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Braves 23, Dodgers 6                                        2026-08-12 · #1350
at The Citadel
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                        1    R    H    E
Los Angeles             6    6    9    0
Atlanta                23   23   23    0

DODGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Daniels     c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Boyajya ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Eggleston   3b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
Murray      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Guarner ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Martin      lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Maier       rf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ochoa       1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  c-Lepchen pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Swanson     cf ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   3   2   0   0   0  0.500
Roby        ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Hamm        p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Gilbert pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  e-Chang   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Richard pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  g-Gleason ph ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  h-Querrey pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  29   6   9   1   0   0   6   6   7   0   0  0.310
  2B: Swanson (11).
  GIDP: Eggleston (2), Chang (2), Maier (1), Ochoa (7), Roby (2).
  a-Batted for Daniels in the 4th.
  b-Batted for Murray in the 4th.
  c-Ran for Ochoa in the 9th.
  d-Ran for Hamm in the 3rd.
  e-Batted for Gilbert in the 7th.
  f-Ran for Boyajyan in the 8th.
  g-Batted in the 6th.
  h-Ran in the 9th.

BRAVES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Chu         ss ......    4   3   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Ju          p  ......    3   3   3   3   0   0   3   1   0   1   1  1.000
Kalogeropou lf ......    5   2   4   0   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.800
Spencer     rf ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
Lamar       2b ......    6   4   3   1   0   0   3   0   2   0   0  0.500
Bray        cf ......    6   2   4   2   0   0   4   0   1   0   0  0.667
Sauerbrunn  3b ......    5   3   3   1   0   0   3   1   1   0   0  0.600
Powlus      1b ......    4   3   1   1   0   0   1   2   2   0   0  0.250
Ramon-Edwar c  ......    4   1   1   0   1   0   1   2   1   0   0  0.250
  a-Alvelo  ph ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.250
Totals                  42  23  23  10   1   0  23   7   7   1   1  0.548
  2B: Chu (38), Ju 3 (3), Lamar (26), Bray 2 (22), Sauerbrunn (13), Powlus (3), Alvelo (21).
  3B: Ramon-Edwards (1).
  CS: Kalogeropoulos (10).
  HBP: Chu (3).
  a-Batted in the 4th.

DODGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Hamm ................     4    0   0%    3    3    3    1    0    0   15    -
Llorente ............     8    6  22%    4    4    4    2    1    0   25  2-2
Sanchez (L, 3-2) ....    15    9  33%    5    6    6    3    4    0   55  1-1
Byrd ................     7    3  11%    4    4    4    0    1    0   19  1-1
Villarreal ..........     6    2   7%    4    4    4    0    0    0   22  1-1
Heinrich ............     9    7  26%    2    2    2    1    1    0   34  1-0

BRAVES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ju (W, 1-1) .........    16   12  44%    6    1    1    1    2    0   59    -
Buford ..............    13   12  44%    2    2    2    2    3    0   48  3-1
Morejón .............     6    3  11%    1    3    3    3    2    0   24  2-1

DODGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Llorente (Outs 1-6) → Sanchez (Outs 7-15) → Byrd (Outs 16-18) → Villarreal (Outs 19-20) → Heinrich (Outs 21-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Daniels (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Ochoa (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Murray (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Eggleston (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Roby (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Martin (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Swanson (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Maier (Outs 1-27)

BRAVES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Ju (Outs 1-12) → Buford (Outs 13-24) → Morejón (Outs 25-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Ramon-Edwards (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Powlus (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Lamar (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Sauerbrunn (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Chu (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Kalogeropoulos (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Bray (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Spencer (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Braves (home) batted first; Dodgers batted second.
  First pitch 8:10 PM CT. Weather: 79°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 893232.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 2.67    Peak faced 27.00
    27 outs left: 2.67
    18 outs left: 4.00
     9 outs left: 7.33
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 0 Zack Spencer Todd Chu (3B) 0–1 —
B 0 Zack Spencer Hyun-woo Ju (2B) 0–2 —
B 0 Dennis Lamar Kreigh Kalogeropoulos (2B) 0–3 —
B 0 Hugo Bray Zack Spencer (2B) 0–4 —
B 0 Akili Sauerbrunn Dennis Lamar (2B) 0–5 —
B 4 Kreigh Kalogeropoulos Akili Sauerbrunn (3B) 0–6 —
B 6 Dennis Lamar Zack Spencer (1B) 0–7 —
B 7 Akili Sauerbrunn Dennis Lamar (3B) 0–8 —
B 10 Hyun-woo Ju Akili Sauerbrunn (1B) 0–9 —
B 10 Kreigh Kalogeropoulos Hyun-woo Ju (2B) 0–10 —
B 14 Todd Chu Akili Sauerbrunn (3B) 0–11 —
B 15 Hyun-woo Ju Beals Powlus (3B) 0–12 —
B 15 Hyun-woo Ju Todd Chu (1B) 0–13 —
B 15 Kreigh Kalogeropoulos Hyun-woo Ju (2B) 0–14 —
B 16 Dennis Lamar Kreigh Kalogeropoulos (2B) 0–15 —
B 16 Hugo Bray Dennis Lamar (1B) 0–16 —
B 18 Sean Ramon-Edwards Hugo Bray (2B) 0–17 —
B 19 Beals Powlus Sean Ramon-Edwards (3B) 0–18 —
B 19 Akili Sauerbrunn Beals Powlus (2B) 0–19 —
B 20 Mirko Alvelo Hugo Bray (2B) 0–20 —
B 20 Mirko Alvelo Dennis Lamar (1B) 0–21 —
B 25 Hugo Bray Todd Chu (3B) 0–22 —
B 25 Hugo Bray Beals Powlus (2B) 0–23 —
T 11 Colton Swanson Dean Gilbert (3B) 1–23 4.31
T 15 Elliott Gleason Andy Lepchenko (3B) 2–23 5.50
T 23 Elliott Gleason Colton Swanson (3B) 3–23 15.75
T 25 Wyatt Guarnera Colton Swanson (3B) 4–23 30.00
T 25 Colton Swanson Daylan Querrey (3B) 5–23 28.50
T 25 Colton Swanson Lenny Eggleston (2B) 6–23 27.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 2.67
Peak faced 27.00
27 outs left 2.67
18 outs left 4.00
9 outs left 7.33
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Citadel's actual outfield dimensions (LF 368' · CF 355' · RF 345' · 10' wall). The Crescent — Inverted.
Crescent Grandstand
Dodgers — Batted Balls
22 BIP· 8 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
368' 355' 345' Thomas Martin — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 159 ft Quentin Maier — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft Lenny Eggleston — single · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft Bautista Ochoa — double_play · EV 56 mph · LA -15° · 53 ft Colton Swanson — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +1° · 72 ft Shawn Daniels — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -9° · 49 ft Seymour Hamm — single · EV 92 mph · LA -4° · 87 ft Wyatt Guarnera — single · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 157 ft Jed Boyajyan — single · EV 76 mph · LA -7° · 72 ft Chien-hao Chang — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 138 ft Elliott Gleason — single · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 131 ft Andy Lepchenko — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -12° · 72 ft Thomas Martin — single · EV 77 mph · LA -1° · 73 ft Quentin Maier — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 113 ft Lenny Eggleston — double_play · EV 92 mph · LA -4° · 87 ft Bautista Ochoa — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 126 ft Eugene Roby — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 120 ft Elliott Gleason — single · EV 52 mph · LA +2° · 49 ft Colton Swanson — double · EV 92 mph · LA +32° · 303 ft Quentin Maier — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -9° · 49 ft Lenny Eggleston — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft Eugene Roby — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft
Braves — Batted Balls
34 BIP· 11 1B · 11 XBH · 0 HR
368' 355' 345' Todd Chu — single · EV 100 mph · LA +43° · 399 ft Zack Spencer — single · EV 112 mph · LA +26° · 401 ft Dennis Lamar — single · EV 100 mph · LA +34° · 370 ft Hugo Bray — single · EV 97 mph · LA +18° · 216 ft Akili Sauerbrunn — double · EV 93 mph · LA +13° · 148 ft Hyun-woo Ju — double · EV 95 mph · LA +20° · 229 ft Mirko Alvelo — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 130 ft Todd Chu — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +36° · 380 ft Kreigh Kalogeropoulos — single · EV 94 mph · LA +14° · 171 ft Dennis Lamar — double · EV 100 mph · LA +35° · 376 ft Hugo Bray — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -3° · 83 ft Akili Sauerbrunn — single · EV 97 mph · LA +16° · 196 ft Hyun-woo Ju — double · EV 99 mph · LA +20° · 248 ft Mirko Alvelo — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA -9° · 89 ft Sean Ramon-Edwards — triple · EV 112 mph · LA +18° · 297 ft Hyun-woo Ju — double · EV 119 mph · LA +20° · 366 ft Todd Chu — fly_out · EV 98 mph · LA +35° · 357 ft Kreigh Kalogeropoulos — single · EV 90 mph · LA +2° · 86 ft Sean Ramon-Edwards — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +8° · 95 ft Mirko Alvelo — double · EV 110 mph · LA +14° · 230 ft Hyun-woo Ju — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -11° · 84 ft Kreigh Kalogeropoulos — single · EV 93 mph · LA -6° · 88 ft Dennis Lamar — single · EV 100 mph · LA +24° · 299 ft Hugo Bray — double · EV 100 mph · LA +22° · 273 ft Beals Powlus — double · EV 100 mph · LA +38° · 389 ft Akili Sauerbrunn — single · EV 98 mph · LA -10° · 93 ft Todd Chu — double · EV 100 mph · LA +33° · 365 ft Sean Ramon-Edwards — line_out · EV 93 mph · LA +18° · 209 ft Mirko Alvelo — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +27° · 229 ft Hugo Bray — single · EV 100 mph · LA -8° · 95 ft Dennis Lamar — fielders_choice · EV 100 mph · LA +2° · 95 ft Kreigh Kalogeropoulos — ground_out · EV 97 mph · LA +9° · 113 ft Akili Sauerbrunn — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA -12° · 66 ft Hugo Bray — double · EV 119 mph · LA +12° · 239 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Dodgers
7% deserve-to-win  ·  6.2 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -0.2 vs expected
contact: 7.7 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (+2.3 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Colton Swanson 92 / +32° Oppo Double 0.7 → 2 +1.27
Elliott Gleason 52 / +2° Oppo Single 0.1 → 1 +0.90
Thomas Martin 77 / -1° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Jed Boyajyan 76 / -7° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Seymour Hamm 92 / -4° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
Braves
93% deserve-to-win  ·  23.1 expected runs
actual 23 runs  ·  -0.1 vs expected
contact: 39.4 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 33.0 (-6.4 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Zack Spencer 112 / +26° Pull Single 2.9 → 1 -1.93
Todd Chu 100 / +36° Center Out 1.9 → 0 -1.93
Todd Chu 100 / +43° Oppo Single 2.6 → 1 -1.59
Todd Chu 98 / +35° Oppo Out 1.5 → 0 -1.45
Sean Ramon-Edwards 112 / +18° Pull Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.29
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