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Stars 9, Astros 3                                           2026-08-13 · #1361
at Neviaser Bowl
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
Houston                 3    3    8    0
Nashville               9    9    9    0

ASTROS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Braun       1b ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Morales ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Moros       cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-O'Conno ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Kingsbury   lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Rivas   ph ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Neely       2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Thom        c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Gómez       ss ......    4   0   2   2   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.500
Takada      3b ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.667
Humphreys   rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Arboled ph ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Basham      p  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Konig   pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Herrera pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Valencia    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  30   3   8   4   0   0   3   2   9   0   0  0.267
  2B: Rivas (25), Gómez 2 (10), Takada (9).
  CS: Herrera (1).
  GIDP: Basham (1).
  a-Singled for Braun in the 3rd.
  b-Batted for Moros in the 4th.
  c-Batted for Kingsbury in the 3rd.
  d-Batted for Humphreys in the 5th.
  e-Ran in the 5th.
  f-Ran for O'Connor in the 6th.

STARS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Karouani    1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   2   2   2   0   0  0.333
Sappington  lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Fusano      c  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Coupe       3b ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   1  0.500
Boattin     rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Caballe pr ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Torrero     ss ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Gayton      cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Gamboa  pr ......    2   3   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Burani      2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.333
Faríñez     p  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   1  0.333
Santiago    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   9   9   1   0   0   7   8   9   0   2  0.321
  2B: Coupe (5).
  SB: Gamboa 2 (11).
  a-Ran for Boattin in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Gayton in the 2nd.

ASTROS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Basham ..............    12    9  33%    4    2    2    1    4    0   50    -
Abrams ..............     5    1   4%    2    3    3    2    0    0   28  1-1
Francavilla (L, 2-3)     16   14  52%    3    4    4    5    2    0   41  2-1
Hammerbeck ..........     3    3  11%    0    0    0    0    3    0   11  1-0

STARS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Faríñez (W, 8-3) ....    15   13  48%    3    1    1    1    4    0   57    -
Zahary ..............    14   12  44%    4    2    1    1    4    0   44  1-1
Valencia ............     3    2   7%    1    0    0    0    1    0    8  1-0

ASTROS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Basham (Outs 1-9) → Abrams (Outs 10-10) → Francavilla (Outs 11-24) → Hammerbeck (Outs 25-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Thom (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Braun (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Neely (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Takada (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Gómez (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Kingsbury (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Moros (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Humphreys (Outs 1-27)

STARS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Faríñez (Outs 1-13) → Zahary (Outs 14-25) → Valencia (Outs 26-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Fusano (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Karouani (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Burani (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Coupe (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Torrero (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Sappington (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Gayton (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Boattin (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Stars (home) batted first; Astros batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM CT. Weather: 92°F · Wind out · Overcast · Light rain · Humid. seed 543115.
  Powerplays: Astros — Herrera NF (O15)
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 1.11    Peak faced 21.00
    27 outs left: 1.11
    18 outs left: 1.50
     9 outs left: 2.67
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 4 Edwin Gayton Khosilot El Karouani (3B) 0–1 —
B 9 Elias Torrero Manuel Gamboa (3B) 0–2 —
B 9 Hady Coupe Elias Torrero (2B) 0–3 —
B 9 Wallace Sappington Tony Caballero (3B) 0–4 —
B 10 Khosilot El Karouani Tracy Fusano (2B) 0–5 —
B 10 Haxzel Faríñez Hady Coupe (3B) 0–6 —
B 17 Khosilot El Karouani Manuel Gamboa (3B) 0–7 —
B 18 Haxzel Faríñez Hady Coupe (3B) 0–8 —
B 22 Tony Caballero Manuel Gamboa (3B) 0–9 —
T 4 Masamichi Takada Brayan Braun (3B) 1–9 1.17
T 13 Masamichi Takada Cedrick Konig (3B) 2–9 1.71
T 20 Mayer Gómez Masamichi Takada (3B) 3–9 3.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 1.11
Peak faced 21.00
27 outs left 1.11
18 outs left 1.50
9 outs left 2.67
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Neviaser Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 279' · CF 373' · RF 278' · 12' wall). The Bandbox.
Astros — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 4 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
279' 373' 278' Mirko Moros — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +6° · 74 ft Mayer Gómez — double · EV 92 mph · LA +29° · 288 ft Masamichi Takada — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +50° · 255 ft Korey Humphreys — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA +3° · 75 ft Jerome Basham — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -15° · 95 ft Scoville Rivas — double · EV 102 mph · LA +11° · 156 ft Jeyland Morales — single · EV 76 mph · LA -0° · 72 ft Dante O'Connor — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA +7° · 93 ft Yasniel Arboleda — ground_out · EV 55 mph · LA +2° · 53 ft Maxi Valencia — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +8° · 87 ft Iapani Thom — ground_out · EV 89 mph · LA +12° · 132 ft Masamichi Takada — double · EV 92 mph · LA +33° · 310 ft Scoville Rivas — error · EV 77 mph · LA -2° · 73 ft Dante O'Connor — single · EV 80 mph · LA +19° · 161 ft Yasniel Arboleda — single · EV 79 mph · LA +15° · 128 ft Iapani Thom — ground_out · EV 68 mph · LA +5° · 64 ft Mayer Gómez — double · EV 82 mph · LA +29° · 228 ft Masamichi Takada — single · EV 84 mph · LA +13° · 121 ft Jerome Basham — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -3° · 72 ft
Stars — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 8 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
279' 373' 278' Wallace Sappington — line_out · EV 84 mph · LA +19° · 176 ft Pepe Boattin — infield_single · EV 70 mph · LA -20° · 67 ft Edwin Gayton — single · EV 80 mph · LA +9° · 78 ft Haxzel Faríñez — single · EV 113 mph · LA +1° · 107 ft Hady Coupe — double · EV 99 mph · LA +12° · 161 ft Khosilot El Karouani — single · EV 82 mph · LA +16° · 139 ft Erwin Santiago — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -23° · 72 ft Tony Caballero — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -9° · 75 ft Haxzel Faríñez — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 197 ft Elias Torrero — single · EV 104 mph · LA +4° · 99 ft Manuel Gamboa — single · EV 92 mph · LA +1° · 87 ft Tony Caballero — single · EV 88 mph · LA -3° · 84 ft Hady Coupe — fielders_choice · EV 88 mph · LA -4° · 84 ft Haxzel Faríñez — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +32° · 229 ft Justo Burani — single · EV 103 mph · LA -5° · 97 ft Tracy Fusano — line_out · EV 86 mph · LA +22° · 203 ft Elias Torrero — ground_out · EV 60 mph · LA -12° · 57 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Astros
14% deserve-to-win  ·  3.5 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -0.5 vs expected
contact: 8.7 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (+3.3 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Mayer Gómez 82 / +29° Oppo Double 0.4 → 2 +1.62
Mayer Gómez 92 / +29° Center Double 0.7 → 2 +1.27
Masamichi Takada 92 / +33° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.06
Iapani Thom 89 / +12° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Jeyland Morales 76 / +0° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Stars
86% deserve-to-win  ·  8.6 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +0.4 vs expected
contact: 8.2 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (+1.8 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Hady Coupe 99 / +12° Pull Double 1.1 → 2 +0.90
Haxzel Faríñez 92 / +18° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.89
Pepe Boattin 70 / -20° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Wallace Sappington 84 / +19° Oppo Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Tony Caballero 88 / -3° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
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