==============================================================================
Giants 10, Astros 7                                         2026-08-05 · #1281
at Kolenda Field
==============================================================================

                        1      2    R    H    E
Houston                 7      0    7    8    1
San Francisco          10      0   10   12    0

ASTROS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Braun       ss ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.667
O'Connor    cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kingsbury   lf ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
Morales     1b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Neely       rf ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.250
Thom        c  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Gómez       3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Rivas   ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Arboleda    2b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  b-Humphre pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Basham      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Moros   ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Konig   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Tassew  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Henríqu pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Trejo       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Valencia    j  ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  29   7   8   4   0   1   4   5  12   0   0  0.276
  2B: Kingsbury (10), Neely (3), Arboleda (5), Rivas (22).
  HR: Valencia (2), off Warburg.
  SB: Braun (14), Henríquez (1).
  CS: Braun (11).
  E: Braun (6).
  a-Doubled for Gómez in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Arboleda in the 3rd.
  c-Walked in the 6th.
  d-Batted in the 6th.
  e-Ran for Rivas in the 3rd.
  f-Ran for Moros in the 6th.

GIANTS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Matos       rf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kelley      ss ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Cardozo     1b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Galloway    lf ......    4   1   3   2   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.750
Hoffken     3b ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Marte       2b ......    2   2   2   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Figuero pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Estrada     cf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
McNeal      c  ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
Warburg     p  ......    4   1   2   0   0   1   3   0   2   0   0  0.500
  b-Short   ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  33  10  12   3   0   2   9   1  10   0   0  0.364
  2B: Galloway 2 (22), McNeal (5).
  HR: Marte (2), off Vildoza; Warburg (1), off Vildoza.
  HBP: Marte (1).
  a-Ran for Marte in the 6th.
  b-Singled in the 8th.

ASTROS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Basham ..............     9    6  22%    2    2    2    0    4    0   32    -
Vildoza (L, 4-4) ....     5    4  15%    2    3    3    0    2    2   21  1-1
Faber ...............     9    7  26%    4    1    1    1    1    0   31  1-0
Reliford ............    10    7  26%    4    4    2    0    3    0   39  2-1
Fenty ...............     3    3  11%    0    0    0    0    1    0    9  1-0

GIANTS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Warburg (W, 8-12) ...    18   16  59%    5    4    4    1    6    1   54    -
Caniza ..............    10    7  26%    1    3    2    3    5    0   31  1-1
Helgeson-Niel (F, 10)      5    4  15%    0    0    0    1    2    0   21  1-0

ASTROS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Basham (Outs 1-6) → Vildoza (Outs 7-10) → Faber (Outs 11-17) → Reliford (Outs 18-24) → Fenty (Outs 25-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Thom (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Morales (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Arboleda (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Gómez (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Braun (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Kingsbury (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | O'Connor (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Neely (Outs 1-27)

