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Athletics 2, Beavers 2  (4 SI)                              2026-08-11 · #1348
at Abdurakhmanov Yards
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                        1      S    R    H    E
Portland                2      0    2    4    2
Oakland                 2      0    2    4    0

BEAVERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Tessema     2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Turenne     lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Hydrick     c  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Harper  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Guerra      ss ......    5   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.200
Aktaş       3b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   1  0.000
Briaud      cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  b-Vahaly  ph ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Holzworth   1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Fuenzal ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Okey        rf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
Lindsay     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  0.000
  d-Sabella pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  e-Clement ph ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  f-Zamora  pr ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
  g-Vidal   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  h-Schilli ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  i-Smith   pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Redmayne    j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Velazquez   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  34   2   4   2   0   0   2   8  17   0   2  0.118
  2B: Vahaly (15), Zamora (2).
  CS: Holzworth (1), Okey (7).
  E: Vahaly 2 (7).
  HBP: Briaud (2), Schillig (1).
  a-Walked for Hydrick in the 6th.
  b-Batted for Briaud in the 4th.
  c-Batted for Holzworth in the 3rd.
  d-Ran in the 5th.
  e-Batted in the 6th.
  f-Ran in the 6th.
  g-Batted in the 7th.
  h-Batted for Sabella in the 7th.
  i-Ran in the 7th.

ATHLETICS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fehr        cf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Caspersen   c  ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
DeLong      lf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
Crutchfield 2b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.250
Mascherano  1b ......    5   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Korda       rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Sawchuk ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Leat        3b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Viscarr ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Sutton      ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Wiesner pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Curran      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Sinclai ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Diémé   ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Noel    pr ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  g-Zago    ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Weeks   pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Taygan      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ghannam     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  41   2   4   0   0   0   1   3  14   0   0  0.098
  CS: Crutchfield (3), Noel (5).
  a-Batted for Korda in the 8th.
  b-Batted for Leat in the 3rd.
  c-Ran for Sutton in the 3rd.
  d-Grounded out for Curran in the 3rd.
  e-Batted in the 3rd.
  f-Ran for Sinclair in the 3rd.
  g-Batted in the 8th.
  h-Ran in the 7th.

BEAVERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Lindsay .............    43   39 144%    4    2    2    3   14    0  175    -

ATHLETICS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Curran ..............    39   33 122%    4    2    2    8   14    0  144    -
Appiah ..............     5    6  22%    0    0    0    0    3    0   19  2-0

BEAVERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-39)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Lindsay (Outs 1-39)
CATCHER (C)       | Hydrick (Outs 1-39)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Holzworth (Outs 1-39)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Tessema (Outs 1-39)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Aktaş (Outs 1-39)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Guerra (Outs 1-39)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Turenne (Outs 1-39)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Briaud (Outs 1-39)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Okey (Outs 1-39)

ATHLETICS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-39)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Curran (Outs 1-33) → Appiah (Outs 34-39)
CATCHER (C)       | Caspersen (Outs 1-39)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Mascherano (Outs 1-39)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Crutchfield (Outs 1-39)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Leat (Outs 1-39)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Sutton (Outs 1-39)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | DeLong (Outs 1-39)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Fehr (Outs 1-39)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Korda (Outs 1-39)

  Batting order: Athletics (home) batted first; Beavers batted second.
  Super-innings: 4.
  First pitch 6:30 PM PT. Weather: 56°F · Wind in · Clear · Humid. seed 567235.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.33    Peak faced 0.75
    27 outs left: 0.33
    18 outs left: 0.50
     9 outs left: 0.67
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 8 Rick Taygan Martin Leat (3B) 0–1 —
B 8 Rick Taygan Zane Wiesner (3B) 0–2 —
T 6 Armel Lindsay Holcombe Hydrick (3B) 1–2 0.29
T 20 Francisco Vahaly Ricki Smith (3B) 2–2 0.43
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.33
Peak faced 0.75
27 outs left 0.33
18 outs left 0.50
9 outs left 0.67
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Abdurakhmanov Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 350' · CF 450' · RF 346' · 13' wall). Cavernous.
Death Valley
Beavers — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 2 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
350' 450' 346' Dawood Aktaş — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -19° · 72 ft Sydney Redmayne — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -16° · 72 ft Val Clement — line_out · EV 68 mph · LA +12° · 76 ft Ricki Smith — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +20° · 154 ft Francisco Vahaly — ground_out · EV 68 mph · LA -21° · 64 ft Ludlow Schillig — fly_out · EV 97 mph · LA +54° · 361 ft Donis Zamora — double · EV 96 mph · LA +44° · 371 ft Ricki Smith — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Yadier Guerra — line_out · EV 83 mph · LA +15° · 139 ft Francisco Vahaly — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Val Clement — single · EV 104 mph · LA -12° · 99 ft Yadier Guerra — single · EV 84 mph · LA -3° · 79 ft Francisco Vahaly — double · EV 95 mph · LA +39° · 354 ft Yadier Guerra — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -7° · 84 ft
Athletics — Batted Balls
23 BIP· 4 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
350' 450' 346' Hal Fehr — line_out · EV 53 mph · LA +18° · 65 ft Val Caspersen — ground_out · EV 63 mph · LA -5° · 60 ft Martin Leat — error · EV 76 mph · LA -13° · 72 ft Cannon Sinclair — error · EV 76 mph · LA +1° · 72 ft Rick Taygan — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +30° · 292 ft Tobias DeLong — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 184 ft Chet Noel — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA -12° · 80 ft Alex Zago — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +41° · 243 ft Chad Weeks — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -6° · 74 ft Marcos Ghannam — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA -24° · 61 ft Val Caspersen — single · EV 62 mph · LA +11° · 60 ft Hal Fehr — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -20° · 72 ft Mathis Diémé — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -1° · 77 ft Emmett Crutchfield — single · EV 75 mph · LA +9° · 70 ft Ahmad Sawchuk — fly_out · EV 73 mph · LA +42° · 211 ft Mauro Mascherano — ground_out · EV 60 mph · LA -7° · 57 ft Mathis Diémé — error · EV 84 mph · LA +14° · 134 ft Emmett Crutchfield — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +22° · 172 ft Tobias DeLong — single · EV 87 mph · LA +22° · 212 ft Chet Noel — infield_single · EV 60 mph · LA -14° · 57 ft Mauro Mascherano — ground_out · EV 60 mph · LA -10° · 57 ft Hal Fehr — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA -24° · 81 ft Mauro Mascherano — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +2° · 49 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Beavers
87% deserve-to-win  ·  7.1 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -5.1 vs expected
contact: 7.7 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (-1.7 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Yadier Guerra 84 / -3° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.68
Val Clement 104 / -12° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.65
Ludlow Schillig 97 / +54° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.62
Yadier Guerra 83 / +15° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.58
Francisco Vahaly 95 / +39° Center Double 1.5 → 2 +0.55
Athletics
13% deserve-to-win  ·  2.7 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -0.7 vs expected
contact: 6.7 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-2.7 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Chet Noel 60 / -14° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Rick Taygan 92 / +30° Oppo Out 0.7 → 0 -0.73
Val Caspersen 62 / +11° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.67
Mathis Diémé 84 / +14° Oppo Reached on Error 0.6 → 0 -0.58
Emmett Crutchfield 78 / +22° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
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