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Diamondbacks 5, Orcas 3                                     2026-07-30 · #1227
at Arizona Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Vancouver               3    3    7    2
Arizona                 5    5    6    1

ORCAS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Irvin       2b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Noonan  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Valdivia    rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Badger  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mendez      lf ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.667
Peavy       cf ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.500
Beigel      1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Alonso-Corc ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Edmonson    3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Teeguarden  c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Quinter pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Jenkins     p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  1.000
  d-Millar  pr ......    0   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Cuéllar     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Roker       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  25   3   7   0   0   0   2   5   9   0   1  0.280
  CS: Mendez 2 (4).
  E: Valdivia (8), Mendez (1).
  a-Batted for Irvin in the 6th.
  b-Batted for Valdivia in the 4th.
  c-Ran for Teeguarden in the 6th.
  d-Ran for Jenkins in the 6th.

DIAMONDBACKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Smashey     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Tanabe  ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Maupin      c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
McNutt      lf ......    1   2   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   1  1.000
Gronowski   rf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Alderman    3b ......    3   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
Foyth       cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Randall pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Bektas      1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Aogo        2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  0.000
  c-Pope    pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Monds       ss ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Ullstro ph ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Manasse     j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Galekovic   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  25   5   6   2   0   1   5   2   9   0   3  0.240
  2B: McNutt (16), Ullstrom (14).
  HR: Alderman (1), off Jenkins.
  SB: McNutt (9), Gronowski (19).
  CS: Gronowski (17), Pope (4).
  E: Manasse (5).
  HBP: Bektas (3).
  GIDP: Monds (5).
  Squeeze: McNutt (1 RBI).
  a-Batted for Smashey in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Foyth in the 3rd.
  c-Ran for Aogo in the 6th.
  d-Batted for Randall in the 4th.

ORCAS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Jenkins (L, 9-2) ....    24   22  81%    5    5    3    2    7    1   99    -
Quevedo .............     4    5  19%    1    0    0    0    2    0   20  1-0

DIAMONDBACKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Smashey (W, 15-9) ...    29   27 100%    5    3    3    5   10    0  105    -

ORCAS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Jenkins (Outs 1-22) → Quevedo (Outs 23-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Teeguarden (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Beigel (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Irvin (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Edmonson (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Alonso-Corcelles (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Mendez (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Peavy (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Valdivia (Outs 1-27)

DIAMONDBACKS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Smashey (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Maupin (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Bektas (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Aogo (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Alderman (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Monds (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | McNutt (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Foyth (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Gronowski (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Diamondbacks (home) batted first; Orcas batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM MT. Weather: 98°F · Wind calm · Clear · Dry. seed 575263.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 3 Bryce Alderman Miguel McNutt (2B) 0–1
B 3 Bryce Alderman Bryce Alderman (HR) 0–2
B 8 Miguel McNutt Anderson Randall (3B) 0–3
B 11 Irving Ullstrom Owen Monds (3B) 0–4
B 22 Genta Tanabe Miguel McNutt (2B) 0–5
T 4 Stuart Irvin Andrea Peavy (3B) 1–5
T 24 Norris Mendez John Millar (3B) 2–5
T 24 Norris Mendez John Millar (3B) 3–5
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Arizona Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 340' · CF 429' · RF 341' · 8' wall). Balanced.
Crow's Nest Ivy Wall
Orcas — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 5 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
340' 429' 341' Andrea Peavy — single · EV 74 mph · LA +14° · 103 ft Amarien Beigel — error · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 132 ft Herb Noonan — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +35° · 316 ft Connor Jenkins — single · EV 100 mph · LA +19° · 250 ft Norris Mendez — infield_single · EV 69 mph · LA -5° · 65 ft Louis Badger — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -3° · 78 ft Alexis Edmonson — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA -1° · 66 ft Norris Mendez — single · EV 88 mph · LA +8° · 84 ft Amarien Beigel — fly_out · EV 103 mph · LA +59° · 374 ft Andrea Peavy — single · EV 88 mph · LA +6° · 84 ft
Diamondbacks — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
340' 429' 341' Damian Smashey — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA -9° · 66 ft Bryce Alderman — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +47° · 397 ft Joao Foyth — fielders_choice · EV 88 mph · LA +6° · 83 ft Irving Ullstrom — double · EV 96 mph · LA +31° · 327 ft Leverton Aogo — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA -2° · 70 ft Owen Monds — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 123 ft Miguel McNutt — double · EV 100 mph · LA +32° · 359 ft Dennis Manasse — single · EV 85 mph · LA +14° · 137 ft Ron Gronowski — error · EV 94 mph · LA +7° · 89 ft Leverton Aogo — error · EV 97 mph · LA +10° · 130 ft Genta Tanabe — single · EV 108 mph · LA +3° · 102 ft Bryce Alderman — line_out · EV 104 mph · LA +15° · 211 ft Ron Gronowski — single · EV 80 mph · LA +12° · 105 ft Owen Monds — double_play · EV 84 mph · LA -1° · 79 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Orcas
21% deserve-to-win  ·  2.7 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +0.3 vs expected
contact: 6.3 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-1.3 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Amarien Beigel 100 / +10° Oppo Reached on Error 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Herb Noonan 92 / +35° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.94
Norris Mendez 69 / -5° Pull Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Amarien Beigel 103 / +59° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.89
Norris Mendez 88 / +8° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.59
Diamondbacks
79% deserve-to-win  ·  5.2 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -0.2 vs expected
contact: 10.4 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (+0.6 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 2 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Bryce Alderman 100 / +47° Oppo Home Run 2.0 → 4 +1.99
Bryce Alderman 104 / +15° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Leverton Aogo 97 / +10° Oppo Reached on Error 1.1 → 0 -1.09
Irving Ullstrom 96 / +31° Center Double 1.1 → 2 +0.93
Miguel McNutt 100 / +32° Center Double 1.5 → 2 +0.54
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