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Astros 8, Royals 4                                          2026-07-31 · #1229
at Sokk Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
Houston                 8    8    8    0
Kansas City             4    4    6    1

ASTROS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Rivas       3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Morales     1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
  a-Daniels ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Braun       2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-O'Conno ph ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Neely       cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Herrera ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Thom        c  ......    3   1   2   2   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.667
Gómez       ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Moros   ph ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Takada      lf ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   4   0   2   0   0  0.500
Humphreys   rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Kingsbu ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Carrington  p  ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   1  0.250
  f-Konig   pr ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Henríqu pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  31   8   8   3   0   0   8   3  13   0   1  0.258
  2B: Thom 2 (15), Takada (8).
  SB: Thom (4).
  HBP: Konig (1), Moros (1).
  a-Singled for Morales in the 8th.
  b-Batted for Braun in the 3rd.
  c-Struck out for Neely in the 8th.
  d-Batted for Gómez in the 6th.
  e-Batted for Humphreys in the 4th.
  f-Ran in the 3rd.
  g-Ran for Daniels in the 8th.

ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fuenzalida  rf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Monson      2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Rosales     3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Graham  ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Simon       p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Devens  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Talavera    1b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Sabella ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Linnehan    c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Vera        cf ......    4   2   2   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Espinoza    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Tanguil ph ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
Hsia        lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Gregory ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  f-Selden  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Altamir pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  h-Inglis  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  i-Farley  pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Florenzo    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   4   6   2   0   0   3   3  10   0   0  0.214
  2B: Vera (7), Tanguilig (14).
  SB: Vera (6), Devens (11).
  CS: Inglis (5).
  E: Sabella (13).
  GIDP: Hsia (2).
  a-Singled for Rosales in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Simon in the 4th.
  c-Singled for Talavera in the 7th.
  d-Batted for Espinoza in the 5th.
  e-Walked for Hsia in the 6th.
  f-Struck out in the 8th.
  g-Ran for Graham in the 4th.
  h-Ran for Sabella in the 4th.
  i-Ran for Gregory in the 6th.

ASTROS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Carrington (W, 9-4) .    16   14  52%    4    1    1    1    5    0   62    -
Francavilla .........    14   11  41%    2    3    3    2    5    0   65  1-1
Schueck .............     1    2   7%    0    0    0    0    0    0    3  1-0

ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Simon ...............    13    8  30%    4    5    2    1    4    0   44    -
Lamar ...............    15   14  52%    1    0    0    2    5    0   49  1-0
Branstine (L, 0-4) ..     8    5  19%    3    3    3    0    4    0   33  2-1

ASTROS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Carrington (Outs 1-14) → Francavilla (Outs 15-25) → Schueck (Outs 26-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Thom (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Morales (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Braun (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rivas (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Gómez (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Takada (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Neely (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Humphreys (Outs 1-27)

ROYALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Simon (Outs 1-8) → Lamar (Outs 9-22) → Branstine (Outs 23-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Linnehan (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Talavera (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Monson (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rosales (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Espinoza (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Hsia (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Vera (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Fuenzalida (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Royals (home) batted second; Astros batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM CT. Weather: 93°F · Wind out · Overcast · Heavy rain · Humid. seed 153509.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 5 Masamichi Takada Iapani Thom (3B) 1–0
T 7 Jeyland Morales Masamichi Takada (2B) 2–0
T 7 Dante O'Connor Cedrick Konig (2B) 3–0
T 8 Iapani Thom Jeyland Morales (3B) 4–0
T 8 Iapani Thom Dante O'Connor (1B) 5–0
T 25 Masamichi Takada Cedrick Konig (3B) 6–0
T 25 Masamichi Takada Angel Henríquez (2B) 7–0
T 25 Masamichi Takada Mirko Moros (1B) 8–0
B 11 Rich Linnehan Ramon Altamirano (3B) 8–1
B 17 Eugenio Vera Eugenio Vera (3B) 8–2
B 25 Landon Tanguilig Eugenio Vera (3B) 8–3
B 25 Landon Tanguilig Jhonder Fuenzalida (1B) 8–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Sokk Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 278' · CF 521' · RF 288' · 32' wall). Bathtub.
Wire Basket
Astros — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 5 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' Scoville Rivas — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +21° · 265 ft Jeyland Morales — fly_out · EV 119 mph · LA +3° · 113 ft Iapani Thom — double · EV 119 mph · LA +30° · 480 ft Masamichi Takada — single · EV 81 mph · LA +1° · 77 ft Dante O'Connor — error · EV 100 mph · LA +3° · 95 ft Marcos Kingsbury — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +9° · 87 ft Mirko Moros — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +2° · 95 ft Shawn Daniels — single · EV 88 mph · LA +4° · 84 ft Jeyland Morales — single · EV 84 mph · LA +12° · 120 ft Van Neely — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA -20° · 94 ft Iapani Thom — double · EV 119 mph · LA +44° · 480 ft Dante O'Connor — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +4° · 95 ft Marcos Kingsbury — infield_single · EV 88 mph · LA +8° · 91 ft Van Neely — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -2° · 95 ft Brendan Carrington — single · EV 119 mph · LA +9° · 179 ft Masamichi Takada — double · EV 100 mph · LA +19° · 242 ft
Royals — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 4 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' Luis Rosales — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA -6° · 81 ft Reinaldo Talavera — single · EV 82 mph · LA +19° · 165 ft Rich Linnehan — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -24° · 72 ft Kael Monson — ground_out · EV 73 mph · LA -13° · 70 ft Yung-chi Hsia — double_play · EV 103 mph · LA +8° · 117 ft George Graham — single · EV 78 mph · LA -10° · 74 ft Efraín Sabella — single · EV 90 mph · LA +12° · 128 ft Landon Tanguilig — ground_out · EV 60 mph · LA -11° · 57 ft Connor Inglis — ground_out · EV 59 mph · LA +4° · 56 ft Ramon Altamirano — fly_out · EV 90 mph · LA +34° · 295 ft Kael Monson — line_out · EV 84 mph · LA +17° · 155 ft Eugenio Vera — double · EV 101 mph · LA +26° · 322 ft Randy Farley — line_out · EV 94 mph · LA +18° · 206 ft Eugenio Vera — single · EV 86 mph · LA +24° · 216 ft Rich Linnehan — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +25° · 187 ft Landon Tanguilig — double · EV 94 mph · LA +42° · 355 ft Eugenio Vera — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Astros
78% deserve-to-win  ·  10.1 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  -2.1 vs expected
contact: 16.7 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (-5.7 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Iapani Thom 119 / +44° Center Double 3.6 → 2 -1.59
Scoville Rivas 100 / +21° Oppo Out 1.4 → 0 -1.42
Iapani Thom 119 / +30° Pull Double 2.9 → 2 -0.94
Jeyland Morales 119 / +3° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.71
Masamichi Takada 81 / +1° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.70
Royals
22% deserve-to-win  ·  5.4 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -1.4 vs expected
contact: 9.9 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (-1.9 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Yung-chi Hsia 103 / +8° Center Double Play 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Ramon Altamirano 90 / +34° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.94
Randy Farley 94 / +18° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.89
Landon Tanguilig 94 / +42° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.84
George Graham 78 / -10° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
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