==============================================================================
Royals 4, Cubs 4  (4 SI)                                    2026-08-12 · #1353
at Sokk Bowl
==============================================================================

                        1      S    R    H    E
Chicago                 4      0    4    6    2
Kansas City             4      0    4    8    0

CUBS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Shurtleff   lf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.250
Segovia     rf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.250
Onyiuke     1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Lamas   ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Santana     2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Kurth   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Solis       ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   1  0.500
Heinze      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Sapriss ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
May         cf ......    5   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Casey       3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Lamas   pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Schnugg     p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  1.000
  e-Hollowe pr ......    1   2   1   0   1   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Palermo pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Nealon  ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
  h-O'Flahe ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  i-Sarkiss ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Verhoeven   j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Conn        j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Schellenger j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  40   4   6   0   1   0   4   2  11   0   2  0.150
  3B: Hollowell (1).
  SB: Shurtleff (3).
  CS: Shurtleff (3), Solis (3), Lamas (13).
  E: Palermo (4), Schellenger (3).
  Squeeze: Casey.
  a-Singled for Onyiuke in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Santana in the 5th.
  c-Batted for Heinze in the 9th.
  d-Ran for Casey in the 3rd.
  e-Ran for Schnugg in the 4th.
  f-Ran for Lamas in the 5th.
  g-Batted for Lamas in the 6th.
  h-Batted for Kurth in the 8th.
  i-Batted in the 10th.

ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Sabella     ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Tanguilig   lf ......    5   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.200
Ekic        rf ......    5   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.200
Rosales     3b ......    5   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Hackett     p  ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.250
Talavera    cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Fuenzal ph ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Linnehan    c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Monson      2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Fontes      1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Espinoz pr ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Inglis      ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
  c-Bortolo ph ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Farley  ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Press       j  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  43   4   8   2   0   0   4   5   8   0   0  0.186
  2B: Tanguilig (15), Press (7).
  SB: Hackett (1), Inglis 2 (5).
  CS: Farley (6).
  HBP: Ekic (6), Fontes (2).
  GIDP: Rosales (9).
  a-Batted for Talavera in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Fontes in the 7th.
  c-Batted for Press in the 6th.
  d-Batted in the 7th.

CUBS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Schnugg .............    43   33 122%    6    4    4    5    7    0  136    -
Espinosa ............     7    6  22%    2    0    0    0    1    0   25  1-0

ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Hackett .............    40   38 141%    5    4    4    2   11    0  135    -
Branstine ...........     0    1   4%    0    0    0    0    0    0    2  1-0

CUBS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-39)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Schnugg (Outs 1-33) → Espinosa (Outs 34-39)
CATCHER (C)       | Heinze (Outs 1-39)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Onyiuke (Outs 1-39)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Santana (Outs 1-39)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Casey (Outs 1-39)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Solis (Outs 1-39)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Shurtleff (Outs 1-39)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | May (Outs 1-39)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Segovia (Outs 1-39)

ROYALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-39)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Hackett (Outs 1-38) → Branstine (Outs 39-39)
CATCHER (C)       | Linnehan (Outs 1-39)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Fontes (Outs 1-39)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Monson (Outs 1-39)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rosales (Outs 1-39)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Inglis (Outs 1-39)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Tanguilig (Outs 1-39)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Talavera (Outs 1-39)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Ekic (Outs 1-39)

