==============================================================================
Expos 10, Phillies 5                                        2026-08-07 · #1300
at Huerta Stadium
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
Philadelphia            5    5   10    0
Montreal               10   10    7    0

PHILLIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Logar       1b ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Craft       rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Santos  ph ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Grizzlies   cf ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Andrade     c  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  b-Skeen   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Mattke      2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Awoniyi     lf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.333
Israilov    ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Moor        3b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Martín  pr ......    3   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Maynard     p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   1  0.500
  d-Ka'apan pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  e-Vásquez pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ferguson-Re j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Anthony     j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  31   5  10   1   0   0   4   3  11   0   1  0.323
  2B: Grizzlies (30).
  a-Batted for Craft in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Andrade in the 6th.
  c-Ran for Moor in the 3rd.
  d-Ran in the 5th.
  e-Ran in the 7th.

EXPOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Solórzano   lf ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.667
Matthews    p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Grizzlies   ss ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Creek       1b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Triguei pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Geffrard    cf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Goodson     2b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Pérez       rf ......    2   2   2   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
Hiebert     3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Spence      c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Fielding    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Hawwas  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Deener  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Gibson      j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Morales     j  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Currier     j  ......    0   2   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  30  10   7   3   0   0  10   7   9   0   0  0.233
  2B: Solórzano (21), Goodson (32), Morales (4).
  SB: Pérez (13).
  CS: Creek (9).
  HBP: Creek (6).
  GIDP: Fielding (5).
  GITP: Spence (1).
  a-Ran for Creek in the 5th.
  b-Batted in the 7th.
  c-Grounded out in the 7th.

PHILLIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Maynard .............    16   13  48%    4    3    3    0    7    0   61    -
Chavez ..............     9    5  19%    1    2    2    5    1    0   27  1-0
Gullett (L, 3-1) ....     5    2   7%    2    5    5    1    0    0   15  3-3
Sippel ..............     7    7  26%    0    0    0    1    1    0   27  1-0

EXPOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Matthews (W, 7-5) ...    16   12  44%    5    2    2    1    6    0   60    -
Chang ...............    15   13  48%    4    3    3    2    3    0   46  2-1
Cabalceta ...........     2    2   7%    0    0    0    0    2    0   10  2-0

PHILLIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Maynard (Outs 1-13) → Chavez (Outs 14-18) → Gullett (Outs 19-20) → Sippel (Outs 21-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Andrade (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Logar (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Mattke (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Moor (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Israilov (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Awoniyi (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Grizzlies (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Craft (Outs 1-27)

