Padres batted first.
  First pitch 5:45 PM PT. Weather: 68°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Light rain · Humid. seed 245344.
  Walk-Back runs: off Woodard 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 11 Lautaro Corona Etienne Gleeson (2B) 1–0
T 11 Lautaro Corona Yoshimar Najar (1B) 2–0
T 11 Thomas Lavelle Lautaro Corona (2B) 3–0
T 14 Yimmi Arozarena Thomas Lavelle (2B) 4–0
T 14 Ludlow MacCracken Yimmi Arozarena (1B) 5–0
T 14 Ludlow MacCracken Ludlow MacCracken (HR) 6–0
T 14 Haxzel Andrade Ludlow MacCracken (3B) 7–0
T 21 Yoshimar Najar Etienne Gleeson (2B) 8–0
T 21 Etienne Gleeson Yoshimar Najar (3B) 9–0
T 21 Etienne Gleeson Keshav Atehortua (1B) 10–0
T 22 Haxzel Andrade Etienne Gleeson (3B) 11–0
T 22 Haxzel Andrade Reed Lettiere (2B) 12–0
T 22 Haxzel Andrade Lautaro Corona (1B) 13–0
B 12 Tobias DeLong Randy Korda (3B) 13–1
B 16 Cannon Sinclair Zane Wiesner (3B) 13–2
B 17 Zane Wiesner Zane Wiesner (3B) 13–3
B 20 Frank Gerlach Zane Wiesner (3B) 13–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Abdurakhmanov Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 350' · CF 450' · RF 346' · 13' wall). Cavernous.
Death Valley
Padres — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 4 1B · 4 XBH · 1 HR
350' 450' 346' Yimmi Arozarena — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +34° · 370 ft Thomas Lavelle — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +2° · 95 ft Lautaro Corona — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +3° · 95 ft Haxzel Andrade — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -13° · 84 ft Lautaro Corona — double · EV 100 mph · LA +21° · 267 ft Thomas Lavelle — single · EV 100 mph · LA +8° · 114 ft Yimmi Arozarena — line_out · EV 99 mph · LA +16° · 212 ft Haxzel Andrade — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +29° · 338 ft Keshav Atehortua — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +2° · 84 ft Etienne Gleeson — double · EV 100 mph · LA +25° · 310 ft Yimmi Arozarena — single · EV 100 mph · LA +2° · 95 ft Ludlow MacCracken — hr · EV 114 mph · LA +47° · 480 ft Thomas Lavelle — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -5° · 95 ft Trevor Deery — double · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 182 ft Yoshimar Najar — single · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 195 ft Keshav Atehortua — single · EV 92 mph · LA -24° · 88 ft Haxzel Andrade — double · EV 114 mph · LA +26° · 408 ft Thomas Lavelle — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +11° · 125 ft Ludlow MacCracken — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +31° · 246 ft Yoshimar Najar — ground_out · EV 119 mph · LA +7° · 113 ft
Athletics — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 4 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
350' 450' 346' Val Caspersen — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 113 ft Cannon Sinclair — double_play · EV 65 mph · LA -1° · 62 ft Modesto Pagán — single · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 186 ft Tobias DeLong — fielders_choice · EV 57 mph · LA -16° · 54 ft Randy Korda — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +0° · 72 ft Frank Gerlach — line_out · EV 65 mph · LA +17° · 95 ft Zane Wiesner — fielders_choice · EV 64 mph · LA +5° · 61 ft Tobias DeLong — double · EV 92 mph · LA +42° · 337 ft Arnold Sutton — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA -7° · 55 ft Modesto Pagán — single · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 162 ft Randy Korda — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 172 ft Ahmad Sawchuk — single · EV 92 mph · LA +22° · 233 ft Cannon Sinclair — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -7° · 72 ft Emmett Crutchfield — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Padres
94% deserve-to-win  ·  12.6 expected runs
actual 13 runs  ·  +0.4 vs expected
contact: 22.7 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 16.0 (-6.7 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Yimmi Arozarena 100 / +34° Center Out 1.9 → 0 -1.94
Haxzel Andrade 100 / +29° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.34
Yimmi Arozarena 99 / +16° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.24
Haxzel Andrade 114 / +26° Pull Double 3.0 → 2 -0.96
Thomas Lavelle 92 / +11° Oppo Out 0.8 → 0 -0.84
Athletics
6% deserve-to-win  ·  3.2 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +0.8 vs expected
contact: 5.7 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (+0.3 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.9 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tobias DeLong 92 / +42° Pull Double 1.1 → 2 +0.88
Val Caspersen 76 / +15° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.52
Modesto Pagán 76 / +22° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.46
Frank Gerlach 65 / +17° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.42
Randy Korda 76 / +0° Center Out 0.3 → 0 -0.26
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