==============================================================================
Phillies 6, Red Sox 2                                       2026-08-19 · #1421
at North Ground
==============================================================================

                        1      2    R    H    E
Philadelphia            6      -    6    6    0
Boston                  2      0    2    5    0

PHILLIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Grizzlies   cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Awoniyi ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Andrade     c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Santos      1b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Moor        lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Tabaracci   rf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Borges      3b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Martín  pr ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Ka'apana    ss ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.250
Vásquez     2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Israilo ph ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Maynard     p  ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   2   2   1   1   0  1.000
  d-Skeen   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Anthony     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ferguson-Re j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  27   6   6   1   0   0   4   6  14   1   0  0.222
  2B: Ka'apana (3).
  CS: Santos (11).
  HBP: Andrade (1).
  GIDP: Tabaracci (7).
  a-Singled for Grizzlies in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Borges in the 3rd.
  c-Batted for Vásquez in the 5th.
  d-Ran in the 4th.

RED SOX
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Suazo       2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Rowley  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Merrill     lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Venegas     3b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Pfister     cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Núñez       c  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Nytes       ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Harrell     rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Saravia     1b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Hampton     p  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Miranda ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Tatum   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  d-Pezzell ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Falby   pr ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  f-Cordano pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Malard      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   2   5   2   0   0   2   1   9   0   0  0.179
  2B: Núñez (3), Pezzella (3).
  a-Batted for Suazo in the 6th.
  b-Batted in the 4th.
  c-Ran for Falby in the 6th.
  d-Doubled in the 4th.
  e-Ran in the 4th.
  f-Ran in the 4th.

PHILLIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Maynard (W, 4-3) ....    22   20   73  3.3    4    1    1    0    9    0    -
Cherry (F, 25) ......     7    7   25  3.6    1    1    1    1    0    0  1-0

RED SOX PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Hampton (L, 1-0) ....    16   12   65  4.1    3    3    3    3    7    0    -
Johnson .............    13   10   49  3.8    2    3    3    3    6    0  1-1
Schellenger .........     4    5   16  4.0    0    0    0    0    1    0  2-0

PHILLIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Maynard (Outs 1-20) → Cherry (Outs 21-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Andrade (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Santos (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Vásquez (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Borges (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Ka'apana (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Moor (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Grizzlies (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Tabaracci (Outs 1-27)

RED SOX DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Hampton (Outs 1-12) → Johnson (Outs 13-22) → Schellenger (Outs 23-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Núñez (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Saravia (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Suazo (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Venegas (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Nytes (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Merrill (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Pfister (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Harrell (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Red Sox (home) batted second; Phillies batted first.
  Seconds: BOS o25 (2-6).
  First pitch 6:30 PM ET. Weather: 76°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 238213.
  Powerplays: Red Sox — Falby NF (O13)
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.78    Peak faced 7.50
    27 outs left: 0.78
    18 outs left: 1.00
     9 outs left: 2.00
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 8 Bryan Andrade Nicolas Martín (3B) 1–0 —
T 12 Jerome Ka'apana Godfrey Skeen (3B) 2–0 —
T 12 Jerome Ka'apana Nicolas Martín (1B) 3–0 —
T 15 Caleb Maynard Jerome Ka'apana (3B) 4–0 —
T 21 Godfrey Skeen Caleb Maynard (3B) 5–0 —
T 21 Caleb Maynard Sandy Santos (3B) 6–0 —
B 9 Teófilo Pezzella Jide Falby (1B) 6–1 1.00
B 21 Walter Núñez Aleksandar Tatum (1B) 6–2 2.50
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.78
Peak faced 7.50
27 outs left 0.78
18 outs left 1.00
9 outs left 2.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to North Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 356' · CF 454' · RF 319' · 14' wall). Balanced.
Knothole Gates
Phillies — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
356' 454' 319' Wall 14' Sandy Santos — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +29° · 196 ft Devron Borges — single · EV 53 mph · LA +8° · 60 ft Bright Awoniyi — single · EV 52 mph · LA +2° · 49 ft Daniel Israilov — single · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 165 ft Allen Ferguson-Reynolds — fly_out · EV 65 mph · LA +32° · 150 ft Jerome Ka'apana — double · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 221 ft Caleb Maynard — error · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 144 ft Daniel Israilov — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft Jerome Ka'apana — fielders_choice · EV 63 mph · LA -7° · 60 ft Adhithya Tabaracci — double_play · EV 62 mph · LA +1° · 59 ft
Red Sox — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
356' 454' 319' Wall 14' Manuel Suazo — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -5° · 84 ft Kervin Venegas — single · EV 88 mph · LA +1° · 84 ft Pancho Pfister — fly_out · EV 99 mph · LA +28° · 325 ft Mark Harrell — fielders_choice · EV 100 mph · LA -0° · 95 ft Diego Saravia — single · EV 76 mph · LA -26° · 72 ft Junie Hampton — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 184 ft Teófilo Pezzella — double · EV 118 mph · LA +20° · 358 ft Daylan Miranda — line_out · EV 86 mph · LA +21° · 199 ft Vinicius Cordano — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA +2° · 94 ft Pancho Pfister — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA -5° · 76 ft Mark Harrell — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -8° · 74 ft Jide Falby — single · EV 100 mph · LA +7° · 95 ft Daylan Miranda — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -4° · 84 ft Junie Hampton — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +10° · 100 ft Mark Harrell — fly_out · EV 99 mph · LA +29° · 332 ft Inman Nytes — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 229 ft Walter Núñez — double · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 259 ft Junie Hampton — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +46° · 338 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Phillies
8% deserve-to-win  ·  1.9 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +4.1 vs expected
contact: 3.0 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (+3.0 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jerome Ka'apana 92 / +20° Oppo Double 0.9 → 2 +1.10
Bright Awoniyi 52 / +2° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.90
Devron Borges 53 / +8° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.67
Daniel Israilov 76 / +23° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.46
Caleb Maynard 76 / +19° Pull Stay 0.5 → 1 +0.46
Red Sox
92% deserve-to-win  ·  6.6 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -4.6 vs expected
contact: 13.6 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-6.6 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Inman Nytes 100 / +18° Pull Out 1.4 → 0 -1.41
Junie Hampton 100 / +14° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.25
Junie Hampton 92 / +46° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.17
Pancho Pfister 99 / +28° Pull Out 1.1 → 0 -1.07
Mark Harrell 99 / +29° Pull Out 1.1 → 0 -1.07
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →