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Giants 13, Orcas 1                                          2026-08-02 · #1250
at Kolenda Field
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Vancouver               1      0    1    2    0
San Francisco          13      0   13   11    0

ORCAS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Martínez    p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Edmonso pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Quintero    1b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Badger      3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Mendez      lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Peavy       cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   1   0   0  0.000
Beigel      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Godín       2b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Alonso-Corc ss ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Valdivia    rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Teeguar ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  25   1   2   1   0   0   1   4  10   0   0  0.080
  2B: Godín (12).
  CS: Godín (9).
  GIDP: Mendez (1), Alonso-Corcelles (8).
  a-Ran for Martínez in the 4th.
  b-Batted in the 6th.

GIANTS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Matos       rf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Rosado  pr ......    3   2   2   2   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.667
Kelley      ss ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Figuero pr ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Galloway    lf ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.250
Hoffken     3b ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.667
Reyes       c  ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.250
Marte       cf ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Jimenez pr ......    0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Estrada     1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.333
McNeal      2b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Caniza      p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Short   ph ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Capdevila   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  33  13  11   5   0   0  11   4  11   0   1  0.333
  2B: Galloway (20), Reyes (5), Marte (7), Rosado 2 (8).
  CS: Rosado (12).
  HBP: Caniza (1), Jimenez (1).
  a-Ran for Matos in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Kelley in the 3rd.
  c-Ran for Marte in the 5th.
  d-Singled in the 7th.

ORCAS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Martínez (L, 5-3) ...    20   16  59%    5    5    5    2    7    0   71    -
Aupiu ...............    15    8  30%    5    5    5    2    3    0   51    -
Estrada .............     4    3  11%    1    3    3    0    1    0   14  2-2

GIANTS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Caniza (W, 7-4) .....    17   14  52%    2    0    0    3    7    0   72    -
Clements (F, 13) ....    12   13  48%    0    1    1    1    3    0   41  3-1

ORCAS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Martínez (Outs 1-16) → Aupiu (Outs 17-24) → Estrada (Outs 25-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Beigel (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Quintero (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Godín (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Badger (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Alonso-Corcelles (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Mendez (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Peavy (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Valdivia (Outs 1-27)

GIANTS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Caniza (Outs 1-14) → Clements (Outs 15-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Reyes (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Estrada (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | McNeal (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Hoffken (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Kelley (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Galloway (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Marte (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Matos (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Giants (home) batted first; Orcas batted second.
  Seconds: VCO o25 (1-13), SFG o26 (13-0).
  First pitch 5:00 PM PT. Weather: 84°F · Wind calm · Overcast. seed 900583.
  Powerplays: Orcas — Teeguarden NF
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 1.56    Peak faced 19.50
    27 outs left: 1.56
    18 outs left: 2.33
     9 outs left: 4.33
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 1 Orien Hoffken Antolín Matos (3B) 0–1 —
B 1 Orien Hoffken Alafia Kelley (2B) 0–2 —
B 11 José Marte Orien Hoffken (1B) 0–3 —
B 13 Hervé Capdevila Raziel Jimenez (3B) 0–4 —
B 14 Rubilio Caniza Parker McNeal (3B) 0–5 —
B 16 Jhonny Reyes Pramod Estrada (2B) 0–6 —
B 16 Jhonny Reyes Raziel Jimenez (1B) 0–7 —
B 17 Brad Galloway Jhonny Reyes (3B) 0–8 —
B 18 Ignacio Rosado Brad Galloway (2B) 0–9 —
B 19 Pramod Estrada Ignacio Rosado (2B) 0–10 —
B 23 Manolo Figueroa Jerome Short (3B) 0–11 —
B 24 Ignacio Rosado Orien Hoffken (3B) 0–12 —
B 25 Manolo Figueroa Ignacio Rosado (3B) 0–13 —
T 12 Andrea Peavy Alexis Edmonson (3B) 1–13 2.60
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 1.56
Peak faced 19.50
27 outs left 1.56
18 outs left 2.33
9 outs left 4.33
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kolenda Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 322' · CF 445' · RF 350' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Wire Basket
Orcas — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 1 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
322' 445' 350' Omar Godín — double · EV 92 mph · LA +43° · 338 ft Jonás Quintero — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 90 ft Ivan Teeguarden — line_out · EV 82 mph · LA +20° · 174 ft Moisés Valdivia — line_out · EV 77 mph · LA +14° · 114 ft Kreigh Alonso-Corcelles — single · EV 92 mph · LA +9° · 107 ft Norris Mendez — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +0° · 72 ft Omar Godín — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +50° · 243 ft Ivan Teeguarden — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 132 ft Jonás Quintero — fielders_choice · EV 60 mph · LA +7° · 57 ft Moisés Valdivia — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 268 ft Kreigh Alonso-Corcelles — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 134 ft Norris Mendez — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +1° · 74 ft Louis Badger — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +27° · 195 ft
Giants — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 6 1B · 5 XBH · 0 HR
322' 445' 350' Antolín Matos — single · EV 100 mph · LA +2° · 95 ft Alafia Kelley — single · EV 88 mph · LA +13° · 135 ft Orien Hoffken — single · EV 73 mph · LA +13° · 92 ft Parker McNeal — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 229 ft Hervé Capdevila — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 130 ft Ignacio Rosado — double · EV 119 mph · LA +23° · 403 ft Jerome Short — single · EV 81 mph · LA -29° · 77 ft Alafia Kelley — fielders_choice · EV 88 mph · LA -1° · 84 ft Orien Hoffken — single · EV 79 mph · LA -17° · 75 ft Jhonny Reyes — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 179 ft José Marte — double · EV 99 mph · LA +16° · 207 ft Brad Galloway — double · EV 119 mph · LA +22° · 392 ft Ignacio Rosado — double · EV 110 mph · LA +14° · 232 ft Rubilio Caniza — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +55° · 376 ft Jhonny Reyes — double · EV 100 mph · LA +22° · 276 ft Orien Hoffken — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA -11° · 89 ft Parker McNeal — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA -4° · 88 ft Pramod Estrada — single · EV 87 mph · LA +11° · 110 ft Brad Galloway — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -15° · 84 ft Manolo Figueroa — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +0° · 78 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Orcas
11% deserve-to-win  ·  3.8 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -2.8 vs expected
contact: 6.9 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-3.9 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ivan Teeguarden 100 / +10° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.25
Omar Godín 92 / +43° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.82
Moisés Valdivia 92 / +26° Pull Out 0.7 → 0 -0.73
Ivan Teeguarden 82 / +20° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Kreigh Alonso-Corcelles 76 / +18° Pull Double Play 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Giants
89% deserve-to-win  ·  10.6 expected runs
actual 13 runs  ·  +2.4 vs expected
contact: 17.1 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 16.0 (-1.1 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Parker McNeal 100 / +18° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.42
Jhonny Reyes 100 / +13° Oppo Out 1.3 → 0 -1.25
Hervé Capdevila 100 / +10° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.25
Rubilio Caniza 100 / +55° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.89
José Marte 99 / +16° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.78
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