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Giants 8, Brewers 1                                         2026-08-13 · #1362
at Kolenda Field
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                        1    R    H    E
Milwaukee               1    1    5    0
San Francisco           8    8    7    0

BREWERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Trejo       cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  0.000
Williams    rf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Chura       2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Edwards     lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Yani        c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Kaplan      3b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Saravia     ss ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Flores      1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Irving  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Volynets    p  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  b-Mesidor pr ......    1   0   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0  2.000
Totals                  25   1   5   1   0   0   1   1   5   1   1  0.200
  2B: Mesidor (32).
  SB: Kaplan (4), Saravia (3), Mesidor (8).
  HBP: Trejo (3), Irving (2).
  GIDP: Williams (6), Edwards (11), Saravia (5).
  a-Was hit by a pitch for Flores in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Irving in the 6th.

GIANTS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Matos       rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Arbeloa pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Kelley      ss ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Cardozo     1b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Hoffken     3b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.250
Braxton     lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  b-Mantía  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
Leininger   2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Figuero pr ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Marte       cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Jimenez pr ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
McNeal      c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Guerrant    p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Rosado  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  f-Reyes   ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
  g-Anger   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  h-Gallowa ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Capdevila   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Lacasse     j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Sundling    j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  30   8   7   0   0   0   6   7  10   0   0  0.233

  a-Ran for Matos in the 9th.
  b-Walked for Braxton in the 9th.
  c-Ran for Leininger in the 2nd.
  d-Ran for Marte in the 3rd.
  e-Ran for Guerrant in the 2nd.
  f-Walked for Rosado in the 2nd.
  g-Ran for Reyes in the 5th.
  h-Struck out for Anger in the 5th.

BREWERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Volynets (L, 2-2) ...    20   15  56%    3    4    4    4    7    0   73    -
Méndez-Valdez .......    15   11  41%    2    3    3    3    3    0   60  2-1
Freeman .............     1    1   4%    1    1    1    0    0    0    3  3-1

GIANTS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Guerrant (W, 10-9) ..    26   27 100%    3    1    1    1    5    0  109    -

BREWERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Volynets (Outs 1-15) → Méndez-Valdez (Outs 16-26) → Freeman (Outs 27-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Yani (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Flores (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Chura (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Kaplan (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Saravia (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Edwards (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Trejo (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Williams (Outs 1-27)

GIANTS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Guerrant (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | McNeal (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Cardozo (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Leininger (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Hoffken (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Kelley (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Braxton (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Marte (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Matos (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Giants (home) batted first; Brewers batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM PT. Weather: 82°F · Wind calm · Overcast. seed 225656.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 1.00    Peak faced 24.00
    27 outs left: 1.00
    18 outs left: 1.33
     9 outs left: 2.67
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 5 Egan Guerrant Maximo Cardozo (3B) 0–1 —
B 5 Jhonny Reyes Manolo Figueroa (3B) 0–2 —
B 14 Antolín Matos Eddie Anger (3B) 0–3 —
B 14 Brad Galloway Manolo Figueroa (3B) 0–4 —
B 15 Parker McNeal Leo Lacasse (3B) 0–5 —
B 26 Jaume La Mantía Cas Arbeloa (3B) 0–6 —
B 26 Manolo Figueroa Chase Sundling (2B) 0–7 —
B 26 Raziel Jimenez Orien Hoffken (3B) 0–8 —
T 5 Francis Trejo Steven Kaplan (2B) 1–8 1.09
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 1.00
Peak faced 24.00
27 outs left 1.00
18 outs left 1.33
9 outs left 2.67
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kolenda Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 322' · CF 445' · RF 350' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Wire Basket
Brewers — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
322' 445' 350' Jesse Williams — single · EV 61 mph · LA +11° · 60 ft Jon Chura — fly_out · EV 75 mph · LA +39° · 220 ft Daniel Edwards — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA -1° · 69 ft Steven Kaplan — fielders_choice · EV 67 mph · LA -21° · 63 ft Sergio Saravia — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +34° · 316 ft Francis Trejo — error · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 137 ft Stan Mesidor — double · EV 97 mph · LA +45° · 376 ft Jesse Williams — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA +6° · 49 ft Daniel Edwards — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -23° · 72 ft Graydon Yani — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +38° · 329 ft Francis Trejo — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -27° · 73 ft Stan Mesidor — single · EV 75 mph · LA +10° · 72 ft Jesse Williams — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 139 ft Jon Chura — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 170 ft Graydon Yani — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -13° · 49 ft Sergio Saravia — double_play · EV 81 mph · LA +17° · 148 ft Liam Volynets — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -15° · 75 ft Liam Volynets — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA -16° · 60 ft
Giants — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 6 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
322' 445' 350' Antolín Matos — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA +0° · 53 ft Alafia Kelley — single · EV 95 mph · LA +10° · 124 ft Maximo Cardozo — single · EV 90 mph · LA +12° · 134 ft Orien Hoffken — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA -1° · 82 ft Reuben Leininger — fielders_choice · EV 70 mph · LA -6° · 67 ft Manolo Figueroa — single · EV 93 mph · LA -21° · 88 ft Raziel Jimenez — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -9° · 75 ft José Marte — fielders_choice · EV 85 mph · LA -6° · 81 ft Maximo Cardozo — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA -13° · 71 ft Manolo Figueroa — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 131 ft Antolín Matos — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -1° · 77 ft Raziel Jimenez — single · EV 78 mph · LA -6° · 75 ft Stefan Braxton — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA +13° · 113 ft Orien Hoffken — ground_out · EV 63 mph · LA +4° · 60 ft Alafia Kelley — fly_out · EV 90 mph · LA +34° · 305 ft Manolo Figueroa — single · EV 77 mph · LA +14° · 114 ft Orien Hoffken — single · EV 65 mph · LA +6° · 61 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Brewers
55% deserve-to-win  ·  5.9 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -4.9 vs expected
contact: 8.4 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-4.4 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 0 CS (+1.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Sergio Saravia 92 / +34° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.94
Graydon Yani 92 / +38° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.94
Jesse Williams 61 / +11° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.67
Sergio Saravia 81 / +17° Center Double Play 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Francis Trejo 76 / +18° Pull Reached on Error 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Giants
45% deserve-to-win  ·  5.4 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +2.6 vs expected
contact: 6.8 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (-0.8 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Alafia Kelley 90 / +34° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.94
Orien Hoffken 65 / +6° Pull Single 0.1 → 1 +0.90
Raziel Jimenez 78 / -6° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Manolo Figueroa 93 / -21° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.63
Stefan Braxton 81 / +13° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.58
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