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Rockies 13, Guardians 4                                     2026-08-11 · #1347
at Kuvvatov Yards
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Cleveland               4      0    4    5    0
Colorado               13      -   13   11    0

GUARDIANS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Granberry   2b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Brymer      cf ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Carmona     lf ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Cosper      1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Tanner      rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Siereve ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Anwunah     3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.333
Cabrera     c  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Céspedes    ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  b-Zhu     ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Ardón   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Lue         p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Rollins pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Mayotte pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Villarr pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  g-Bannaty ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   4   5   3   0   0   4   7  11   0   0  0.192
  2B: Granberry (4), Brymer (11), Carmona (4).
  CS: Rollins (16).
  HBP: Bannatyne (2).
  GIDP: Carmona (2).
  a-Walked for Tanner in the 4th.
  b-Walked for Céspedes in the 8th.
  c-Ran for Céspedes in the 8th.
  d-Ran for Lue in the 3rd.
  e-Ran for Siereveld in the 4th.
  f-Ran in the 7th.
  g-Batted for Rollins in the 8th.

ROCKIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Goss        lf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Martinho    ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Robles  pr ......    1   3   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Poling      1b ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Henry       p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Kaiuway pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Alderman    rf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ibarra      3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   1   0   1  0.000
Mondragón   2b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Porteño     c  ......    2   0   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Herr    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Otamendi    cf ......    3   4   2   0   1   1   3   1   1   0   0  0.667
  d-Jimenez pr ......    0   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  e-Farquha ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Oh          j  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Dowell      j  ......    2   0   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Valencia    j  ......    0   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   1   0   .000
Totals                  32  13  11   3   1   2  13   5   8   1   1  0.344
  2B: Porteño (17), Oh (3), Dowell (3).
  3B: Otamendi (4).
  HR: Otamendi (10), off Easton; Robles (2), off Easton.
  SB: Jimenez (1).
  GIDP: Goss (1), Alderman (10).
  a-Ran for Martinho in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Henry in the 5th.
  c-Ran for Porteño in the 5th.
  d-Ran in the 7th.
  e-Singled for Herr in the 6th.

GUARDIANS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Lue .................    19   15  56%    5    3    3    1    4    0   61    -
Easton (L, 2-1) .....    13    7  26%    5    8    7    3    3    2   38  2-2
Ovalle ..............     5    4  15%    1    2    1    1    1    0   18  1-1

ROCKIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Henry (W, 9-1) ......    34   27 100%    5    4    4    7   11    0  116    -

GUARDIANS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-26)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Lue (Outs 1-15) → Easton (Outs 16-22) → Ovalle (Outs 23-26)
CATCHER (C)       | Cabrera (Outs 1-26)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Cosper (Outs 1-26)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Granberry (Outs 1-26)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Anwunah (Outs 1-26)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Céspedes (Outs 1-26)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Carmona (Outs 1-26)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Brymer (Outs 1-26)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Tanner (Outs 1-26)

ROCKIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Henry (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Porteño (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Poling (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Mondragón (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Ibarra (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Martinho (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Goss (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Otamendi (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Alderman (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Rockies (home) batted second; Guardians batted first.
  Seconds: CLE o26 (4-0), COL o26 (13-4).
  First pitch 6:00 PM MT. Weather: 90°F · Wind out · Clear · Humid. seed 38858.
  Powerplays: Guardians — Ardón NF (O13)
  Walk-Back runs: off Easton 1, off Ovalle 1.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.56    Peak faced 0.67
    27 outs left: 0.56
    18 outs left: 0.50
     9 outs left: 0.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 0 Anthony Brymer Kemari Granberry (2B) 1–0 —
T 18 Boris Carmona Beals Villarreal (1B) 2–0 —
T 19 Amir Anwunah Boris Carmona (2B) 3–0 —
T 22 Corey Zhu Júnior Ardón (3B) 4–0 —
B 3 Dixon Ibarra Reed Poling (3B) 4–1 0.50
B 9 Mario Porteño Wesly Otamendi (3B) 4–2 0.50
B 12 Tae-jun Oh Ronald Herr (3B) 4–3 0.40
B 15 Tavierre Farquhar Reed Poling (3B) 4–4 0.25
B 16 Vladimir Valencia Oren Robles (3B) 4–5 0.00
B 17 Dixon Ibarra Wesly Otamendi (3B) 4–6 0.00
B 17 Dixon Ibarra Sebastián Jimenez (2B) 4–7 0.00
B 22 Oren Robles Oren Robles (HR) 4–8 0.00
B 22 Wesly Otamendi Oren Robles (3B) 4–9 0.00
B 22 Wesly Otamendi Ahkhari Goss (1B) 4–10 0.00
B 22 Wesly Otamendi Wesly Otamendi (HR) 4–11 0.00
B 22 Thai-Son Dowell Wesly Otamendi (3B) 4–12 0.00
B 22 Thai-Son Dowell Sebastián Jimenez (2B) 4–13 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.56
Peak faced 0.67
27 outs left 0.56
18 outs left 0.50
9 outs left 0.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kuvvatov Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 341' · CF 409' · RF 308' · 12' wall). Center-Field Triangle.
Guardians — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 2 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
341' 409' 308' Kemari Granberry — double · EV 87 mph · LA +28° · 254 ft Anthony Brymer — double · EV 113 mph · LA +17° · 284 ft Aleksandar Cosper — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA -28° · 82 ft Amir Anwunah — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +35° · 322 ft Gardnar Lue — single · EV 100 mph · LA -5° · 95 ft Doug Bannatyne — fielders_choice · EV 57 mph · LA -20° · 54 ft Benoit Mayotte — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 88 ft Boris Carmona — double_play · EV 93 mph · LA +9° · 110 ft Anthony Brymer — line_out · EV 87 mph · LA +10° · 108 ft Boris Carmona — double · EV 88 mph · LA +15° · 157 ft Amir Anwunah — single · EV 96 mph · LA -20° · 92 ft Sekou Cabrera — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +6° · 84 ft Sekou Cabrera — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +8° · 87 ft
Rockies — Batted Balls
25 BIP· 5 1B · 4 XBH · 2 HR
341' 409' 308' Markeylin Martinho — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA +8° · 94 ft Reed Poling — single · EV 95 mph · LA +21° · 237 ft Allen Alderman — ground_out · EV 68 mph · LA -3° · 64 ft Dixon Ibarra — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -11° · 73 ft Aníbal Mondragón — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA -9° · 60 ft Mario Porteño — double · EV 106 mph · LA +14° · 209 ft Ahkhari Goss — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft Tae-jun Oh — double · EV 103 mph · LA +18° · 245 ft Thai-Son Dowell — infield_single · EV 81 mph · LA +9° · 80 ft Tavierre Farquhar — single · EV 81 mph · LA +15° · 129 ft Vladimir Valencia — infield_single · EV 73 mph · LA +10° · 71 ft Oren Robles — hr · EV 106 mph · LA +49° · 448 ft Wesly Otamendi — triple · EV 103 mph · LA +10° · 146 ft Mario Porteño — single · EV 100 mph · LA +8° · 95 ft Allen Alderman — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA -10° · 66 ft Reed Poling — fielders_choice · EV 64 mph · LA -5° · 61 ft Markeylin Martinho — fielders_choice · EV 87 mph · LA +6° · 82 ft Tae-jun Oh — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +47° · 235 ft Dixon Ibarra — ground_out · EV 67 mph · LA -7° · 64 ft Thai-Son Dowell — double · EV 84 mph · LA +36° · 267 ft Ahkhari Goss — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +14° · 143 ft Allen Alderman — double_play · EV 73 mph · LA +8° · 70 ft Wesly Otamendi — hr · EV 89 mph · LA +45° · 314 ft Aníbal Mondragón — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +0° · 81 ft Allen Alderman — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +9° · 102 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Guardians
36% deserve-to-win  ·  6.9 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -2.9 vs expected
contact: 8.2 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (-0.2 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Kemari Granberry 87 / +28° Center Double 0.4 → 2 +1.62
Boris Carmona 88 / +15° Oppo Double 0.8 → 2 +1.19
Amir Anwunah 92 / +35° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.94
Boris Carmona 93 / +9° Center Double Play 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Sekou Cabrera 88 / +8° Oppo Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Rockies
64% deserve-to-win  ·  9.2 expected runs
actual 13 runs  ·  +3.8 vs expected
contact: 13.8 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 22.0 (+8.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Oren Robles 106 / +49° Pull Home Run 1.0 → 4 +3.00
Wesly Otamendi 89 / +45° Oppo Home Run 1.2 → 4 +2.82
Wesly Otamendi 103 / +10° Oppo Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.75
Thai-Son Dowell 84 / +36° Center Double 0.4 → 2 +1.56
Ahkhari Goss 88 / +14° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
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