  Batting order: Royals (home) batted second; Cubs batted first.
  Super-innings: 4.
  First pitch 8:10 PM CT. Weather: 94°F · Wind calm · Clear · Heavy rain · Humid. seed 716838.
  Powerplays: Royals — Fuenzalida NF (O13)
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.56    Peak faced 1.50
    27 outs left: 0.56
    18 outs left: 0.83
     9 outs left: 1.33
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 13 Mikel Lamas Maurice Hollowell (2B) 1–0 —
T 17 Maurice Hollowell Harold Palermo (3B) 2–0 —
T 18 Phillip Nealon Maurice Hollowell (3B) 3–0 —
T 24 Harold Palermo Ryan Schellenger (3B) 4–0 —
B 17 Tripp Ekic Chico Press (3B) 4–1 1.20
B 19 Jhonder Fuenzalida Connor Inglis (3B) 4–2 1.12
B 21 Landon Tanguilig Mario Espinoza (3B) 4–3 1.00
B 21 Landon Tanguilig Barry Bortolotti (2B) 4–4 0.50
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.56
Peak faced 1.50
27 outs left 0.56
18 outs left 0.83
9 outs left 1.33
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Sokk Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 278' · CF 521' · RF 288' · 32' wall). Bathtub.
Wire Basket
Cubs — Batted Balls
26 BIP· 4 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' Teófilo Segovia — single · EV 93 mph · LA -11° · 88 ft Omni Onyiuke — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +6° · 95 ft Jaume Santana — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA -4° · 85 ft Rill Schnugg — single · EV 88 mph · LA +10° · 105 ft Víctor Lamas — fly_out · EV 102 mph · LA +33° · 379 ft Mikel Lamas — single · EV 88 mph · LA -6° · 84 ft Brian Verhoeven — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA -15° · 81 ft Maurice Hollowell — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +19° · 242 ft Phillip Nealon — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -4° · 77 ft Ryan Schellenger — fielders_choice · EV 73 mph · LA -6° · 70 ft Kristian O'Flaherty — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +30° · 350 ft Harold Palermo — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA -4° · 80 ft Samuel Sarkissian — line_out · EV 94 mph · LA +13° · 160 ft Ivan Saprissa — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +33° · 212 ft Erick May — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +9° · 128 ft Teófilo Segovia — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -1° · 84 ft Kristian O'Flaherty — error · EV 83 mph · LA -2° · 79 ft Harold Palermo — ground_out · EV 63 mph · LA -1° · 59 ft Samuel Sarkissian — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA +7° · 53 ft Ivan Saprissa — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +30° · 200 ft Erick May — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 207 ft Tomas Heinze — fielders_choice · EV 73 mph · LA -3° · 69 ft Teófilo Segovia — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -1° · 95 ft Bryce Shurtleff — single · EV 100 mph · LA -22° · 95 ft Teófilo Segovia — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Erick May — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 156 ft
Royals — Batted Balls
30 BIP· 6 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' Finn Hackett — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +26° · 250 ft Efraín Sabella — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -0° · 83 ft Luis Rosales — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +1° · 72 ft Kael Monson — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -14° · 74 ft Tripp Ekic — fly_out · EV 105 mph · LA +38° · 431 ft Yamil Fontes — fly_out · EV 96 mph · LA +35° · 347 ft Chico Press — fielders_choice · EV 78 mph · LA +10° · 81 ft Connor Inglis — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 155 ft Yamil Fontes — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +34° · 313 ft Kael Monson — single · EV 84 mph · LA +21° · 190 ft Rich Linnehan — fly_out · EV 95 mph · LA +30° · 313 ft Luis Rosales — double_play · EV 61 mph · LA -10° · 58 ft Landon Tanguilig — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +30° · 253 ft Efraín Sabella — error · EV 97 mph · LA +12° · 157 ft Finn Hackett — fly_out · EV 75 mph · LA +27° · 180 ft Jhonder Fuenzalida — error · EV 80 mph · LA -3° · 76 ft Randy Farley — single · EV 88 mph · LA -1° · 84 ft Mario Espinoza — single · EV 71 mph · LA +13° · 85 ft Connor Inglis — single · EV 93 mph · LA -6° · 88 ft Tripp Ekic — infield_single · EV 69 mph · LA +8° · 65 ft Luis Rosales — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 113 ft Landon Tanguilig — double · EV 102 mph · LA +37° · 404 ft Finn Hackett — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft Chico Press — double · EV 94 mph · LA +21° · 238 ft Jhonder Fuenzalida — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +31° · 308 ft Tripp Ekic — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +41° · 228 ft Luis Rosales — line_out · EV 67 mph · LA +13° · 78 ft Finn Hackett — single · EV 92 mph · LA +11° · 122 ft Landon Tanguilig — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -7° · 95 ft Tripp Ekic — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +33° · 222 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Cubs
32% deserve-to-win  ·  7.1 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -3.1 vs expected
contact: 15.0 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-8.0 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 3 CS (-1.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Víctor Lamas 102 / +33° Center Out 1.9 → 0 -1.93
Maurice Hollowell 100 / +19° Pull Triple 1.4 → 3 +1.58
Kristian O'Flaherty 100 / +30° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.33
Erick May 100 / +9° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.25
Erick May 100 / +16° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.25
Royals
68% deserve-to-win  ·  10.3 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -6.3 vs expected
contact: 18.9 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (-8.9 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tripp Ekic 105 / +38° Center Out 2.9 → 0 -2.88
Yamil Fontes 96 / +35° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.45
Chico Press 94 / +21° Oppo Double 0.9 → 2 +1.11
Efraín Sabella 97 / +12° Center Reached on Error 1.1 → 0 -1.10
Yamil Fontes 92 / +34° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.94
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