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Diamondbacks 22, Marlins 5                                  2026-08-05 · #1280
at Arizona Coliseum
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Miami                   5      0    5    5    0
Arizona                20      2   22   24    0

MARLINS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Enquist     cf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Chieh-yu    lf ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Blackman    c  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Enterline   rf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Suárez      ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Mothudi     1b ......    4   0   3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.750
Mangin      3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
Dibert      2b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.000
Fitzgerald  p  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   2  1.000
  a-Suggs   ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  26   5   5   0   0   0   3   4  11   0   3  0.192
  SB: Blackman (8), Mothudi (7).
  CS: Mangin (11).
  GIDP: Chieh-yu (3), Mangin (14).
  Squeeze: Dibert (1 RBI).
  a-Walked in the 5th.

DIAMONDBACKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Maupin      c  ......    6   3   4   2   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.667
Start       lf ......    5   5   4   0   0   1   3   1   1   0   0  0.800
McNutt      ss ......    6   4   4   2   1   1   6   0   2   0   0  0.667
Pierre-Loui 2b ......    5   2   3   0   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.600
Gronowski   rf ......    5   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.200
Bektas      1b ......    5   2   2   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.400
Foyth       cf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Insigne     3b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Randall pr ......    4   2   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.250
Efird       p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Tanabe  ph ......    4   2   3   1   0   0   4   0   0   0   0  0.750
  c-Ullstro ph ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  45  22  24   5   1   2  21   4   9   0   0  0.533
  2B: Maupin 2 (9), McNutt 2 (18), Tanabe (12).
  3B: McNutt (2).
  HR: Start (1), off Fitzgerald; McNutt (3), off Fitzgerald.
  SB: Randall (9).
  CS: Pierre-Louis 2 (3).
  a-Ran for Insigne in the 2nd.
  b-Batted for Efird in the 2nd.
  c-Batted in the 7th.

MARLINS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Fitzgerald ..........    19   10  37%   10    9    8    1    5    2   70    -
Eakin ...............    15   12  44%    4    3    2    2    3    0   61  1-1
Joly (L, 0-2) .......    13    4  15%    9   10   10    1    1    0   40  1-1
Chappell ............     1    1   4%    0    0    0    0    0    0    6  1-0

DIAMONDBACKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Efird (W, 10-7) .....    17   14  52%    3    3    3    3    6    0   70    -
Wilkins (F, 25) .....    12   13  48%    1    2    2    1    5    0   47  1-1

MARLINS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Fitzgerald (Outs 1-10) → Eakin (Outs 11-22) → Joly (Outs 23-26) → Chappell (Outs 27-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Blackman (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Mothudi (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Dibert (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Mangin (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Suárez (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Chieh-yu (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Enquist (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Enterline (Outs 1-27)

