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Guardians 7, Stars 6                                        2026-08-01 · #1246
at Neviaser Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
Cleveland               7    7    6    0
Nashville               6    6    6    1

GUARDIANS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Granberry   2b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Siereveld   1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Rollins pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
González    lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Carmona ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Cabrera     c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Ardón   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Tanner      rf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Anwunah     3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Enquist pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Velez       ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Brymer      cf ......    4   1   2   2   0   0   3   0   2   0   0  0.500
Ricard      p  ......    3   3   1   0   0   1   2   1   2   0   0  0.333
  e-Gazzani ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Bannaty ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Zhu     ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Cosper  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  26   7   6   3   0   1   6   3  13   0   0  0.231
  2B: Granberry (2), Brymer 2 (10).
  HR: Ricard (1), off Langenfeld.
  SB: Cosper (3).
  CS: Rollins (14).
  a-Ran for Siereveld in the 5th.
  b-Batted for González in the 5th.
  c-Ran for Cabrera in the 6th.
  d-Ran for Anwunah in the 7th.
  e-Singled in the 7th.
  f-Struck out in the 6th.
  g-Struck out for Rollins in the 6th.
  h-Ran for Gazzaniga in the 7th.

STARS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cooper      lf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Karouani    1b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   2   0   1  0.333
Sappington  ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Fusano      3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Spence      rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Boattin     cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Caballe pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Torrero     2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   1  0.000
Cubillán    c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Langenfeld  p  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   1  0.000
  b-Santama ph ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Gayton  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  0.000
Giannou     j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Morariu     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  25   6   6   0   0   0   5   5  10   0   4  0.240
  E: Giannou (8).
  HBP: Cooper (6).
  GIDP: Cooper (6), Fusano (6), Langenfeld (1), Morariu (1).
  Squeeze: Karouani (1 RBI).
  a-Ran for Boattin in the 3rd.
  b-Batted in the 3rd.
  c-Grounded out for Caballero in the 5th.

GUARDIANS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Ricard (W, 11-10) ...    29   25  104  3.6    6    6    4    5   10    0    -
Ovalle ..............     2    2   10  5.0    0    0    0    0    0    0  2-0

STARS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Langenfeld (L, 4-13)     11    9   42  3.8    2    3    3    0    7    1    -
Cubas ...............    15   12   68  4.5    3    2    2    2    5    0    -
Ginóbili ............     3    1    8  2.7    1    2    2    1    1    0  1-0

GUARDIANS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Ricard (Outs 1-25) → Ovalle (Outs 26-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Cabrera (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Siereveld (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Granberry (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Anwunah (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Velez (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | González (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Brymer (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Tanner (Outs 1-27)

STARS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-22)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Langenfeld (Outs 1-9) → Cubas (Outs 10-21) → Ginóbili (Outs 22-22)
CATCHER (C)       | Cubillán (Outs 1-22)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Karouani (Outs 1-22)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Torrero (Outs 1-22)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Fusano (Outs 1-22)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Sappington (Outs 1-22)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Cooper (Outs 1-22)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Boattin (Outs 1-22)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Spence (Outs 1-22)

  Batting order: Stars (home) batted first; Guardians batted second.
  First pitch 7:35 PM CT. Weather: 98°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Humid. seed 76212.
  Powerplays: Guardians — Ardón NF (O15)
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.78    Peak faced 1.71
    27 outs left: 0.78
    18 outs left: 0.83
     9 outs left: 1.33
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 9 Nat Morariu Tony Caballero (3B) 0–1 —
B 12 Edwin Gayton Andre Langenfeld (3B) 0–2 —
B 14 Andre Langenfeld Bruno Cooper (3B) 0–3 —
B 17 Khosilot El Karouani Nestor Santamaría (3B) 0–4 —
B 22 Elias Torrero Samuel Giannou (3B) 0–5 —
B 25 Khosilot El Karouani Nestor Santamaría (3B) 0–6 —
T 7 Lawson Ricard Tony Tanner (2B) 1–6 0.90
T 7 Lawson Ricard Lawson Ricard (HR) 2–6 0.75
T 8 Anthony Brymer Lawson Ricard (3B) 3–6 0.63
T 20 Amir Anwunah Aleksandar Cosper (2B) 4–6 1.29
T 21 Anthony Brymer Sam Enquist (2B) 5–6 1.00
T 22 Anthony Brymer Lawson Ricard (1B) 6–6 0.60
T 22 Anthony Brymer Anthony Brymer (2B) 7–6 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.78
Peak faced 1.71
27 outs left 0.78
18 outs left 0.83
9 outs left 1.33
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Neviaser Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 279' · CF 373' · RF 278' · 12' wall). The Bandbox.
Guardians — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 2 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
279' 373' 278' Marcos Siereveld — ground_out · EV 62 mph · LA -17° · 59 ft Tony Tanner — single · EV 92 mph · LA +0° · 88 ft Amir Anwunah — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA -10° · 87 ft Lawson Ricard — hr · EV 105 mph · LA +26° · 352 ft Boris Carmona — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +25° · 184 ft Alastair Gazzaniga — single · EV 82 mph · LA -15° · 77 ft Tony Tanner — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA +6° · 65 ft Kemari Granberry — double · EV 112 mph · LA +22° · 348 ft Amir Anwunah — error · EV 82 mph · LA +5° · 78 ft Anthony Brymer — double · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 200 ft Anthony Brymer — double · EV 94 mph · LA +13° · 153 ft
Stars — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 6 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
279' 373' 278' Wallace Sappington — single · EV 92 mph · LA +4° · 87 ft Tracy Fusano — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Edwin Gayton — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 201 ft Elias Torrero — error · EV 52 mph · LA -8° · 49 ft Andre Langenfeld — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Nestor Santamaría — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft Bruno Cooper — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 133 ft Samuel Giannou — single · EV 79 mph · LA +23° · 179 ft Nat Morariu — double_play · EV 79 mph · LA +0° · 75 ft Bruno Cooper — double_play · EV 56 mph · LA -2° · 53 ft Tracy Fusano — single · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Sean Spence — fly_out · EV 54 mph · LA +33° · 105 ft Haxzel Cubillán — single · EV 76 mph · LA +25° · 176 ft Khosilot El Karouani — single · EV 92 mph · LA -1° · 87 ft Samuel Giannou — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +21° · 172 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Guardians
40% deserve-to-win  ·  3.4 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +3.6 vs expected
contact: 7.6 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (+4.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Lawson Ricard 105 / +26° Oppo Home Run 2.0 → 4 +2.00
Anthony Brymer 94 / +13° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.19
Anthony Brymer 100 / +15° Oppo Double 1.3 → 2 +0.75
Alastair Gazzaniga 82 / -15° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.67
Tony Tanner 92 / +0° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.59
Stars
60% deserve-to-win  ·  4.2 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +1.8 vs expected
contact: 5.0 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (+1.0 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Edwin Gayton 92 / +18° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.90
Haxzel Cubillán 76 / +25° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.84
Tracy Fusano 76 / +3° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.75
Khosilot El Karouani 92 / -1° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
Samuel Giannou 80 / +21° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
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