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Khovd Police 4, Yagodnoye Sharks 3                          2046-05-01 · #1401
at Yagodnoye Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Khovd                   4    4    4    3
Yagodnoye               3    3    3    0

KHOVD POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Robinson    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Duffey      3b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Thievon     cf ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.667
Martín      rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Kean        lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ranson      c  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
Edwardsov   2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Graterol    p  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-McClend ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Downs   c  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Rondón      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Czeremcha   j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  18   4   4   0   0   0   4   5   7   0   0  0.222
  E: Robinson 2 (8), Duffey (1).
  a-Struck out for Czeremcha in the 4th.
  b-Entered at C in the 7th.

YAGODNOYE SHARKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Efremova    c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Terrell     2b ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Goloviznina 1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Chalova     3b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Grebenyuk   lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Mdletshe    ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Panova      rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Quiñones    cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Samedov     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.000
  a-Isaeva  ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Fedorov     j  ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Aalto       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Lapushchenk j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Totals                  24   3   3   1   0   0   2   5  13   0   1  0.125
  2B: Isaeva (1).
  SB: Terrell 2 (3), Chalova (3), Isaeva (2).
  HBP: Terrell (1).
  GIDP: Chalova (1), Aalto (2), Mdletshe (1).
  a-Doubled for Aalto in the 8th.

KHOVD POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Graterol (W, 7-0) ...    30   27 100%    2    3    3    5   14    0  109    -

YAGODNOYE SHARKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Samedov (L, 0-4) ....    22   16  59%    3    4    4    5    7    0   77    -

  Batting order: Yagodnoye Sharks (home) batted first; Khovd Police batted second.
  First pitch 7:15 PM MAGT. Weather: 40°F · Wind in · Clear · Dry. seed 783010.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 3 Eemil Aalto Marmaduke Terrell (3B) 0–1
B 8 Dmitri Samedov Taras Chalova (3B) 0–2
B 25 Gleb Isaeva Marmaduke Terrell (3B) 0–3
T 9 Junior Thievon Jon Downs (3B) 1–3
T 10 Jon Downs Garth Duffey (3B) 2–3
T 10 Wilbur Robinson Anthony Graterol (3B) 3–3
T 16 Junior Thievon Junior Thievon (3B) 4–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Yagodnoye Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 347' · CF 422' · RF 340' · 8' wall). Balanced.
Khovd Police — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
347' 422' 340' Bill Martín — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 267 ft Jon Downs — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -8° · 72 ft Nat Kean — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -1° · 49 ft Bryce Czeremcha — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +15° · 60 ft Garth Duffey — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +35° · 320 ft Pablo Rondón — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +32° · 305 ft Junior Thievon — single · EV 81 mph · LA +20° · 166 ft Bill Martín — fly_out · EV 56 mph · LA +42° · 124 ft Jon Downs — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 136 ft Junior Thievon — single · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 81 ft
Yagodnoye Sharks — Batted Balls
9 BIP· 1 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
347' 422' 340' Taras Chalova — single · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 212 ft Gleb Isaeva — double · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 184 ft Ilia Fedorov — error · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 127 ft Taras Chalova — double_play · EV 67 mph · LA +18° · 107 ft Daler Grebenyuk — error · EV 52 mph · LA -8° · 49 ft Mfanafuthi Mdletshe — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 71 ft Fernando Quiñones — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -14° · 72 ft Eemil Aalto — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Ilia Fedorov — error · EV 76 mph · LA +25° · 175 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Khovd Police
49% deserve-to-win  ·  4.3 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -0.3 vs expected
contact: 5.5 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-2.5 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Pablo Rondón 92 / +32° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.02
Garth Duffey 92 / +35° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.02
Bill Martín 92 / +26° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Junior Thievon 76 / +10° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.49
Bryce Czeremcha 52 / +15° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.41
Yagodnoye Sharks
51% deserve-to-win  ·  4.4 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -1.4 vs expected
contact: 4.4 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-1.4 on contact)
running: 4 SB · 0 CS (+1.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Gleb Isaeva 92 / +16° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Ilia Fedorov 76 / +17° Oppo Reached on Error 0.6 → 0 -0.59
Mfanafuthi Mdletshe 76 / +9° Oppo Double Play 0.5 → 0 -0.51
Taras Chalova 67 / +18° Pull Double Play 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Eemil Aalto 76 / +6° Pull Double Play 0.3 → 0 -0.28
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