DIAMONDBACKS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Efird (Outs 1-14) → Wilkins (Outs 15-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Maupin (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Bektas (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Pierre-Louis (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Insigne (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | McNutt (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Start (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Foyth (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Gronowski (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Diamondbacks (home) batted first; Marlins batted second.
  Seconds: MIA o25 (5-20), ARI o26 (20-0).
  First pitch 7:10 PM MT. Weather: 76°F · Wind out · Clear · Light rain · Dry. seed 385413.
  Walk-Back runs: off Eakin 1.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 2.56    Peak faced 16.00
    27 outs left: 2.56
    18 outs left: 3.33
     9 outs left: 5.33
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 0 Toby Start Huntley Maupin (2B) 0–1 —
B 4 Joao Foyth Toby Start (3B) 0–2 —
B 4 Genta Tanabe Joao Foyth (3B) 0–3 —
B 4 Genta Tanabe Anderson Randall (2B) 0–4 —
B 7 Phillip Bektas Genta Tanabe (2B) 0–5 —
B 9 Miguel McNutt Phillip Bektas (2B) 0–6 —
B 9 Miguel McNutt Miguel McNutt (HR) 0–7 —
B 10 Huntley Maupin Miguel McNutt (3B) 0–8 —
B 19 Genta Tanabe Anderson Randall (3B) 0–9 —
B 19 Anderson Randall Genta Tanabe (3B) 0–10 —
B 21 Ryan Pierre-Louis Phillip Bektas (2B) 0–11 —
B 22 Miguel McNutt Ryan Pierre-Louis (1B) 0–12 —
B 22 Toby Start Miguel McNutt (3B) 0–13 —
B 22 Huntley Maupin Toby Start (1B) 0–14 —
B 22 Huntley Maupin Huntley Maupin (2B) 0–15 —
B 22 Miguel McNutt Huntley Maupin (2B) 0–16 —
B 22 Miguel McNutt Toby Start (1B) 0–17 —
B 22 Ryan Pierre-Louis Miguel McNutt (2B) 0–18 —
B 25 Genta Tanabe Ryan Pierre-Louis (3B) 0–19 —
B 25 Genta Tanabe Irving Ullstrom (2B) 0–20 —
T 5 Randall Fitzgerald Ramon Blackman (3B) 1–20 3.00
T 6 Randall Fitzgerald Alex Dibert (3B) 2–20 3.00
T 7 Alex Dibert Randall Fitzgerald (3B) 3–20 3.00
T 12 Ramon Blackman Jason Enquist (3B) 4–20 3.80
T 14 Alex Dibert Montavious Chieh-yu (3B) 5–20 4.15
seconds_first 0 Toby Start Toby Start (HR) 5–21 —
seconds_first 0 Miguel McNutt Toby Start (3B) 5–22 —
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 2.56
Peak faced 16.00
27 outs left 2.56
18 outs left 3.33
9 outs left 5.33
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Arizona Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 340' · CF 429' · RF 341' · 8' wall). Balanced.
Crow's Nest Ivy Wall
Marlins — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 4 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
340' 429' 341' Montavious Chieh-yu — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +16° · 60 ft Jacobe Mothudi — single · EV 58 mph · LA +13° · 60 ft Devon Mangin — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA +7° · 49 ft Alex Dibert — error · EV 54 mph · LA -10° · 51 ft Jason Enquist — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +33° · 211 ft Montavious Chieh-yu — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -7° · 72 ft Devon Mangin — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft Jacobe Mothudi — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 96 ft Wallace Enterline — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA -4° · 53 ft Montavious Chieh-yu — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -7° · 49 ft Ramon Blackman — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +6° · 73 ft Devon Mangin — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 96 ft Kendall Suárez — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Jacobe Mothudi — single · EV 82 mph · LA -2° · 78 ft
Diamondbacks — Batted Balls
30 BIP· 15 1B · 6 XBH · 2 HR
340' 429' 341' Huntley Maupin — double · EV 100 mph · LA +22° · 282 ft Toby Start — single · EV 88 mph · LA +16° · 164 ft Ryan Pierre-Louis — single · EV 100 mph · LA +0° · 95 ft Joao Foyth — single · EV 91 mph · LA +13° · 142 ft Kurt Insigne — single · EV 90 mph · LA +7° · 86 ft Genta Tanabe — single · EV 116 mph · LA +4° · 110 ft Anderson Randall — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -3° · 95 ft Phillip Bektas — single · EV 93 mph · LA -8° · 88 ft Miguel McNutt — hr · EV 117 mph · LA +42° · 480 ft Huntley Maupin — single · EV 111 mph · LA -3° · 106 ft Anderson Randall — fielders_choice · EV 84 mph · LA -10° · 79 ft Genta Tanabe — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -15° · 84 ft Huntley Maupin — ground_out · EV 97 mph · LA -3° · 93 ft Ron Gronowski — ground_out · EV 71 mph · LA +9° · 60 ft Phillip Bektas — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +34° · 329 ft Genta Tanabe — double · EV 100 mph · LA +29° · 341 ft Anderson Randall — single · EV 98 mph · LA -8° · 93 ft Ryan Pierre-Louis — single · EV 99 mph · LA -6° · 94 ft Toby Start — single · EV 106 mph · LA -9° · 100 ft Phillip Bektas — single · EV 97 mph · LA -22° · 92 ft Ron Gronowski — single · EV 90 mph · LA +18° · 194 ft Miguel McNutt — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 159 ft Huntley Maupin — double · EV 100 mph · LA +23° · 290 ft Ryan Pierre-Louis — single · EV 82 mph · LA +0° · 78 ft Anderson Randall — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA -9° · 71 ft Genta Tanabe — single · EV 110 mph · LA +5° · 104 ft Huntley Maupin — single · EV 88 mph · LA -10° · 84 ft Miguel McNutt — double · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 159 ft Toby Start — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +44° · 399 ft Miguel McNutt — double · EV 88 mph · LA +30° · 266 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Marlins
3% deserve-to-win  ·  2.4 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +2.6 vs expected
contact: 3.4 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (+0.6 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jacobe Mothudi 82 / -2° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.68
Jacobe Mothudi 58 / +13° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.67
Jacobe Mothudi 76 / +12° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Devon Mangin 76 / +12° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Montavious Chieh-yu 52 / +16° Center Out 0.3 → 0 -0.33
Diamondbacks
97% deserve-to-win  ·  13.4 expected runs
actual 22 runs  ·  +8.6 vs expected
contact: 25.4 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 36.0 (+10.6 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 2 CS (-0.9 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Miguel McNutt 100 / +12° Pull Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.75
Toby Start 100 / +44° Pull Home Run 2.6 → 4 +1.41
Miguel McNutt 88 / +30° Pull Double 0.7 → 2 +1.27
Phillip Bektas 94 / +34° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.94
Miguel McNutt 100 / +12° Pull Double 1.3 → 2 +0.75
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