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Diamondbacks 12, Dodgers 11  (3 SI)                         2026-08-09 · #1318
at Arizona Coliseum
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                        1      S    R    H    E
Los Angeles             9      2   11    9    0
Arizona                 9      3   12   13    0

DODGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Gerardy     rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ochoa       1b ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   2   3   1   0   0  0.000
Daniels     c  ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Swanson     lf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Guarnera    2b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.250
Saffold     ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Querrey pr ......    4   2   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Garcés      cf ......    4   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.250
Richards    3b ......    5   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.400
Ramírez     p  ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  0.667
  b-Gleason ph ......    4   2   2   2   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Abbott      j  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.333
Kromah      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  40  11   9   4   0   0  11  10  10   0   0  0.225
  2B: Ramírez (2), Abbott (7), Gleason 2 (5).
  HBP: Gleason (4).
  GIDP: Kromah (6).
  a-Ran for Saffold in the 3rd.
  b-Batted in the 3rd.

DIAMONDBACKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Alderman    3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Schmelz pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Gronowski   2b ......    5   2   2   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.400
Maupin      c  ......    5   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Tanabe      lf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Start       ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-McNutt  ph ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.333
Bektas      1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Baxter  pr ......    2   4   2   1   0   1   2   2   0   0   0  1.000
Foyth       cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  d-Ullstro ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Linton      rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Randall pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Efird       p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   2   2   0   0   2   .000
  f-Aogo    pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Pierre- pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  h-Kruger  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  i-Sitanil ph ......    5   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   4   0   0  0.000
  j-Gibson  pr ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.500
  k-Caniza  pr ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  l-O'Conne pr ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Manasse     j  ......    2   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Galekovic   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  39  12  13   2   1   2  11  10  13   0   2  0.333
  2B: Baxter (10), Caniza (3).
  3B: Gronowski (3).
  HR: Manasse (1), off Sanchez; Baxter (6), off Ramírez.
  SB: Baxter 2 (7), Caniza (5), Galekovic (5).
  CS: Pierre-Louis (4), Gibson 2 (5).
  HBP: Foyth (6).
  a-Ran for Alderman in the 4th.
  b-Batted for Start in the 3rd.
  c-Ran for Bektas in the 7th.
  d-Walked for Foyth in the 4th.
  e-Ran for Linton in the 2nd.
  f-Ran for Efird in the 7th.
  g-Ran in the 8th.
  h-Walked in the 6th.
  i-Batted for Randall in the 4th.
  j-Ran for Ullstrom in the 4th.
  k-Ran for Kruger in the 6th.
  l-Ran for Pierre-Louis in the 7th.

DODGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ramírez (L, 3-2) ....    28   18  67%    8    7    7    3    9    1   94    -
Sanchez .............     7    7  26%    3    3    3    2    1    1   32  2-1
Llorente ............    12    9  33%    1    2    2    4    3    0   47  1-1
Goss ................     2    1   4%    0    0    0    1    0    0    6  1-0

DIAMONDBACKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Efird (W, 10-7) .....    35   23  85%    7    7    7    6    5    0  122    -
McDuffie ............    16   12  44%    2    4    4    4    5    0   52  1-0
Phebus ..............     1    1   4%    0    0    0    0    1    0    4  1-0

DODGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-35)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Ramírez (Outs 1-18) → Sanchez (Outs 19-25) → Llorente (Outs 26-34) → Goss (Outs 35-35)
CATCHER (C)       | Daniels (Outs 1-35)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Ochoa (Outs 1-35)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Guarnera (Outs 1-35)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Richards (Outs 1-35)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Saffold (Outs 1-35)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Swanson (Outs 1-35)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Garcés (Outs 1-35)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Gerardy (Outs 1-35)

DIAMONDBACKS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-36)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Efird (Outs 1-23) → McDuffie (Outs 24-35) → Phebus (Outs 36-36)
CATCHER (C)       | Maupin (Outs 1-36)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Bektas (Outs 1-36)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Gronowski (Outs 1-36)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Alderman (Outs 1-36)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Start (Outs 1-36)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Tanabe (Outs 1-36)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Foyth (Outs 1-36)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Linton (Outs 1-36)