EXPOS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Matthews (Outs 1-12) → Chang (Outs 13-25) → Cabalceta (Outs 26-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Spence (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Creek (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Goodson (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Hiebert (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Fielding (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Solórzano (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Geffrard (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Pérez (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Expos (home) batted first; Phillies batted second.
  First pitch 5:45 PM ET. Weather: 99°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Humid. seed 423038.
  Powerplays: Phillies — Ka'apana NF (O18)
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 1.22    Peak faced 9.00
    27 outs left: 1.22
    18 outs left: 1.67
     9 outs left: 2.33
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 2 Fran Creek Rónald Solórzano (2B) 0–1 —
B 13 Marquis Goodson Jordi Pérez (3B) 0–2 —
B 13 Marquis Goodson Raymond Trigueiro (1B) 0–3 —
B 17 Raymond Trigueiro Rónald Solórzano (3B) 0–4 —
B 18 Elliott Currier Omni Fielding (3B) 0–5 —
B 18 Akhtam Abu Hawwas Maciek Grizzlies (3B) 0–6 —
B 19 Jordi Pérez Quincy Geffrard (3B) 0–7 —
B 19 Jordi Pérez Elliott Currier (2B) 0–8 —
B 20 Pedro Morales Curt Gibson (2B) 0–9 —
B 20 Pedro Morales Jordi Pérez (1B) 0–10 —
T 7 Caleb Maynard Marco Logar (3B) 1–10 1.50
T 7 Sandy Santos Nicolas Martín (3B) 2–10 1.35
T 12 Zach Grizzlies Bright Awoniyi (2B) 3–10 1.60
T 15 Alberto Vásquez Jerome Ka'apana (2B) 4–10 1.75
T 25 Vitas Anthony Nicolas Martín (3B) 5–10 9.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 1.22
Peak faced 9.00
27 outs left 1.22
18 outs left 1.67
9 outs left 2.33
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Huerta Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 288' · CF 412' · RF 348' · 50' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Phillies — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 8 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
288' 412' 348' Wall 50' Zach Grizzlies — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +11° · 125 ft Anthony Mattke — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +48° · 243 ft Marco Logar — single · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 171 ft Jahiem Moor — single · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Caleb Maynard — infield_single · EV 69 mph · LA -12° · 65 ft Alberto Vásquez — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +1° · 76 ft Allen Ferguson-Reynolds — single · EV 76 mph · LA +25° · 176 ft Vitas Anthony — single · EV 92 mph · LA +11° · 131 ft Daniel Israilov — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -16° · 75 ft Marco Logar — single · EV 78 mph · LA +12° · 104 ft Anthony Mattke — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +48° · 230 ft Bryan Andrade — single · EV 80 mph · LA +19° · 156 ft Zach Grizzlies — double · EV 87 mph · LA +10° · 108 ft Bright Awoniyi — single · EV 76 mph · LA -20° · 72 ft Nicolas Martín — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA -13° · 50 ft Zach Grizzlies — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 130 ft Daniel Israilov — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA +9° · 60 ft Sandy Santos — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 144 ft Nicolas Martín — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA -7° · 76 ft
Expos — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 4 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
288' 412' 348' Wall 50' Rónald Solórzano — double · EV 112 mph · LA +16° · 265 ft Fran Creek — single · EV 100 mph · LA +24° · 298 ft Quincy Geffrard — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +15° · 129 ft Jordi Pérez — single · EV 82 mph · LA -2° · 77 ft Raymond Trigueiro — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA -5° · 83 ft Akhtam Abu Hawwas — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +33° · 239 ft Gabe Deener — line_out · EV 81 mph · LA +20° · 166 ft Omni Fielding — double_play · EV 61 mph · LA -6° · 58 ft Rónald Solórzano — line_out · EV 81 mph · LA +19° · 162 ft Marquis Goodson — double · EV 99 mph · LA +32° · 351 ft Roscoe Spence — triple_play · EV 85 mph · LA -29° · 80 ft Jordi Pérez — single · EV 83 mph · LA +21° · 183 ft Pedro Morales — double · EV 101 mph · LA +25° · 315 ft Akhtam Abu Hawwas — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA +5° · 86 ft Rónald Solórzano — single · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 168 ft Titus Hiebert — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +33° · 217 ft Maciek Grizzlies — ground_out · EV 103 mph · LA +3° · 98 ft Quincy Geffrard — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -14° · 73 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Phillies
14% deserve-to-win  ·  3.7 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +1.3 vs expected
contact: 7.0 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (+3.0 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Zach Grizzlies 87 / +10° Pull Double 0.6 → 2 +1.42
Caleb Maynard 69 / -12° Pull Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Allen Ferguson-Reynolds 76 / +25° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.85
Zach Grizzlies 92 / +11° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Jahiem Moor 76 / -9° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Expos
86% deserve-to-win  ·  9.1 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  +0.9 vs expected
contact: 11.8 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (-1.8 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Marquis Goodson 99 / +32° Oppo Double 1.1 → 2 +0.93
Jordi Pérez 82 / -2° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.68
Pedro Morales 101 / +25° Pull Double 1.3 → 2 +0.67
Rónald Solórzano 81 / +19° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Gabe Deener 81 / +20° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →