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Royals 7, Cubs 0                                            2026-08-11 · #1339
at Sokk Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
Chicago                 0    0    3    0
Kansas City             7    7    4    0

CUBS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Campaz      p  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Santana     2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Solis   pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Shurtleff   lf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Segovia     rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Onyiuke     1b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  b-Hollowe pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Heinze      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
May         3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Casey       ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Lamas   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Sarkissian  cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-McCullo ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  24   0   3   0   0   0   0   3   9   0   0  0.125
  SB: Lamas (12).
  CS: Lamas (12), Shurtleff (2), Hollowell (14).
  GIDP: Shurtleff (1), Segovia (7).
  a-Ran for Santana in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Onyiuke in the 9th.
  c-Ran for Casey in the 7th.
  d-Batted for Sarkissian in the 6th.

ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Sabella     ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Rosales     3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Linneha pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Talavera    cf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Monson      1b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Fontes      c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Graham  ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Hsia        lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Fuenzal ph ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Selden      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Tanguil ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Farley      rf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Li          p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  0.000
  e-Vera    pr ......    1   3   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Gregory ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Bortolo pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  h-Inglis  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Press       j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  28   7   4   1   0   0   6   6   9   0   1  0.143
  2B: Vera (8).
  SB: Vera (8), Linnehan (8).
  CS: Press (3).
  GIDP: Tanguilig (1).
  a-Ran for Rosales in the 6th.
  b-Batted for Fontes in the 7th.
  c-Batted for Hsia in the 7th.
  d-Batted for Selden in the 4th.
  e-Ran in the 4th.
  f-Batted for Press in the 6th.
  g-Ran in the 7th.
  h-Ran for Tanguilig in the 7th.

CUBS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Campaz (L, 9-10) ....    28   23  85%    3    5    2    5    9    0  117    -
Reemsnyder ..........     6    4  15%    1    2    2    1    0    0   20  1-1

ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Li (W, 13-7) ........    27   27 100%    3    0    0    3    9    0  109    -

CUBS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Campaz (Outs 1-23) → Reemsnyder (Outs 24-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Heinze (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Onyiuke (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Santana (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | May (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Casey (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Shurtleff (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Sarkissian (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Segovia (Outs 1-27)

ROYALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Li (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Fontes (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Monson (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Selden (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rosales (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Sabella (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Hsia (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Talavera (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Farley (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Royals (home) batted first; Cubs batted second.
  First pitch 7:10 PM CT. Weather: 81°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 354751.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.89    Peak faced 24.00
    27 outs left: 0.89
    18 outs left: 1.33
     9 outs left: 2.67
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 9 Chico Press Eugenio Vera (3B) 0–1 —
B 17 Chico Press Rich Linnehan (3B) 0–2 —
B 19 Jhonder Fuenzalida Eugenio Vera (3B) 0–3 —
B 20 Reinaldo Talavera Connor Inglis (3B) 0–4 —
B 21 Efraín Sabella Jhonder Fuenzalida (3B) 0–5 —
B 24 Connor Inglis Reinaldo Talavera (2B) 0–6 —
B 26 George Graham Eugenio Vera (2B) 0–7 —
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.89
Peak faced 24.00
27 outs left 0.89
18 outs left 1.33
9 outs left 2.67
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Sokk Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 278' · CF 521' · RF 288' · 32' wall). Bathtub.
Wire Basket
Cubs — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' Bryce Shurtleff — single · EV 77 mph · LA +18° · 142 ft Omni Onyiuke — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +27° · 186 ft Douglas Casey — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -24° · 50 ft Isaiah Campaz — single · EV 76 mph · LA -5° · 72 ft Josh McCullough — ground_out · EV 60 mph · LA -13° · 57 ft Eddie Solis — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +1° · 49 ft Bryce Shurtleff — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +16° · 60 ft Teófilo Segovia — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -11° · 49 ft Douglas Casey — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 67 ft Isaiah Campaz — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +41° · 229 ft Isaiah Campaz — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +2° · 49 ft Erick May — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +32° · 209 ft Omni Onyiuke — single · EV 76 mph · LA -3° · 72 ft Bryce Shurtleff — double_play · EV 78 mph · LA +14° · 112 ft
Royals — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' Kael Monson — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +7° · 95 ft Yung-chi Hsia — ground_out · EV 96 mph · LA +4° · 91 ft Ricky Li — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -6° · 73 ft Chico Press — ground_out · EV 73 mph · LA -8° · 69 ft Landon Tanguilig — double_play · EV 115 mph · LA +9° · 165 ft Thomas Gregory — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +4° · 83 ft Eugenio Vera — double · EV 114 mph · LA +30° · 445 ft Jhonder Fuenzalida — error · EV 73 mph · LA +3° · 70 ft Connor Inglis — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -7° · 78 ft Yamil Fontes — ground_out · EV 96 mph · LA +7° · 91 ft Kael Monson — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +2° · 81 ft Reinaldo Talavera — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA -17° · 80 ft Chico Press — single · EV 78 mph · LA +14° · 113 ft Jhonder Fuenzalida — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +32° · 358 ft George Graham — single · EV 94 mph · LA +23° · 257 ft Kael Monson — single · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 176 ft Efraín Sabella — ground_out · EV 60 mph · LA -2° · 57 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Cubs
0% deserve-to-win  ·  0.1 expected runs
actual 0 runs  ·  -0.1 vs expected
contact: 3.2 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-0.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 3 CS (-1.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Isaiah Campaz 76 / -5° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Omni Onyiuke 76 / -3° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Douglas Casey 76 / +8° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.47
Bryce Shurtleff 78 / +14° Pull Double Play 0.5 → 0 -0.47
Bryce Shurtleff 77 / +18° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.46
Royals
100% deserve-to-win  ·  8.1 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  -1.1 vs expected
contact: 11.5 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-6.5 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Landon Tanguilig 115 / +9° Pull Double Play 1.5 → 0 -1.52
Jhonder Fuenzalida 100 / +32° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.33
Eugenio Vera 114 / +30° Pull Double 2.9 → 2 -0.93
Chico Press 78 / +14° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Kael Monson 100 / +7° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
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