  Batting order: Diamondbacks (home) batted second; Dodgers batted first.
  Super-innings: 3.
  First pitch 2:00 PM MT. Weather: 88°F · Wind cross · Overcast · Dry. seed 219706.
  Walk-Back runs: off Llorente 1.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 1.33    Peak faced 3.00
    27 outs left: 1.33
    18 outs left: 1.33
     9 outs left: 1.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 9 Bautista Ochoa Daylan Querrey (3B) 1–0 —
T 9 Bautista Ochoa Tony Garcés (2B) 2–0 —
T 12 Daylan Querrey Elliott Gleason (3B) 3–0 —
T 13 Suntarine Richards Wyatt Guarnera (2B) 4–0 —
T 14 Angel Ramírez Tony Garcés (2B) 5–0 —
T 24 Elliott Gleason Daylan Querrey (2B) 6–0 —
T 26 Berkeley Abbott Elliott Gleason (3B) 7–0 —
T 26 Berkeley Abbott Bautista Ochoa (2B) 8–0 —
T 26 Berkeley Abbott Shawn Daniels (1B) 9–0 —
B 4 Miguel Linton Genta Tanabe (3B) 9–1 1.43
B 4 Clark Efird Ron Gronowski (3B) 9–2 1.30
B 9 Ron Gronowski Anderson Randall (3B) 9–3 1.50
B 10 Irving Ullstrom Wallace Schmelzle (3B) 9–4 1.41
B 11 Clark Efird Shyheim Baxter (3B) 9–5 1.31
B 17 Dennis Manasse Ron Gronowski (3B) 9–6 1.80
B 17 Dennis Manasse Dennis Manasse (HR) 9–7 1.50
B 20 Will Galekovic Dennis Manasse (3B) 9–8 1.71
B 26 Yomar Caniza Shyheim Baxter (2B) 9–9 9.00
ST 31 Wyatt Guarnera Bautista Ochoa (2B) 10–9 —
SB 32 Don O'Connell Shyheim Baxter (3B) 10–10 —
ST 35 Elliott Gleason Suntarine Richards (2B) 11–10 —
SB 35 Shyheim Baxter Isadore Gibson (1B) 11–11 —
SB 35 Shyheim Baxter Shyheim Baxter (HR) 11–12 —
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 1.33
Peak faced 3.00
27 outs left 1.33
18 outs left 1.33
9 outs left 1.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Arizona Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 340' · CF 429' · RF 341' · 8' wall). Balanced.
Crow's Nest Ivy Wall
Dodgers — Batted Balls
28 BIP· 5 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
340' 429' 341' Tanner Gerardy — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA -10° · 68 ft Colton Swanson — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA -2° · 81 ft Wyatt Guarnera — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +10° · 77 ft Tony Garcés — single · EV 77 mph · LA +12° · 94 ft Suntarine Richards — line_out · EV 87 mph · LA +23° · 219 ft Berkeley Abbott — line_out · EV 105 mph · LA +11° · 166 ft Tomm Kromah — double_play · EV 84 mph · LA +0° · 80 ft Bautista Ochoa — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA -13° · 71 ft Daylan Querrey — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA -26° · 53 ft Angel Ramírez — double · EV 102 mph · LA +24° · 308 ft Elliott Gleason — fielders_choice · EV 84 mph · LA -3° · 80 ft Wyatt Guarnera — single · EV 102 mph · LA +14° · 200 ft Suntarine Richards — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA -26° · 70 ft Berkeley Abbott — fly_out · EV 71 mph · LA +41° · 202 ft Daylan Querrey — fielders_choice · EV 71 mph · LA -17° · 67 ft Tomm Kromah — fly_out · EV 90 mph · LA +35° · 304 ft Elliott Gleason — double · EV 87 mph · LA +38° · 293 ft Angel Ramírez — single · EV 85 mph · LA +15° · 140 ft Colton Swanson — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA -8° · 69 ft Berkeley Abbott — double · EV 100 mph · LA +25° · 309 ft Elliott Gleason — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +15° · 127 ft Angel Ramírez — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA -1° · 86 ft Suntarine Richards — single · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 168 ft Shawn Daniels — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -8° · 77 ft Wyatt Guarnera — ground_out · EV 62 mph · LA +2° · 59 ft Daylan Querrey — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 189 ft Elliott Gleason — double · EV 89 mph · LA +43° · 314 ft Suntarine Richards — single · EV 82 mph · LA +19° · 167 ft
Diamondbacks — Batted Balls
23 BIP· 7 1B · 3 XBH · 2 HR
340' 429' 341' Genta Tanabe — fielders_choice · EV 90 mph · LA -10° · 86 ft Toby Start — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +34° · 246 ft Miguel Linton — single · EV 85 mph · LA +15° · 144 ft Gavin Sitanilei — line_out · EV 57 mph · LA +15° · 67 ft Isadore Gibson — single · EV 78 mph · LA -6° · 74 ft Dennis Manasse — hr · EV 106 mph · LA +32° · 403 ft Will Galekovic — error · EV 59 mph · LA +9° · 60 ft Yomar Caniza — double · EV 92 mph · LA +32° · 303 ft Shyheim Baxter — double · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 149 ft Huntley Maupin — line_out · EV 91 mph · LA +25° · 254 ft Genta Tanabe — single · EV 70 mph · LA +12° · 77 ft Ron Gronowski — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -23° · 72 ft Phillip Bektas — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 92 ft Dennis Manasse — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -19° · 83 ft Don O'Connell — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 136 ft Leverton Aogo — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA +2° · 89 ft Shyheim Baxter — hr · EV 104 mph · LA +34° · 403 ft Ron Gronowski — triple · EV 105 mph · LA +21° · 292 ft Huntley Maupin — line_out · EV 62 mph · LA +11° · 60 ft Miguel McNutt — single · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 266 ft Huntley Maupin — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -23° · 49 ft Isadore Gibson — single · EV 107 mph · LA +9° · 136 ft Huntley Maupin — fly_out · EV 52 mph · LA +42° · 108 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Dodgers
51% deserve-to-win  ·  14.4 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  -3.4 vs expected
contact: 15.8 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (-2.8 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Elliott Gleason 87 / +38° Oppo Double 0.4 → 2 +1.56
Berkeley Abbott 105 / +11° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.39
Tomm Kromah 90 / +35° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.94
Daylan Querrey 92 / +17° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.89
Elliott Gleason 89 / +43° Oppo Double 1.2 → 2 +0.82
Diamondbacks
49% deserve-to-win  ·  14.1 expected runs
actual 12 runs  ·  -2.1 vs expected
contact: 16.9 est bases + 10 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 22.0 (+5.1 on contact)
running: 4 SB · 3 CS (-0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ron Gronowski 105 / +21° Pull Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.32
Yomar Caniza 92 / +32° Oppo Double 0.7 → 2 +1.27
Shyheim Baxter 92 / +13° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.19
Dennis Manasse 106 / +32° Pull Home Run 2.9 → 4 +1.12
Shyheim Baxter 104 / +34° Center Home Run 2.9 → 4 +1.12
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