==============================================================================
Diamondbacks 2, Dodgers 1                                   2026-08-18 · #1415
at Wold Ground
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
Arizona                 2    2    5    0
Los Angeles             1    1    3    0

DIAMONDBACKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Gronowski   1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
McNutt      ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Foyth       cf ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Pierre-Loui 2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Ullstro ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Alderman    3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Tanabe      lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bektas      c  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Linton      rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Deck        p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Start   pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Schmelz pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Galekovic   j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  15   2   5   2   0   1   2   1   3   0   0  0.333
  2B: Foyth (16), Ullstrom (15).
  HR: Galekovic (3), off Fariña.
  SB: Start (12).
  CS: Pierre-Louis (6), Schmelzle (12).
  a-Doubled for Pierre-Louis in the 8th.
  b-Ran for Deck in the 5th.
  c-Ran for Ullstrom in the 8th.

DODGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Maier       lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Martin  ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Mokiao-Atim 1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Eggleston   3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Gerardy     rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Swanson     2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Guarnera    c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Saffold     ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Garcés      cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Fariña      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Gilbert pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Murray  ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  d-Querrey pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Abbott      j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Kromah      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  24   1   3   0   0   0   1   2   9   0   0  0.125
  HBP: Gerardy (4), Guarnera (2), Saffold (3).
  GIDP: Swanson (6), Garcés 2 (5).
  a-Batted for Maier in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Fariña in the 3rd.
  c-Batted in the 4th.
  d-Ran in the 5th.

DIAMONDBACKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Deck (W, 12-12) .....    28   27 100%    3    1    1    2    9    0   92    -

DODGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Fariña (L, 3-6) .....    14   14  52%    4    2    2    1    3    1   51    -

DIAMONDBACKS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Deck (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Bektas (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Gronowski (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Pierre-Louis (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Alderman (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | McNutt (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Tanabe (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Foyth (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Linton (Outs 1-27)

DODGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-14)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Fariña (Outs 1-14)
CATCHER (C)       | Guarnera (Outs 1-14)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Mokiao-Atimalala (Outs 1-14)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Swanson (Outs 1-14)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Eggleston (Outs 1-14)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Saffold (Outs 1-14)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Maier (Outs 1-14)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Garcés (Outs 1-14)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Gerardy (Outs 1-14)

  Batting order: Dodgers (home) batted first; Diamondbacks batted second.
  First pitch 5:45 PM PT. Weather: 98°F · Wind calm · Overcast. seed 627513.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.22    Peak faced 0.32
    27 outs left: 0.22
    18 outs left: 0.33
     9 outs left: 0.00
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 18 Thomas Martin Dean Gilbert (2B) 0–1 —
T 11 Phillip Bektas Toby Start (3B) 1–1 0.19
T 14 Will Galekovic Will Galekovic (HR) 2–1 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.22
Peak faced 0.32
27 outs left 0.22
18 outs left 0.33
9 outs left 0.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Wold Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 338' · CF 395' · RF 346' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Knothole Gates
Diamondbacks — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 1 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
338' 395' 346' Bryce Alderman — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -12° · 77 ft Ryan Pierre-Louis — fielders_choice · EV 86 mph · LA +1° · 82 ft Phillip Bektas — line_out · EV 96 mph · LA +6° · 91 ft Joao Foyth — double · EV 92 mph · LA +30° · 290 ft Miguel Linton — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA -5° · 93 ft Irving Ullstrom — double · EV 100 mph · LA +17° · 221 ft Will Galekovic — hr · EV 109 mph · LA +36° · 449 ft Phillip Bektas — single · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 152 ft
Dodgers — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
338' 395' 346' Quentin Maier — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -18° · 73 ft Lenny Eggleston — fly_out · EV 64 mph · LA +42° · 162 ft Colton Swanson — line_out · EV 72 mph · LA +20° · 132 ft Wyatt Guarnera — fly_out · EV 85 mph · LA +34° · 272 ft Tony Garcés — fielders_choice · EV 83 mph · LA -9° · 79 ft Berkeley Abbott — fly_out · EV 68 mph · LA +30° · 161 ft Tony Garcés — double_play · EV 63 mph · LA -5° · 60 ft Thomas Martin — single · EV 81 mph · LA +3° · 77 ft Hubertus Murray — single · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Berkeley Abbott — single · EV 80 mph · LA +11° · 94 ft Jerome Saffold — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +14° · 171 ft Colton Swanson — double_play · EV 68 mph · LA +1° · 65 ft Tony Garcés — double_play · EV 63 mph · LA -6° · 60 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Diamondbacks
45% deserve-to-win  ·  2.6 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -0.6 vs expected
contact: 8.0 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (+1.0 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 2 CS (-0.9 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Joao Foyth 92 / +30° Oppo Double 0.7 → 2 +1.27
Irving Ullstrom 100 / +17° Pull Double 1.4 → 2 +0.58
Will Galekovic 109 / +36° Pull Home Run 3.4 → 4 +0.58
Miguel Linton 98 / -5° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Phillip Bektas 96 / +6° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.48
Dodgers
55% deserve-to-win  ·  2.9 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -1.9 vs expected
contact: 3.9 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-0.9 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jerome Saffold 94 / +14° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Hubertus Murray 76 / -6° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Thomas Martin 81 / +3° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.70
Colton Swanson 72 / +20° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Wyatt Guarnera 85 / +34° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.44
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →