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Expos 10, Phillies 9                                        2026-08-08 · #1313
at Huerta Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Philadelphia            9    9    9    0
Montreal               10   10    8    0

PHILLIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Grizzlies   cf ......    2   4   2   1   0   1   3   2   0   0   0  1.000
Mattke      2b ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.333
Awoniyi     lf ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Santos  pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Logar       1b ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Martín  pr ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Israilov    c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Andrade ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Moor        ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Skeen       rf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   4   0   0  0.000
Borges      3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Poruri      p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Vásquez     3b ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Tabarac pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ferguson-Re j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Anthony     j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  30   9   9   4   0   1   8   6  14   0   0  0.300
  2B: Grizzlies (31), Mattke (10), Logar (26), Vásquez (2).
  HR: Grizzlies (11), off Juarez.
  SB: Grizzlies (11), Santos (17), Anthony (2).
  CS: Vásquez (1).
  a-Ran for Awoniyi in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Logar in the 4th.
  c-Batted for Israilov in the 6th.
  d-Ran in the 7th.

EXPOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Hawwas      ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Creek   ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Goodson     2b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Solórzano   lf ......    3   2   1   0   0   1   1   1   1   0   0  0.333
Pérez       rf ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Fieldin pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
López       p  ......    2   0   2   1   1   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Huitema pr ......    0   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Grizzlies   c  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   2   2   0   0   0  1.000
Geffrard    3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Warner  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Deener      1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Hiebert     cf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Triguei pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Hutnick pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Morales     j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Gibson      j  ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  24  10   8   3   1   2   8   6   7   0   0  0.333
  2B: Pérez (20), López (12), Hiebert (3).
  3B: López (3).
  HR: Solórzano (15), off Poruri; Gibson (5), off Maples.
  CS: Morales (2), Grizzlies 2 (10), Trigueiro (3).
  HBP: Creek (7).
  a-Was hit by a pitch for Hawwas in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Pérez in the 6th.
  c-Ran for López in the 3rd.
  d-Struck out for Geffrard in the 6th.
  e-Ran for Hiebert in the 3rd.
  f-Ran in the 6th.

PHILLIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Poruri ..............     4    3   11  2.8    2    2    1    0    0    1    -
Lussi (L, 1-4) ......     8    5   29  3.6    2    2    2    2    1    0    -
Maples ..............     4    3   13  3.2    2    3    2    0    1    1  1-0
Flam ................    13    9   44  3.4    2    2    2    2    5    0    -
Marte ...............     2    0    6  3.0    0    1    1    2    0    0  2-1

EXPOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
López ...............     5    3   17  3.4    1    3    3    1    1    0    -
Moran ...............    14   10   54  3.9    2    2    2    3    7    0    -
Juarez (W, 3-1) .....    13   11   37  2.8    5    4    3    2    3    1  2-0
Bork ................     3    3   13  4.3    0    0    0    0    3    0  1-0

PHILLIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-20)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Poruri (Outs 1-3) → Lussi (Outs 4-8) → Maples (Outs 9-11) → Flam (Outs 12-20)
CATCHER (C)       | Israilov (Outs 1-20)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Logar (Outs 1-20)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Mattke (Outs 1-20)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Vásquez (Outs 1-20)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Moor (Outs 1-20)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Awoniyi (Outs 1-20)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Grizzlies (Outs 1-20)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Skeen (Outs 1-20)

EXPOS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | López (Outs 1-3) → Moran (Outs 4-13) → Juarez (Outs 14-24) → Bork (Outs 25-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Grizzlies (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Deener (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Goodson (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Geffrard (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Hawwas (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Solórzano (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Hiebert (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Pérez (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Expos (home) batted second; Phillies batted first.
  First pitch 4:05 PM ET. Weather: 83°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 175511.
  Powerplays: Expos — Fielding NF (O16)
  Walk-Back runs: off Poruri 1, off Maples 1, off Juarez 1.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 1.11    Peak faced 1.11
    27 outs left: 1.00
    18 outs left: 0.50
     9 outs left: 1.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 1 Marco Logar Zach Grizzlies (2B) 1–0 —
T 1 Marco Logar Bright Awoniyi (1B) 2–0 —
T 2 Jahiem Moor Marco Logar (3B) 3–0 —
T 13 Zach Grizzlies Sandy Santos (3B) 4–0 —
T 13 Anthony Mattke Zach Grizzlies (3B) 5–0 —
T 23 Zach Grizzlies Vitas Anthony (2B) 6–0 —
T 23 Zach Grizzlies Zach Grizzlies (HR) 7–0 —
T 23 Anthony Mattke Zach Grizzlies (3B) 8–0 —
T 24 Nicolas Martín Anthony Mattke (3B) 9–0 —
B 0 Rónald Solórzano Rónald Solórzano (HR) 9–1 1.00
B 0 Jordi Pérez Rónald Solórzano (3B) 9–2 0.89
B 6 Titus Hiebert Marquis Goodson (1B) 9–3 1.00
B 8 Devron López Jordi Pérez (1B) 9–4 0.95
B 9 Curt Gibson Jenson Huitema (3B) 9–5 0.83
B 9 Curt Gibson Curt Gibson (HR) 9–6 0.67
B 9 Maciek Grizzlies Curt Gibson (3B) 9–7 0.50
B 16 Maciek Grizzlies Omni Fielding (3B) 9–8 0.55
B 19 Raymond Trigueiro Jenson Huitema (3B) 9–9 0.38
B 20 Omni Fielding Mark Hutnick (3B) 9–10 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 1.11
Peak faced 1.11
27 outs left 1.00
18 outs left 0.50
9 outs left 1.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Huerta Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 288' · CF 412' · RF 348' · 50' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Phillies — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 3 1B · 4 XBH · 1 HR
288' 412' 348' Wall 50' Marco Logar — double · EV 100 mph · LA +24° · 296 ft Daniel Israilov — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA -10° · 72 ft Jahiem Moor — ground_out · EV 110 mph · LA +2° · 104 ft Zach Grizzlies — double · EV 88 mph · LA +45° · 310 ft Sandy Santos — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +9° · 120 ft Bryan Andrade — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA -6° · 83 ft Alberto Vásquez — double · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 187 ft Vitas Anthony — single · EV 100 mph · LA -9° · 95 ft Nicolas Martín — single · EV 88 mph · LA +13° · 137 ft Devron Borges — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +4° · 84 ft Bright Awoniyi — single · EV 87 mph · LA -16° · 83 ft Zach Grizzlies — hr · EV 118 mph · LA +44° · 480 ft Jahiem Moor — fielders_choice · EV 100 mph · LA +7° · 95 ft Anthony Mattke — double · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 195 ft
Expos — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 2 1B · 4 XBH · 2 HR
288' 412' 348' Wall 50' Rónald Solórzano — hr · EV 111 mph · LA +39° · 480 ft Jordi Pérez — fly_out · EV 97 mph · LA +43° · 376 ft Devron López — double · EV 100 mph · LA +22° · 277 ft Akhtam Abu Hawwas — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +4° · 83 ft Quincy Geffrard — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +6° · 83 ft Marquis Goodson — fielders_choice · EV 72 mph · LA +6° · 69 ft Titus Hiebert — double · EV 109 mph · LA +18° · 281 ft Curt Gibson — hr · EV 106 mph · LA +48° · 449 ft Maciek Grizzlies — single · EV 95 mph · LA +20° · 228 ft Pedro Morales — single · EV 75 mph · LA +14° · 106 ft Raymond Trigueiro — fly_out · EV 85 mph · LA +31° · 252 ft Rónald Solórzano — ground_out · EV 112 mph · LA +10° · 169 ft Devron López — triple · EV 109 mph · LA +11° · 177 ft Akhtam Abu Hawwas — line_out · EV 114 mph · LA +17° · 293 ft Marquis Goodson — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +0° · 84 ft Jordi Pérez — double · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 165 ft Gabe Deener — line_out · EV 68 mph · LA +15° · 92 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Phillies
43% deserve-to-win  ·  8.9 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +0.1 vs expected
contact: 13.6 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 15.0 (+1.4 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 1 CS (+0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Sandy Santos 100 / +9° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.25
Zach Grizzlies 88 / +45° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.83
Alberto Vásquez 100 / +14° Center Double 1.3 → 2 +0.75
Anthony Mattke 100 / +15° Center Double 1.3 → 2 +0.75
Bright Awoniyi 87 / -16° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.67
Expos
57% deserve-to-win  ·  10.3 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  -0.3 vs expected
contact: 19.2 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 19.0 (-0.2 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 4 CS (-2.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Curt Gibson 106 / +48° Center Home Run 1.1 → 4 +2.95
Jordi Pérez 97 / +43° Pull Out 2.0 → 0 -2.00
Akhtam Abu Hawwas 114 / +17° Oppo Out 1.7 → 0 -1.71
Devron López 109 / +11° Pull Triple 1.5 → 3 +1.53
Rónald Solórzano 112 / +10° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.52
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