GIANTS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Warburg (Outs 1-16) → Caniza (Outs 17-23) → Helgeson-Nielsen (Outs 24-27)
CATCHER (C)       | McNeal (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Cardozo (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Marte (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Hoffken (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Kelley (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Galloway (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Estrada (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Matos (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Giants (home) batted first; Astros batted second.
  Seconds: HOU o26 (7-10), SFG o26 (10-0).
  First pitch 6:30 PM PT. Weather: 62°F · Wind cross · Clear · Light rain · Humid. seed 615710.
  Powerplays: Astros — Moros NF
  Walk-Back runs: off Caniza 1.
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 5 Parker McNeal Orien Hoffken (2B) 0–1
B 5 Parker McNeal José Marte (1B) 0–2
B 6 Diego Warburg Parker McNeal (2B) 0–3
B 6 Diego Warburg Diego Warburg (HR) 0–4
B 9 José Marte José Marte (HR) 0–5
B 14 Diego Warburg Orien Hoffken (2B) 0–6
B 17 Brad Galloway Parker McNeal (3B) 0–7
B 17 Brad Galloway Manolo Figueroa (2B) 0–8
B 20 Alafia Kelley Brad Galloway (3B) 0–9
B 22 Brad Galloway Alafia Kelley (1B) 0–10
T 2 Van Neely Jeyland Morales (3B) 1–10
T 2 Van Neely Brayan Braun (2B) 2–10
T 8 Scoville Rivas Korey Humphreys (2B) 3–10
T 15 Maxi Valencia Maxi Valencia (HR) 4–10
T 15 Cedrick Konig Maxi Valencia (3B) 5–10
T 20 Jeyland Morales Angel Henríquez (3B) 6–10
T 22 Marcos Kingsbury Brayan Braun (3B) 7–10
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kolenda Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 322' · CF 445' · RF 350' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Wire Basket
Astros — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 1 1B · 4 XBH · 1 HR
322' 445' 350' Dante O'Connor — line_out · EV 82 mph · LA +19° · 163 ft Van Neely — double · EV 87 mph · LA +41° · 300 ft Iapani Thom — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -2° · 83 ft Jerome Basham — line_out · EV 94 mph · LA +12° · 149 ft Scoville Rivas — double · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 187 ft Jeyland Morales — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA -7° · 79 ft Maxi Valencia — hr · EV 114 mph · LA +38° · 480 ft Shimeket Tassew — fielders_choice · EV 68 mph · LA -19° · 64 ft Yasniel Arboleda — double · EV 93 mph · LA +11° · 134 ft Iapani Thom — ground_out · EV 108 mph · LA -2° · 103 ft Marcos Kingsbury — double · EV 114 mph · LA +25° · 394 ft Marcos Kingsbury — single · EV 84 mph · LA +9° · 88 ft
Giants — Batted Balls
23 BIP· 7 1B · 3 XBH · 2 HR
322' 445' 350' Antolín Matos — line_out · EV 89 mph · LA +13° · 137 ft Brad Galloway — double · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 144 ft Orien Hoffken — fielders_choice · EV 101 mph · LA -8° · 96 ft Parker McNeal — double · EV 86 mph · LA +48° · 291 ft José Marte — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +44° · 480 ft Jerome Short — single · EV 92 mph · LA -8° · 87 ft Manolo Figueroa — ground_out · EV 95 mph · LA +1° · 90 ft Diego Warburg — hr · EV 96 mph · LA +42° · 371 ft Parker McNeal — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA +8° · 90 ft Maximo Cardozo — single · EV 90 mph · LA +25° · 246 ft Alafia Kelley — fly_out · EV 105 mph · LA +12° · 174 ft Antolín Matos — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +33° · 259 ft José Marte — single · EV 83 mph · LA -13° · 79 ft Diego Warburg — single · EV 83 mph · LA +11° · 105 ft Parker McNeal — fielders_choice · EV 81 mph · LA +4° · 77 ft Pramod Estrada — single · EV 84 mph · LA -12° · 80 ft Brad Galloway — single · EV 85 mph · LA +15° · 144 ft Alafia Kelley — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA +1° · 79 ft Antolín Matos — error · EV 93 mph · LA +9° · 104 ft Alafia Kelley — single · EV 83 mph · LA +19° · 170 ft Maximo Cardozo — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA -2° · 82 ft Brad Galloway — double · EV 104 mph · LA +13° · 191 ft Pramod Estrada — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +40° · 228 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Astros
41% deserve-to-win  ·  7.2 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  -0.2 vs expected
contact: 12.7 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (+0.3 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Van Neely 87 / +41° Pull Double 0.7 → 2 +1.32
Yasniel Arboleda 93 / +11° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.19
Marcos Kingsbury 114 / +25° Center Double 2.9 → 2 -0.94
Jerome Basham 94 / +12° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Scoville Rivas 100 / +14° Oppo Double 1.3 → 2 +0.74
Giants
59% deserve-to-win  ·  8.6 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  +1.4 vs expected
contact: 17.4 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 21.0 (+3.6 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Diego Warburg 96 / +42° Pull Home Run 2.0 → 4 +1.99
Parker McNeal 86 / +48° Center Double 0.2 → 2 +1.80
Alafia Kelley 105 / +12° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.39
Brad Galloway 92 / +13° Oppo Double 0.8 → 2 +1.19
Antolín Matos 89 / +13° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →