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Rockies 22, Guardians 7                                     2026-08-12 · #1354
at Kuvvatov Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Cleveland               7    7    3    0
Colorado               22   22   23    1

GUARDIANS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Anwunah     3b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Granberry   2b ......    2   1   1   0   1   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Carmona     lf ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.250
González    rf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   2   0   0  0.000
Cabrera     1b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Brymer      cf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   2   1   2   0   0  0.333
Velez       c  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Céspedes    ss ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Galíndez    p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Batt    ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  25   7   3   2   1   0   7   5  12   0   0  0.120
  2B: Carmona (5), Brymer (12).
  3B: Granberry (1).
  CS: González (10).
  HBP: Anwunah (2), Granberry (1), Velez (5).
  a-Struck out in the 6th.

ROCKIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Goss        lf ......    5   3   4   2   0   1   3   1   0   0   0  0.800
Poling      1b ......    2   2   3   1   0   0   2   0   0   1   0  1.500
Porteño     rf ......    5   4   3   0   0   2   6   0   1   0   0  0.600
Ruidíaz     2b ......    4   5   2   0   0   1   2   1   1   0   0  0.500
Mondragón   c  ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.667
Kaiuway     3b ......    4   4   4   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Alderman    cf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.250
Denson      p  ......    3   1   2   0   1   0   2   0   1   0   2  0.667
Martinho    ss ......    5   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.400
  a-Conover ph ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  39  22  23   5   1   4  22   4   5   1   2  0.590
  2B: Goss 2 (40), Poling (15), Mondragón (10), Martinho (55).
  3B: Denson (1).
  HR: Goss (17), off Chadwick; Porteño 2 (9), off Galíndez, Chadwick; Ruidíaz (5), off Fazio.
  SB: Kaiuway 2 (6).
  CS: Martinho (3).
  E: Kaiuway (7).
  HBP: Mondragón 2 (7).
  GIDP: Alderman (11).
  a-Batted in the 5th.

GUARDIANS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Galíndez ............    14    6   47  3.4    9    7    6    2    3    1    -
Chadwick (L, 1-3) ...    13    8   46  3.5    6    8    7    2    1    2  1-1
Fazio ...............    14    9   41  2.9    7    7    6    0    0    1  1-0
Ardón ...............     4    4   19  4.8    1    0    0    0    1    0  1-0

ROCKIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Denson (W, 16-6) ....    14   12   51  3.6    0    1    1    2    4    0    -
Schramm .............    15    8   58  3.9    3    6    5    3    5    0  1-0
Malin (F, 33) .......     5    7   23  4.6    0    0    0    0    4    0  2-0

GUARDIANS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Galíndez (Outs 1-6) → Chadwick (Outs 7-14) → Fazio (Outs 15-23) → Ardón (Outs 24-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Velez (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Cabrera (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Granberry (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Anwunah (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Céspedes (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Carmona (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Brymer (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | González (Outs 1-27)

ROCKIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Denson (Outs 1-12) → Schramm (Outs 13-20) → Malin (Outs 21-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Mondragón (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Poling (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Ruidíaz (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Kaiuway (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Martinho (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Goss (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Alderman (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Porteño (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Rockies (home) batted first; Guardians batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM MT. Weather: 98°F · Wind cross · Overcast. seed 162923.
  Walk-Back runs: off Galíndez 1, off Chadwick 1, off Fazio 1.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 2.56    Peak faced 16.00
    27 outs left: 2.56
    18 outs left: 3.67
     9 outs left: 6.67
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 0 Reed Poling Ahkhari Goss (1B) 0–1 —
B 0 Mario Porteño Reed Poling (2B) 0–2 —
B 0 Mario Porteño Mario Porteño (HR) 0–3 —
B 1 Aníbal Mondragón Mario Porteño (3B) 0–4 —
B 4 Reed Poling Justin Kaiuway (3B) 0–5 —
B 6 Aníbal Mondragón Reed Poling (2B) 0–6 —
B 6 Aníbal Mondragón Marco Ruidíaz (1B) 0–7 —
B 6 Dozie Denson Aníbal Mondragón (3B) 0–8 —
B 7 Markeylin Martinho Justin Kaiuway (3B) 0–9 —
B 13 Mario Porteño Aníbal Mondragón (2B) 0–10 —
B 13 Mario Porteño Marco Ruidíaz (1B) 0–11 —
B 13 Mario Porteño Mario Porteño (HR) 0–12 —
B 14 Ahkhari Goss Mario Porteño (3B) 0–13 —
B 14 Ahkhari Goss Ahkhari Goss (HR) 0–14 —
B 14 Ahkhari Goss Ahkhari Goss (3B) 0–15 —
B 17 Justin Kaiuway Marco Ruidíaz (2B) 0–16 —
B 21 Markeylin Martinho Justin Kaiuway (2B) 0–17 —
B 21 Dozie Denson Markeylin Martinho (2B) 0–18 —
B 21 Allen Alderman Dozie Denson (3B) 0–19 —
B 23 Marco Ruidíaz Justin Kaiuway (1B) 0–20 —
B 23 Marco Ruidíaz Marco Ruidíaz (HR) 0–21 —
B 23 Mario Porteño Marco Ruidíaz (3B) 0–22 —
T 4 Eddie Velez Amir Anwunah (2B) 1–22 2.87
T 18 Anthony Brymer Tayavek Céspedes (3B) 2–22 7.00
T 18 Anthony Brymer Eddie Velez (2B) 3–22 6.67
T 20 Boris Carmona Anthony Brymer (3B) 4–22 8.14
T 20 Kemari Granberry José González (3B) 5–22 7.71
T 20 Kemari Granberry Boris Carmona (2B) 6–22 7.29
T 20 Boris Carmona Kemari Granberry (3B) 7–22 6.86
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 2.56
Peak faced 16.00
27 outs left 2.56
18 outs left 3.67
9 outs left 6.67
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kuvvatov Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 341' · CF 409' · RF 308' · 12' wall). Center-Field Triangle.
Guardians — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 0 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
341' 409' 308' Kemari Granberry — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA +3° · 75 ft Eddie Velez — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +0° · 73 ft Tayavek Céspedes — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA -6° · 94 ft Jovani Galíndez — ground_out · EV 73 mph · LA +8° · 69 ft Boris Carmona — fielders_choice · EV 82 mph · LA -3° · 78 ft Sekou Cabrera — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -8° · 74 ft Eddie Velez — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 73 ft Anthony Brymer — double · EV 105 mph · LA +24° · 331 ft Amir Anwunah — ground_out · EV 68 mph · LA +7° · 65 ft Kemari Granberry — triple · EV 103 mph · LA +12° · 175 ft Boris Carmona — double · EV 104 mph · LA +17° · 236 ft Boris Carmona — error · EV 90 mph · LA +20° · 207 ft Sekou Cabrera — line_out · EV 83 mph · LA +15° · 140 ft
Rockies — Batted Balls
31 BIP· 13 1B · 6 XBH · 4 HR
341' 409' 308' Reed Poling — double · EV 107 mph · LA +24° · 338 ft Mario Porteño — hr · EV 99 mph · LA +38° · 378 ft Aníbal Mondragón — single · EV 88 mph · LA -11° · 84 ft Justin Kaiuway — single · EV 77 mph · LA +20° · 152 ft Dozie Denson — single · EV 85 mph · LA -1° · 81 ft Markeylin Martinho — fly_out · EV 112 mph · LA +14° · 229 ft Ahkhari Goss — infield_single · EV 88 mph · LA +4° · 84 ft Garrett Conover — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +15° · 156 ft Reed Poling — single · EV 76 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft Aníbal Mondragón — double · EV 99 mph · LA +11° · 146 ft Markeylin Martinho — single · EV 100 mph · LA +6° · 95 ft Allen Alderman — double_play · EV 84 mph · LA -5° · 80 ft Justin Kaiuway — single · EV 97 mph · LA -11° · 92 ft Marco Ruidíaz — single · EV 82 mph · LA +14° · 129 ft Ahkhari Goss — hr · EV 110 mph · LA +38° · 470 ft Garrett Conover — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +9° · 72 ft Reed Poling — single · EV 106 mph · LA +4° · 100 ft Mario Porteño — hr · EV 103 mph · LA +48° · 420 ft Ahkhari Goss — double · EV 88 mph · LA +36° · 295 ft Marco Ruidíaz — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -28° · 72 ft Justin Kaiuway — single · EV 90 mph · LA +24° · 246 ft Allen Alderman — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +28° · 248 ft Dozie Denson — triple · EV 106 mph · LA +20° · 291 ft Aníbal Mondragón — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +28° · 296 ft Allen Alderman — single · EV 93 mph · LA +18° · 198 ft Justin Kaiuway — single · EV 88 mph · LA -8° · 84 ft Marco Ruidíaz — hr · EV 102 mph · LA +35° · 386 ft Ahkhari Goss — fly_out · EV 115 mph · LA +24° · 397 ft Markeylin Martinho — double · EV 119 mph · LA +16° · 297 ft Mario Porteño — single · EV 108 mph · LA +11° · 168 ft Ahkhari Goss — double · EV 113 mph · LA +14° · 230 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Guardians
11% deserve-to-win  ·  6.5 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +0.5 vs expected
contact: 8.3 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-1.3 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Kemari Granberry 103 / +12° Oppo Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.75
Boris Carmona 90 / +20° Center Reached on Error 0.9 → 0 -0.89
Boris Carmona 104 / +17° Oppo Double 1.4 → 2 +0.58
Sekou Cabrera 83 / +15° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.58
Tayavek Céspedes 99 / -6° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Rockies
89% deserve-to-win  ·  18.3 expected runs
actual 22 runs  ·  +3.7 vs expected
contact: 31.0 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 42.0 (+11.0 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Mario Porteño 103 / +48° Oppo Home Run 0.9 → 4 +3.11
Ahkhari Goss 115 / +24° Center Out 2.9 → 0 -2.93
Mario Porteño 99 / +38° Oppo Home Run 1.5 → 4 +2.55
Marco Ruidíaz 102 / +35° Center Home Run 1.9 → 4 +2.07
Markeylin Martinho 112 / +14° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.52
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