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Bor-Undur Police 4, Johannesburg BC 3                       2046-04-28 · #1248
at Brookside Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Johannesburg            3    3    6    0
Bor-Undur               4    4    5    0

JOHANNESBURG BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Seo         c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Cottrillov  2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Pillai      cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Aguilar pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Workman     3b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Abdullah    lf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Taguchi pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Jeffers ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Carmona ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  e-Hirano  ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0  1.000
  f-Chua    ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Adingra c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  h-Kamiji  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Stott       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Phomvihane  j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Khalkh      j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  29   3   6   0   0   0   2   1   7   1   0  0.207
  SB: Carmona (5), Taguchi (1).
  GIDP: Stott 2 (3), Taguchi (1).
  a-Ran for Pillai in the 1st.
  b-Ran for Abdullah in the 3rd.
  c-Batted in the 3rd.
  d-Batted in the 3rd.
  e-Singled in the 3rd.
  f-Batted in the 4th.
  g-Entered at C in the 4th.
  h-Ran in the 5th.

BOR-UNDUR POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Min         c  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Yang        rf ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
Tumur       lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ryu         p  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Chua        1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Almeida     2b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Spence      ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Roark       cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Jenkins ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Srangthaiso j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  15   4   5   4   0   0   3   3   2   0   0  0.333
  2B: Min (9), Srangthaisong (5), Ryu (2), Almeida (5).
  SB: Roark (1).
  CS: Yang (3), Ryu (1), Chua (5).
  a-Entered at SS in the 7th.

JOHANNESBURG BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Rojas (L, 0-2) ......    18   14  52%    5    4    4    3    2    0   82    -

BOR-UNDUR POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ryu (W, 3-0) ........    21   18  67%    5    2    2    1    5    0   79    -
Cho .................     8    9  33%    0    1    1    0    2    0   25  2-1

  Batting order: Bor-Undur Police (home) batted second; Johannesburg BC batted first.
  First pitch 1:35 PM. Weather: 66°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 709114.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 15 Justus Workman Chuluunbaatar Khalkh (3B) 1–0
T 18 Enrique Carmona Yoshiro Kamiji (3B) 2–0
T 18 Yoshiro Kamiji Justus Workman (3B) 3–0
B 1 Woo-jin Ryu Hyok Min (2B) 3–1
B 6 Guillermo Roark Émile De Almeida (3B) 3–2
B 6 Guillermo Roark Dong-won Yang (2B) 3–3
B 14 Keacy Spence Rungrath Srangthaisong (3B) 3–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Brookside Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 351' · CF 418' · RF 327' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Flag Pole in Play
Johannesburg BC — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 6 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
351' 418' 327' Pranav Pillai — single · EV 83 mph · LA -4° · 79 ft Ariki Stott — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Alexander Jeffersonov — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +42° · 262 ft Hafiz Abdullah — single · EV 85 mph · LA +23° · 207 ft Kōki Hirano — single · EV 96 mph · LA -7° · 91 ft Wee Chua — ground_out · EV 73 mph · LA -8° · 69 ft Justus Workman — single · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 167 ft Haruki Taguchi — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -7° · 72 ft Kōki Hirano — single · EV 62 mph · LA -1° · 59 ft Chuluunbaatar Khalkh — ground_out · EV 57 mph · LA +1° · 54 ft Ariki Stott — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +3° · 74 ft Vongphachanh Phomvihane — line_out · EV 69 mph · LA +12° · 75 ft Alexander Jeffersonov — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Enrique Carmona — single · EV 81 mph · LA +24° · 194 ft Wee Chua — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -12° · 72 ft Wilker Aguilar — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +20° · 160 ft Ariki Stott — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -24° · 49 ft Vongphachanh Phomvihane — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA +22° · 118 ft Chuluunbaatar Khalkh — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -14° · 49 ft
Bor-Undur Police — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 1 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
351' 418' 327' Hyok Min — double · EV 115 mph · LA +22° · 372 ft Woo-jin Ryu — double · EV 99 mph · LA +35° · 367 ft Émile De Almeida — double · EV 95 mph · LA +16° · 188 ft Guillermo Roark — single · EV 114 mph · LA +27° · 418 ft Boldbayar Tumur — fly_out · EV 119 mph · LA +24° · 426 ft Hyok Min — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +41° · 396 ft Woo-jin Ryu — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA -9° · 86 ft Rungrath Srangthaisong — double · EV 112 mph · LA +11° · 185 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Johannesburg BC
25% deserve-to-win  ·  3.4 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -0.4 vs expected
contact: 6.9 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-1.9 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Kōki Hirano 62 / -1° Oppo Single 0.1 → 1 +0.86
Alexander Jeffersonov 81 / +42° Oppo Out 0.7 → 0 -0.67
Pranav Pillai 83 / -4° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.65
Enrique Carmona 81 / +24° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.62
Wilker Aguilar 80 / +20° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.59
Bor-Undur Police
75% deserve-to-win  ·  5.9 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -1.9 vs expected
contact: 14.9 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (-5.9 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 3 CS (-1.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Boldbayar Tumur 119 / +24° Pull Out 3.0 → 0 -3.04
Hyok Min 100 / +41° Center Out 2.5 → 0 -2.52
Guillermo Roark 114 / +27° Pull Single 3.0 → 1 -2.04
Émile De Almeida 95 / +16° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.84
Rungrath Srangthaisong 112 / +11° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.62
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